Skip to content
Palanor is in early release, with our founding customers.Become a founding customer →
PalanorPalanor

Line

Russia–Ukraine alignment (Fan, annual)

Annual Russia–Ukraine alignment, −1 to +1.

−0.51 in 2024−0.07 since 2023

Plays the chart through its history. Pauses are where the data set a record or moved most.

Continuation · the recent trend, flattening · 3 years

Dashed: the projection from the latest reading. Shaded: the range about two in three outcomes land in. A projection, not a promise.

What this chart reads

Sources

Russia–Ukraine alignment (Fan, annual). Source: Tianyu Fan (2025) via the Global Geopolitical Events Database v1.0 (MIT), compiled by a large language model with web search and validated across four model families. Palanor ingests the research release monthly and updates when the author publishes a new version.

Charts are drawn from Palanor's signal library and recomputed from source data on every view. Transformations (changes, indexing, year-on-year rates) are Palanor's.

Related charts

GeopoliticsForecastMoving

Russia–Ukraine alignment (GDELT, daily)

Mean Goldstein score of material events (actions, not statements) between Russia and Ukraine, ÷10.

−0.4Data yesterday
GeopoliticsForecastMoving

Geopolitical Risk — Threats (daily)

Daily threats sub-index: articles about war threats, military buildups, nuclear and terror threats.

310.2Data 4 days ago
GeopoliticsForecast

Geopolitical Risk Index (daily)

Daily Geopolitical Risk index (Caldara-Iacoviello), 1985 onward.

248.7Data 4 days ago
GeopoliticsForecast

Material conflict share of world news events

Share of all article-weighted world news events that are material conflict (CAMEO QuadClass 4: force, coercion, assault, fighting, sanctions, seizures).

12.4%Data yesterday
GeopoliticsForecast

Sanctions — share of world news

Share of world news articles about sanctions.

2.1%Data yesterday
GeopoliticsForecast

Food security — share of world news

Share of world news articles about food security (hunger, food supply, food prices) each day, from GDELT's Global Knowledge Graph.

0.8%Data yesterday

Cookies

We only use essential cookies to keep you signed in and remember your theme. No analytics, no tracking, no ads. See the Privacy Policy for the full read.