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The Real Rate Index45.30.00Palanor: Inflation Pulse50.7+0.06Palanor: Geopolitical Stress59.7-0.25Palanor: Liquidity58.8+0.87Palanor: Capital Tightness46.4-1.11Palanor: Industrial Pulse70.10.00Palanor: AI Margin Compression52.8-0.63Palanor: Consumer Confidence47.1-1.44Palanor: US Dollar Strength46.5+0.01Palanor: Labor Heat63.20.00Palanor: Recession Vocabulary28.7+0.64Palanor: Uncertainty Index53.2-0.24Palanor: US Jobs Health40.30.00Palanor: Energy Transition37.7+0.74Palanor: Reshoring Sentiment22.7-0.15Palanor: AI Substitution28.6+0.24The Social Fabric Index45.70.00Palanor: Geopolitical Anxiety19.8+0.43Palanor: Quit Pressure34.7-2.85The Mania Index88.00.00The Palanor Index57.5+0.37Cost Disease Spread33.20.00Palanor: US vs China49.4-0.05Rise of Socialism Index40.6-0.18The Bubble Memory98.5-0.00Palanor: Steward Confidence51.0+0.19The Long Watch90.30.00The Reshoring Index55.20.00The Capital Return Index80.2-0.77The Discourse Index74.3+1.91The Hesitation Index33.4+2.64Palanor AI Inference Cost Index71.2-0.03The AI Capex Race Index76.1-2.39The Boardroom Index81.7-0.84The Layoff Cycle Index35.6+2.75Capital Deployment Posture Index61.7-0.67The Consumer Health Index41.8+0.07Labor Hours Composite44.40.00The Dollar Erosion Index65.5-1.13Palanor: Risk Appetite35.4-0.76
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New Private Funds Filing With the SEC

New pooled investment fund notices on Form D by fund type, deal vehicles left out, per quarter

Private equity funds: 1,048 in Q3 2026−48 since Q1 2026
YTD1y2y5y10y20yAll
ForecastOffContinuationForesight™
Show · 1 ▾
U.S. recessionsShades the months the NBER dates as recession. U.S. charts only.High and lowMarks the highest and lowest readings in the window shown.
Current·Data to Q3 2026

Plays the chart through its history. Pauses are where the data set a record or moved most.

Private equity funds · Continuation · the recent trend, flattening · 1 year

Venture capital funds · Continuation · the recent trend, flattening · 1 year

Hedge funds · Continuation · the recent trend, flattening · 1 year

Dashed: the projection from the latest reading. A projection, not a promise.

Palanor calculation from SEC Form D filings (public domain). Original notices (not amendments) with the industry group Pooled Investment Fund, by the fund type the filer ticks. Single-deal vehicles (SPVs, “a Series of”, co-invest, syndicate, feeder) are counted apart. Parallel vehicles of one fund can each count when their names don’t mark them.

How many new venture capital, private equity and hedge funds start raising money each quarter, from the notices they file with the SEC. Fund formation leads investing: these are the managers who will deploy money over the following years.

What this chart reads

Sources

New Private Equity Funds Filing Form D (quarterly count, SEC Form D). Source: Palanor calculation from SEC Form D filings (U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Form D data sets; public domain).

New Venture Capital Funds Filing Form D (quarterly count, SEC Form D). Source: Palanor calculation from SEC Form D filings (U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Form D data sets; public domain).

New Hedge Funds Filing Form D (quarterly count, SEC Form D). Source: Palanor calculation from SEC Form D filings (U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Form D data sets; public domain).

Charts are drawn from Palanor's signal library and recomputed from source data on every view. Transformations (changes, indexing, year-on-year rates) are Palanor's.

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