Skip to content
Palanor is in early release, with our founding customers.Become a founding customer →
The Real Rate Index45.30.00Palanor: Inflation Pulse50.7+0.06Palanor: Geopolitical Stress59.7-0.25Palanor: Liquidity58.8+0.87Palanor: Capital Tightness46.4-1.11Palanor: Industrial Pulse70.10.00Palanor: AI Margin Compression52.8-0.63Palanor: Consumer Confidence47.1-1.44Palanor: US Dollar Strength46.5+0.01Palanor: Labor Heat63.20.00Palanor: Recession Vocabulary28.7+0.64Palanor: Uncertainty Index53.2-0.24Palanor: US Jobs Health40.30.00Palanor: Energy Transition37.7+0.74Palanor: Reshoring Sentiment22.7-0.15Palanor: AI Substitution28.6+0.24The Social Fabric Index45.70.00Palanor: Geopolitical Anxiety19.8+0.43Palanor: Quit Pressure34.7-2.85The Mania Index88.00.00The Palanor Index57.5+0.37Cost Disease Spread33.20.00Palanor: US vs China49.4-0.05Rise of Socialism Index40.6-0.18The Bubble Memory98.5-0.00Palanor: Steward Confidence51.0+0.19The Long Watch90.30.00The Reshoring Index55.20.00The Capital Return Index80.2-0.77The Discourse Index74.3+1.91The Hesitation Index33.4+2.64Palanor AI Inference Cost Index71.2-0.03The AI Capex Race Index76.1-2.39The Boardroom Index81.7-0.84The Layoff Cycle Index35.6+2.75Capital Deployment Posture Index61.7-0.67The Consumer Health Index41.8+0.07Labor Hours Composite44.40.00The Dollar Erosion Index65.5-1.13Palanor: Risk Appetite35.4-0.76
PalanorPalanor

Line

Fed Funds Effective Rate

The weighted average overnight rate at which U.S.

3.9% on Oct 21, 2026−1.5 pp since Oct 1, 2006
YTD1y2y5y10y20yAll
Forecast availableOffContinuationForesight™
Show · 2 ▾
U.S. recessionsShades the months the NBER dates as recession. U.S. charts only.5-year rangeThe highest and lowest readings of the last five years, as a band. One-series charts only.High and lowMarks the highest and lowest readings in the window shown.
Current·Data to Oct 21, 2026

Plays the chart through its history. Pauses are where the data set a record or moved most.

What this chart reads

Sources

Fed Funds Effective Rate. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, H.15 Selected Interest Rates, effective federal funds rate (FRED series DFF). Palanor pulls it from the FRED API (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis) nightly.

Charts are drawn from Palanor's signal library and recomputed from source data on every view. Transformations (changes, indexing, year-on-year rates) are Palanor's.

Related charts

MarketsForecast

Magnificent Seven Share of the S&P 500

Combined market value of the seven largest tech companies as a share of the S&P 500, %

34.1%Data yesterday
MarketsForecast

Yield Curve: 10-Year Minus 2-Year

Difference between 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields, percentage points

0.31 ppData yesterday
MarketsForecast

U.S. Treasury Yields

Yields on 2-year, 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasuries, %

4.81%Data 2 days ago
MarketsForecast

Financial Stress

OFR Financial Stress Index, 0 = average stress

−1.9Data 3 days ago
MarketsForecast

U.S.-Listed Semiconductor Companies: Market Value

Combined market value of U.S.-listed chip designers, makers and equipment companies, $ trillions

$11.81TData yesterday
MarketsForecast

OFR Volatility Stress

The volatility category of the OFR Financial Stress Index: how much turbulence options and futures markets are pricing across equities, rates, currencies and oil.

0.0Data 3 days ago

Cookies

We only use essential cookies to keep you signed in and remember your theme. No analytics, no tracking, no ads. See the Privacy Policy for the full read.