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Terminal News·Council··2 min read·Current · The Capital Window

UK gilts steepen as fiscal package lands warmer than expected.

5y/30y at the widest since 2023. The H2 issuance calendar tightens.

image · gpt-image

The fiscal envelope announced Tuesday came in warmer than the gilt curve had priced. The 5y/30y spread sits at its widest since 2023. The window for an aligned EU-UK refi calendar is closing — H2 issuance now competes head-on with Treasury.

The Council's read: this is a calendar problem, not a credit problem. The path-dependence runs through which sovereign issuers can move first in September.

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Source spread30% L · 46% C · 24% R
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