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Country Dossier

One page per country: what its economy runs on, Country Posture, how often S&P 500 companies name it, the news that names it, companies headquartered there and every public series about it, each dated and sourced.

Updated 2026-10-22

A Country Dossier is one page per country that brings together everything Palanor holds about it. It is public at palanor.com/countries, signed in under World in the menu, and in your organization's workspace. Each page is rebuilt every night; charts redraw from the latest data whenever you open them.

What is on a page

  • The latest read. Sentences built from stored readings only: growth, inflation, Country Strength, and Economy Health for Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom and Mexico. Nobody types them and no model writes them.
  • What the economy is doing (Country Posture). Three axes, described below.
  • Where the country is in its cycles. Eight Country Schemas: its development, demographic, debt-cycle, external-balance, export-structure, structural-pressure and middle-class stages and where it is in its electoral term, each with its history. See [Country Schemas](/help/signals/country-schemas).
  • What the economy runs on. Household consumption, government consumption and investment as shares of GDP each year, with net exports (exports minus imports) in their own column from zero, because they can be negative. From the World Bank's World Development Indicators. The parts can miss 100 by a few points, the statistical discrepancy; a gap over three points is flagged.
  • Passport reach. What the country's passport opens, to visit, to work and to live, as a share of world GDP, with its rank among 199 passports, the list changes that touched it, and any citizenship- or residence-by-investment program the country runs. Shown, not weighted into Country Strength. See [Passport reach](/help/signals/passport-reach).
  • The IMF's outlook. The latest year and the IMF's projections from the newest World Economic Outlook: growth, inflation, unemployment, GDP, debt, budget balances and net interest paid, plus how the IMF revised this year's growth forecast. Projections are the IMF's published forecasts, dashed on charts and never projected further. See [IMF World Economic Outlook projections](/help/signals/imf-world-economic-outlook).
  • The headline series. Growth and inflation, Country Strength, Economy Health where held, S&P 500 mentions and organized-violence deaths, each as a live chart you can open in the Charts library.
  • How often S&P 500 companies name the country. The share of S&P 500 companies naming it on earnings calls (trailing 90 days, one call per company) and in the risk factors of their latest 10-K. The word lists and the publication rule were fixed before anything was counted: names only, case-sensitive, with phrases that are not the country (Canada Dry, Tour de France) excluded. A series is published only when it rests on several companies.
  • Organized violence. Deaths each year from state-based, non-state and one-sided violence, the Uppsala Conflict Data Program's best estimate, for countries with a year of 25 or more.
  • In the news. Wire stories and news headlines that name the country, each with a tone read taken from the headline's words alone, and the words that set it. Palanor shows headlines and its own Wire summaries only; it never writes a summary of someone else's article. Names are matched exactly, and ambiguous ones (Georgia, Jordan, Chad) are left out: a wrong match is worse than a missing one.
  • Companies headquartered there. Counts from the company graph and a few listed examples, each linking to its company page where Palanor has one.
  • Every series about the country, grouped by theme, with the latest reading, its date and its source.

Country Posture

Posture describes what an economy is doing on three axes. It is not a rating, and no Palanor page sorts or ranks countries by it.

  • Momentum (slowing to gaining): real GDP growth and its change, unemployment and employment, export volumes, and the OECD leading indicator where held.
  • Resilience (thin to deep buffers): interest as a share of revenue, the budget balance, reserves, the current account, governance and external debt.
  • Pressure (low to high): inflation and its change, the currency against the dollar, conflict deaths, political stability, credit growth, and bond spreads where held. Inflation is read against the country's own history and other economies, not its central bank's target, which Palanor does not yet hold for every country.

Each input is placed against the country's own last 30 years and against every economy the World Bank reports that year, and the two are averaged. An axis is shown only when the inputs it has carry most of its weight; otherwise it says it is withheld and why, and is never filled with a default.

The method was fixed before any reading was computed, together with a back-test on what followed in the next two years (recessions, currency stress, conflict escalation) in two halves, 1996–2009 and 2010–2022. An axis shows a score only if it passes in both halves. An axis that does not pass shows its inputs and the reason. The method page, palanor.com/countries/posture, prints the latest results; the test re-runs weekly with the same rules.

Posture is also in the lattice as signals for the 71 countries of the sovereign panel: `country.<iso3>.posture.resilience` (0–100) for the axis that passed, and each input of the two that did not, as `country.<iso3>.posture.momentum.<input>` and `country.<iso3>.posture.pressure.<input>`, labelled as components. A failed axis is never published as a number. Chart them, add them to Studies and Scenarios, or read their lead partners like any other series.

Comparing countries

The library chart What each economy runs on shows the composition of every economy with data since 2020, paged by GDP and faceted by region, plus GDP-weighted groups (G7, G20, BRICS, the EU, the euro area, the OECD and regions). A group's share is its members' total spending on that part over their total GDP in current dollars, shown only when members reporting every part hold at least 90% of the group's GDP. Map views on the Countries page show household spending, investment, net exports and S&P 500 mentions. Comparisons appear only where every country uses the same definition, and the chart says so.

Inside Palanor

  • Follow sets ordinary alerts on the country's headline series (a 5-point move in S&P 500 call mentions over 90 days; a new high or low in growth, inflation and Country Strength). They show in Alerts, where you can edit or delete them. Unfollow removes only the alerts Follow created.
  • In your organization's workspace, the page adds your team's notes, fields and lists on the country, and the live scenarios and studies that read its series. These stay inside your organization and never appear on the public page.
  • Type a country's name or ISO code (DEU) in the command bar (⌘K) to open its Dossier. Numen can read a Dossier for you: ask how a country's economy is doing.

Sources

The World Bank, World Development Indicators and Worldwide Governance Indicators (CC BY 4.0). Uppsala Conflict Data Program, GED (CC BY 4.0). OECD. IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition named on the panel). National statistics offices and central banks as credited on each series. S&P 500 mentions are Palanor counts from company earnings calls and SEC 10-K filings. Market prices appear only inside Palanor.

Related: [Charts](/help/modules/charts)

Still stuck?

Email support@palanor.com or check the status page.

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