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AI Share of SBIR and STTR Awards

AI-related awards as a share of all SBIR and STTR awards, by count and by dollars, %, federal fiscal years

Share of awards: 25.0% in 2025the highest in data back to 2005+23.4 pp since 2005
YTD1y2y5y10y20yAll
Forecast availableOffContinuationForesight™
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U.S. recessionsShades the months the NBER dates as recession. U.S. charts only.High and lowMarks the highest and lowest readings in the window shown.
Current·Data to 2025

Plays the chart through its history. Pauses are where the data set a record or moved most.

Palanor classification of SBIR.gov award data: an award is AI-related when its title or abstract uses a published AI phrase (artificial intelligence, machine learning, deep learning, computer vision, language model and others; the full list is in each signal’s methodology). The newest fiscal year has few awards (lapse in program authority, upload lag).

How far artificial intelligence has spread through the startup research the federal government funds: the share of SBIR and STTR awards whose own description names AI or machine learning.

What this chart reads

Sources

AI Share of SBIR/STTR Awards. Source: SBIR.gov award data file (with abstracts), published by the U.S. Small Business Administration and refreshed monthly: https://data.www.sbir.gov/mod_awarddatapublic/award_data.csv. SBA: "Government information on SBA.gov is in the public domain." Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, SBIR.gov. The AI classification is Palanor's: keyword rules on each award's title and abstract (the abstracts are read, never stored).

AI Share of SBIR/STTR Award Dollars. Source: SBIR.gov award data file (with abstracts), published by the U.S. Small Business Administration and refreshed monthly: https://data.www.sbir.gov/mod_awarddatapublic/award_data.csv. SBA: "Government information on SBA.gov is in the public domain." Source: U.S. Small Business Administration, SBIR.gov. The AI classification is Palanor's: keyword rules on each award's title and abstract (the abstracts are read, never stored).

Charts are drawn from Palanor's signal library and recomputed from source data on every view. Transformations (changes, indexing, year-on-year rates) are Palanor's.

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