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Earnings release · 8-K exhibit

Mosaic Company (The) · Earnings release

MOS · Materials

Filed 2025-11-04 · CY2025 Q4 · Company’s FY2025 Q3 · 5,915 words

Read the original on sec.gov ↗

EX-99.12pressreleaseq32025-ex991.htmEX-99.1 2025 Q3 EARNINGS RELEASE Document

Exhibit 99.1

The Mosaic Company

101 E. Kennedy Blvd., Suite 2500

Tampa, FL 33602

www.mosaicco.com

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Investors

Joan Tong, CFA

863-640-0826

joan.tong@mosaicco.com

Jason Tremblay

813-775-4282

jason.tremblay@mosaicco.com

Media

Ben Pratt

813-775-4206

benjamin.pratt@mosaicco.com

THE MOSAIC COMPANY REPORTS THIRD QUARTER 2025 RESULTS

•Net income of $411 million and adjusted EBITDA(1) of $806 million in the third quarter of 2025

•Third quarter phosphate production volumes of 1.7 million tonnes mark the third consecutive quarter of improvement. Production volumes for the trailing three-month period ending in October totaled approximately 1.8 million tonnes

•Potash production volumes trending toward record level in 2025

•Mosaic Fertilizantes’ performance remains strong; operating income of $96 million increased 71% and adjusted EBITDA(1) at $241 million increased 190% versus the prior year quarter

•Completion of the Patos de Minas and Taquari transactions following the close of the quarter generated $63 million in immediate aggregate proceeds

TAMPA, FL, November 4, 2025 - The Mosaic Company (NYSE: MOS), reported net income of $411 million and diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.29 for the third quarter of 2025. Adjusted EBITDA(1) was $806 million and adjusted EPS(1) was $1.04 for the quarter.

“Mosaic generated strong earnings despite operational and market challenges in the third quarter,” said President and CEO Bruce Bodine. “Our business in Brazil continued to perform well while navigating the ongoing credit issues in Brazilian agriculture, and we delivered solid performance in our potash business, as strong global demand pushed prices higher. In phosphates, our work to restore asset health has led to three consecutive months of higher production, and now we are focused on driving further improvements and sustainably higher operating rates. With global market access as a strategic advantage, we have the ability to capitalize on constructive agricultural and fertilizer market trends and adapt to shifting market dynamics.”

(1)See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for additional information and reconciliation.

(2)See “Notable Items Listing” for additional information.

1

Consolidated Results:

In millions $ except as noted below

Q3 2025

Q2 2025

Q3 2024

Net Sales (Billions)

$3.5

$3.0

$2.8

Selling, General and Administrative Expenses

$126

$167

$148

Operating Earnings

$340

$244

$115

Operating Earnings – Phosphate

$102

$(8)

$8

Operating Earnings – Potash

$229

$194

$109

Operating Earnings – Mosaic Fertilizantes

$96

$109

$56

Operating Earnings (Loss) – Corporate and Other

$(88)

$(51)

$(58)

Net Income

$411

$411

$122

Adjusted EBITDA(1)

$806

$566

$448

Adjusted EBITDA - Phosphate(1)

$280

$217

$265

Adjusted EBITDA - Potash(1)

$329

$278

$180

Adjusted EBITDA – Mosaic Fertilizantes(1)

$241

$159

$83

Adjusted EBITDA – Corporate and Other(1)

$(44)

$(88)

$(80)

Net income of $411 million in the third quarter of 2025 was positively impacted by notable items totaling $135 million, pre-tax, mainly due to a $308 million mark-to-market unrealized gain on the value of the Ma'aden shares (worth approximately $1.9 billion USD at the end of third quarter) partially offset by $173 million of losses driven by a $75 million loss on the treatment of our Taquari mine as an asset held for sale.

Adjusted EBITDA(1) of $806 million in the third quarter of 2025 increased by 80% from the prior year and was driven primarily by the continued outperformance of Mosaic Fertilizantes, and a significant increase in phosphate stripping margins and higher potash prices versus the prior year.

Third quarter selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expense was $126 million, down from $167 million in the second quarter, and from $148 million in the same quarter of the prior year primarily driven by bad debt expenses reported in each of the comparative periods.

The effective tax rate for the third quarter of 2025 was 29.3%. The adjusted effective tax rate was 25.9% excluding one-time net favorable impacts from notable tax items. Cash taxes paid were $89 million. See the table included in the non-GAAP financial measures section of this press release for a reconciliation of the adjusted effective tax rate.

Cash flow from operations was $229 million in the third quarter of 2025 versus $313 million in the same quarter of the prior year, a reduction driven primarily by higher working capital as a result of timing of shipments, higher prices and volumes of product inventories in Brazil, and higher inventories of phosphate rock to support future production plans. Assuming the reversal of these effects, cash flow from operations is expected to improve in the fourth quarter. Capital expenditures for the third quarter were $364 million up from $241 million in the same quarter of the prior year due to higher sustaining capex in Phosphate. Free cash flow(1) in the third quarter of 2025 was $(135) million compared to $72 million in the same quarter last year.

In October, Mosaic completed the sale of the Patos de Minas mine for $111 million, with $51 million collected at closing and the remaining proceeds to be received over four years.

In November, Mosaic completed the sale of its Taquari potash mine for $27 million. The transaction is expected to eliminate capital investments exceeding $25 million and asset retirement obligations of $22 million.

(1)See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for additional information and reconciliation.

2

Mosaic continues to engage with interested parties to advance strategic alternatives for its Carlsbad, New Mexico potash mine. In Brazil, Mosaic expects to complete the studies to better define the Niobium opportunity at the Patrocinio and Araxa phosphate operations early next year and to reengage interested parties to discuss strategic alternatives in the first half of 2026.

Mosaic paid a $0.22 per share dividend in the third quarter, equivalent to $70 million returned to shareholders.

Potash Results and Outlook:

In millions $ except as noted below

Q3 2025

Q2 2025

Q3 2024

Net Sales

$695

$711

$526

Sales Volumes million tonnes*

2.3

2.3

2.0

MOP Selling Price FOB mine

$271

$261

$215

MOP Cash Cost of Production per tonne(1)

$71

$75

$74

Gross Margin per tonne

$104

$89

$61

Operating Earnings

$229

$194

$109

Segment Adjusted EBITDA(1) - millions

$329

$278

$180

*Tonnes = finished product tonnes

The Potash segment reported net sales of $695 million in the third quarter of 2025, up from $526 million in the same quarter of the prior year. Operating earnings were $229 million, up from $109 million in the same quarter of the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA(1) was $329 million, compared to $180 million in the same quarter of 2024, reflecting higher sales volume and market prices for potash.

Higher production levels drove MOP cash cost of production per tonne(1) down to $71 in the third quarter, from $74 a year ago, despite continued operations of the high cost Colonsay mine. Idle and turnaround expenses declined to $16 million in the third quarter, from $34 million in the second quarter, reflecting the completion of planned turnaround activities at Esterhazy.

Given the potential demand deferral in North America, Mosaic expects 2025 potash production volumes to be in the range of 9.1 to 9.4 million tonnes.

Sales volumes in the fourth quarter are expected to be between 2.3 and 2.6 million tonnes, with realized mine gate MOP prices in the range of $270 to $280 per tonne.

Phosphate Results and Outlook:

In millions $ except as noted below

Q3 2025

Q2 2025

Q3 2024

Net Sales (Billions)

$1.3

$1.2

$1.0

Sales Volumes million tonnes*

1.6

1.5

1.5

DAP Selling Price FOB plant

$714

$668

$569

Phosphate Cash Cost of Conversion per tonne(1)

$131

$126

$101

Blended Rock Cost Consumed in COGS per tonne

$80

$74

$87

Gross Margin per tonne

$92

$67

$96

Operating Earnings

$102

$(8)

$8

Segment Adjusted EBITDA(1)

$280

$217

$265

*Tonnes = finished product tonnes

(1)See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for additional information and reconciliation.

3

Net sales in the Phosphate segment were $1.3 billion in the third quarter of 2025, up from $1.0 billion in the third quarter of 2024, reflecting higher sales volumes and prices. Phosphate operating earnings were $102 million, compared to $8 million a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA(1) totaled $280 million in the third quarter of 2025, an increase from $265 million in the third quarter of 2024, reflecting higher stripping margins and lower sales volumes in the prior year due to hurricane impacts.

Production volumes totaled 1.7 million tonnes in the third quarter of 2025. Previously reported issues that occurred at the Bartow and Riverview facilities have been addressed. For the trailing three-month period ending in October, production output reached approximately 1.8 million tonnes. Mosaic expects production volumes to continue to improve and sustain at higher operating rates.

As expected, third quarter idle and turnaround expenses declined to $42 million, from $84 million in the second quarter of 2025. However, Mosaic incurred considerable costs associated with asset health initiatives primarily during July. Consequently, cash cost of conversion per tonne(1) was $131 in the third quarter, up from $101 in the prior year quarter, and from $126 in the second quarter. For the fourth quarter, Mosaic expects this metric to decline sequentially, driven by expected normalized repair cost levels, increased production volumes and improved fixed cost absorption.

Sales volumes were 1.6 million tonnes in the third quarter of 2025, below production volumes, caused by lags in shipments to customers due to delivery timing.

For the fourth quarter of 2025, sales volumes are expected to be 1.7 to 1.9 million tonnes, though some demand could be deferred from winter fill to spring in North America. DAP prices on an FOB basis are expected to average in the $700 to $730 per tonne range.

Mosaic Fertilizantes Results and Outlook:

In millions $ except as noted below

Q3 2025

Q2 2025

Q3 2024

Net Sales (Billions)

$1.6

$1.2

$1.4

Sales Volumes million tonnes*

2.8

2.2

2.9

Sales Volumes of produced product – million tonnes(3)

1.0

1.1

1.0

Average Finished Product Selling Price

$518

$474

$447

Phosphate Cash Cost of Conversion per tonne(1)

$99

$84

$88

Phosphate Blended Rock Cost Consumed in COGS per tonne

$99

$94

$105

Gross Margin per tonne

$65

$73

$44

Operating Earnings

$96

$109

$56

Segment Adjusted EBITDA(1)

$241

$159

$83

*Tonnes = finished product tonnes sold to third parties

(3) Represents volumes produced in Brazil and sold directly to third parties or through distribution

Mosaic Fertilizantes reported net sales of $1.6 billion in the third quarter of 2025, up from $1.4 billion in the third quarter of 2024, driven by higher prices, partially offset by slightly lower sales volumes. Mosaic Fertilizantes operating earnings were $96 million, up from $56 million a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA(1) totaled $241 million in the third quarter of 2025, up from $83 million in the same quarter of prior year. Mosaic reported gross margin per tonne of $65 in the third quarter of 2025, compared to $44 in the third quarter of 2024, primarily driven by higher prices, offset by lower distribution profitability as credit issues continued and market conditions have softened.

(1)See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for additional information and reconciliation.

4

Mosaic Fertilizantes phosphate cash cost of conversion per tonne(1) in the third quarter of 2025 was $99, which increased from $88 in the same quarter prior year, primarily impacted by product mix, maintenance activities, and strengthening of Brazilian Real. Phosphate blended rock cost per tonne decreased to $99 in the third quarter of 2025, from $105 in the same period prior year due to higher volumes as well as reduced usage of higher cost imported rock despite negative FX impacts.

Mosaic Fertilzantes sales volumes of 2.8 million tonnes in the third quarter decreased slightly from a year ago, primarily driven by softer-than-expected fertilizer shipments during the soybean application season amid a challenging credit environment. Mosaic continues to adopt prudent business and risk management practices and prioritize sales to customers with strong credit profiles. Notably, Mosaic recovered $27 million of prior bad debt expense and recorded no material new bad debt expense in the third quarter. Looking ahead, Mosaic expects 2025 sales volumes to be in the range of 9.4 to 9.6 million tonnes.

Fourth quarter sales volumes are expected to be slightly below the third quarter, driven by normal seasonality. Distribution margin per tonne is expected to be below the normal annualized $30-$40 range, also reflecting typical seasonality. Production margin is expected to be lower than the third quarter due to lower selling prices and higher raw material costs. As a result, G1fourth quarter segment adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $100 million given the downside risk related to continuing credit constraints.

Mosaic Biosciences Update

Mosaic Biosciences product sales more than doubled in the first nine months of 2025 compared with the same period of 2024. Year to date, Mosaic Biosciences has launched 4 new products(5) and remains on track to launch an additional product in 2025. G2Sales are expected to more than double to about $70 million in 2025, and Mosaic Biosciences is expected to positively contribute to adjusted EBITDA in the fourth quarter.

Agriculture Market and Macroeconomic Update

Ag economics are dynamic around the globe. Trade uncertainty has impacted near-term sentiment in North America, but recent improvement in commodity prices should encourage more fertilizer activity. In Brazil, growers have had to navigate lower commodity prices and tighter credit availability, yet our customers are actively buying fertilizer for upcoming seasons. Ag economics remain more constructive in other parts of the world, including key Canpotex markets. Canpotex is expected to set a shipment record this year given strong demand in its geographies.

Plant Nutrient Market Update

Fertilizer markets have remained balanced to tight for much of the year, which has supported prices. Recent price activity has improved affordability and is expected to encourage market engagement to replenish significant nutrient tonnes removed during recent large harvests.

Phosphate supply and demand fundamentals remain constructive: Growing demand for phosphate fertilizer, more demand from the industrial sector for LFP batteries, limited new capacity expected in the medium-term, and reduced Chinese exports continue to create tight markets. Chinese phosphate fertilizer exports are expected to fall more than 1.5 million tonnes this year, and China has recently pulled back phosphate export approvals, which will tighten the market heading into 2026.

Potash markets are balanced after a first-half supply deficit. Global demand has been steady and is expected to test another record as affordability has encouraged robust Chinese consumption, strong Brazilian imports, and growing Southeast Asian demand. We expect record Canpotex shipments this year and further strength into 2026. North American demand has held relatively consistent this year, though with current crop prices and trade uncertainty, we could see modest demand deferral this fall.

(1)See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for additional information and reconciliation.

(5)New products are defined as new brands or existing brands launched in new geographies

5

2025 Guidance Summary

Full Year 2025

G3Phosphate Production Volumes (million tonnes)

6.3 - 6.5

G4Potash Production Volumes (million tonnes)

9.1 - 9.4

G5Mosaic Fertilizantes Sales Volumes (million tonnes)

9.4 - 9.6

G6Total Capital Expenditures

Approx. $1.3 billion

G7Depreciation, Depletion & Amortization

$1.1 - $1.2 billion

G8Selling, General, and Administrative Expense

$530 - $550 million

G9Net Interest Expense

$180 - $200 million

Effective tax rate

High 20's %

Cash tax rate

Low 20's %

Fourth Quarter 2025

G10Phosphate Sales Volumes (million tonnes)

1.7 - 1.9

G11DAP FOB Plant Prices

$700 - $730

G12Potash Sales Volumes (million tonnes)

2.3 - 2.6

G13MOP FOB Mine Prices

$270 - $280

Sensitivities Table

The Company provided the following sensitivities using 2024 cost structure to price and foreign exchange rates to help investors anticipate the potential impact of movements in these factors.

Sensitivity

Full year adj. EBITDA impact(1)

2024 Actual

Average MOP Price / tonne (fob mine)

$10/mt price change = $58 million (4)

$222

Average DAP Price / tonne (fob plant)

$10/mt price change = $64 million

$585

(1) See “Non-GAAP Financial Measures” for additional information and reconciliation.

(4) Includes impact of Canadian Resource Tax

About The Mosaic Company

The Mosaic Company is one of the world's leading producers and marketers of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. Through its Mosaic Biosciences platform, the company is also advancing the next generation biological solutions to help farmers improve nutrient use efficiency and crop performance sustainably. Mosaic provides a single-source supply of phosphate, potash, and biological products for the global agriculture industry. More information on the company is available at www.mosaicco.com.

Mosaic will conduct a conference call on November 5, 2025, at 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time to discuss third quarter 2025 earnings results. A simultaneous webcast of the conference call may be accessed through Mosaic’s website at www.mosaicco.com/investors. This webcast will be available up to one year from the time of the earnings call.

This release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements may include, but are not limited to, statements about future transactions or strategic plans and other statements about future financial and operating results. Such statements are based upon the current beliefs and expectations of The Mosaic Company’s management and are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to: political and economic instability and changes in government policies in countries in which we have operations; the predictability and volatility of, and customer expectations about, agriculture, fertilizer, raw material, energy and transportation markets that are subject to competitive and other pressures and economic and credit market conditions; the level of inventories in the distribution channels for crop nutrients; the effect of future product innovations or development of new technologies on demand for our products; changes in foreign currency and exchange rates; international trade risks, including the impact of U.S.

6

tariffs and retaliatory tariffs on economic conditions; and other risks associated with Mosaic’s international operations; a material adverse change in our Ma'aden investment with respect to the financial position, performance, operations or prospects of Ma'aden; customer defaults; the effects of Mosaic’s decisions to exit business operations or locations; changes in government policy; changes in environmental and other governmental regulation, including expansion of the types and extent of water resources regulated under federal law, carbon taxes or other greenhouse gas regulation, implementation of numeric water quality standards for the discharge of nutrients into Florida waterways or efforts to reduce the flow of excess nutrients into the Mississippi River basin, the Gulf of America or elsewhere; further developments in judicial or administrative proceedings, or complaints that Mosaic’s operations are adversely impacting nearby farms, business operations or properties; difficulties or delays in receiving, increased costs of or challenges to necessary governmental permits or approvals or increased financial assurance requirements; resolution of global tax audit activity; the effectiveness of Mosaic’s processes for managing its strategic priorities; adverse weather conditions affecting operations in Central Florida, the Mississippi River basin, the Gulf Coast of the United States, Canada or Brazil, and including potential hurricanes, excess heat, cold, snow, rainfall or drought; actual costs of various items differing from management’s current estimates, including, among others, asset retirement, environmental remediation, reclamation or other environmental regulation, Canadian resources taxes and royalties, reduction of Mosaic’s available cash and liquidity, and increased leverage, due to its use of cash and/or available debt capacity to fund financial assurance requirements and strategic investments; brine inflows at Mosaic’s potash mines; other accidents and disruptions involving Mosaic’s operations, including potential mine fires, floods, explosions, seismic events, sinkholes or releases of hazardous or volatile chemicals; and risks associated with cyber security, including reputational loss; as well as other risks and uncertainties reported from time to time in The Mosaic Company’s reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Actual results may differ from those set forth in the forward-looking statements.

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

This press release includes the presentation and discussion of non-GAAP diluted net earnings per share, or adjusted EPS, non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA, non-GAAP cash cost of conversion or production per tonne, or non-GAAP adjusted effective tax rate, collectively referred to as non-GAAP financial measures. Generally, a non-GAAP financial measure is a supplemental numerical measure of a company's performance, financial position or cash flows that either excludes or includes amounts that are not normally excluded or included in the most directly comparable measure calculated and presented in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles, or GAAP. Non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered as substitutes for, or superior to, measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with GAAP.

In addition, because non-GAAP measures are not determined in accordance with GAAP, they are thus susceptible to varying interpretations and calculations and may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures of other companies. Adjusted metrics, including adjusted EPS, adjusted gross margin, and adjusted EBITDA are calculated by excluding the impact of notable items from the GAAP measure. Notable items impact on gross margin and adjusted EBITDA is pretax. Notable items impact on diluted net earnings per share is calculated as the notable item amount plus income tax effect, based on expected annual effective tax rate, divided by diluted weighted average shares. Management believes that these adjusted measures provide securities analysts, investors, management and others with useful supplemental information regarding our performance by excluding certain items that may not be indicative of, or are unrelated to, our core operating results.

Management utilizes these adjusted measures in analyzing and assessing Mosaic’s overall performance and financial trends, for financial and operating decision-making, and to forecast and plan for future periods. These adjusted measures also assist our management in comparing our and our competitors' operating results. We are not providing forward looking guidance for U.S. GAAP reported diluted net earnings per share, gross margin per tonne, or a quantitative reconciliation of forward-looking adjusted EPS, adjusted gross margin and adjusted EBITDA because we are unable to predict with reasonable certainty our notable items without unreasonable effort. Historically, our notable items have included, but are not limited to, foreign currency transaction gain or loss, unrealized gain or loss on derivatives and equity securities, acquisition-related fees, discrete tax items, contingencies and certain other gains or losses.

These items are uncertain, depend on various factors, and could have a material impact on U.S. GAAP reported results for the guidance period. Reconciliations for Non-GAAP financial measures contained in this press release are found below. Reconciliations for current and historical periods beginning with the quarter ended December 31, 2023 for consolidated adjusted EPS and adjusted EBITDA, as well as segment adjusted EBITDA and adjusted gross margin per tonne are provided in the Selected Calendar Quarter Financial Information performance data for the related periods. This information is being furnished under Exhibit 99.2 of the Form 8-K and available on our website at www.mosaicco.com in the “Financial Information - Quarterly Earnings” section under the “Investors” tab.

7

For the three months ended September 30, 2025, the company reported the following notable items which, combined, positively impacted earnings per share by $0.25:

Amount

Tax effect

EPS impact

Description

Segment

Line item

(in millions)

(in millions)

(per share)

Foreign currency transaction gain (loss)

Consolidated

Foreign currency transaction gain (loss)

$

(14)

$

3

$

(0.04)

Unrealized gain (loss) on derivatives

Corporate and Other

Cost of goods sold

(27)

7

(0.06)

Closed and indefinitely idled facility costs

Phosphate

Other operating income (expense)

(14)

3

(0.03)

Ma'aden mark-to-market

Corporate and Other

Other non-operating income (expense)

308

(80)

0.71

Environmental Reserve

Phosphate

Other operating income (expense)

(18)

5

(0.04)

Loss on assets held for sale and transaction fees

Mosaic Fertilizantes/Corporate

Other operating income (expense)/SG&A

(75)

—

(0.23)

Asset write-off

Mosaic Fertilizantes

Cost of goods sold/Other operating income (expense)

(11)

3

(0.03)

Land reclamation

Phosphate

Cost of goods sold

(14)

4

(0.03)

Total Notable Items

$

135

$

(55)

$

0.25

For the three months ended September 30, 2024, the company reported the following notable items which, combined, positively impacted earnings per share by $0.04:

Amount

Tax effect

EPS impact

Description

Segment

Line item

(in millions)

(in millions)

(per share)

Foreign currency transaction gain (loss)

Consolidated

Foreign currency transaction gain (loss)

$

111

$

(35)

$

0.22

Unrealized gain (loss) on derivatives

Corporate and Other

Cost of goods sold

38

(11)

0.09

Closed and indefinitely idled facility costs

Phosphate

Other operating income (expense)

(15)

5

(0.03)

FX functional currency

Mosaic Fertilizantes

Cost of goods sold

6

(2)

0.01

Realized gain (loss) on RCRA Trust Securities

Phosphate

Other non-operating income (expense)

5

(2)

0.01

ARO Adjustment

Phosphate

Other operating income (expense)

(102)

31

(0.22)

Environmental reserve

Phosphate

Other operating income (expense)

(20)

6

(0.04)

Total Notable Items

$

23

$

(8)

$

0.04

9

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Earnings

(in millions, except per share amounts)

The Mosaic Company

(unaudited)

Three months ended

Nine months ended

September 30,

September 30,

2025

2024

2025

2024

Net sales

$

3,452.1

$

2,810.9

$

9,078.7

$

8,306.9

Cost of goods sold

2,899.8

2,394.1

7,519.4

7,096.9

Gross margin

552.3

416.8

1,559.3

1,210.0

Selling, general and administrative expenses

125.5

148.2

415.3

383.4

Other operating expense

87.0

153.2

221.3

305.0

Operating earnings

339.8

115.4

922.7

521.6

Interest expense, net

(45.6)

(41.7)

(139.3)

(136.1)

Foreign currency transaction gain (loss)

(1.2)

100.9

301.3

(267.3)

Other income (expense)

306.3

(0.4)

391.7

6.8

Earnings from consolidated companies before income taxes

599.3

174.2

1,476.4

125.0

Provision for income taxes

175.5

48.0

384.8

152.9

Earnings (loss) from consolidated companies

423.8

126.2

1,091.6

(27.9)

Equity in net earnings of nonconsolidated companies

0.3

4.5

2.2

64.2

Net earnings including noncontrolling interests

424.1

130.7

1,093.8

36.3

Less: Net earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests

12.7

8.5

33.6

30.4

Net earnings attributable to Mosaic

$

411.4

$

122.2

$

1,060.2

$

5.9

Diluted net earnings per share attributable to Mosaic

$

1.29

$

0.38

$

3.33

$

0.02

Diluted weighted average number of shares outstanding

319.4

319.4

318.8

321.6

10

Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets

(in millions, except per share amounts)

The Mosaic Company

(unaudited)

September 30, 2025

December 31, 2024

Assets

Current assets:

Cash and cash equivalents

$

153.3

$

272.8

Receivables, net, including affiliate receivables of $113.9 and $109.9, respectively

1,060.4

1,113.3

Inventories

3,279.1

2,548.4

Other current assets

583.0

563.8

Total current assets

5,075.8

4,498.3

Property, plant and equipment, net of accumulated depreciation of $11,385.1 and $10,499.7, respectively

13,996.9

13,352.6

Equity securities and investments in nonconsolidated companies

1,940.8

1,533.4

Goodwill

1,091.8

1,061.1

Deferred income taxes

1,018.0

958.3

Other assets

1,544.2

1,520.3

Total assets

$

24,667.5

$

22,924.0

Liabilities and Equity

Current liabilities:

Short-term debt

$

1,153.7

$

847.1

Current maturities of long-term debt

42.6

45.3

Structured accounts payable arrangements

402.5

402.3

Accounts payable, including affiliate payables of $214.7 and $155.1, respectively

1,215.0

1,156.5

Accrued liabilities

1,635.9

1,720.1

Total current liabilities

4,449.7

4,171.3

Long-term debt, less current maturities

3,372.0

3,332.3

Deferred income taxes

971.0

942.8

Other noncurrent liabilities

2,937.8

2,862.9

Equity:

Preferred Stock, $0.01 par value, 15,000,000 shares authorized, none issued and outstanding as of June 30, 2025 and December 31, 2024

—

—

Common Stock, $0.01 par value, 1,000,000,000 shares authorized, 391,351,508 shares issued and 317,407,176 shares outstanding as of September 30, 2025, 394,648,654 shares issued and 316,932,047 shares outstanding as of December 31, 2024

3.2

3.2

Capital in excess of par value

22.7

2.1

Retained earnings

14,845.4

13,926.1

Accumulated other comprehensive loss

(2,090.6)

(2,449.0)

Total Mosaic stockholders' equity

12,780.7

11,482.4

Noncontrolling interests

156.3

132.3

Total equity

12,937.0

11,614.7

Total liabilities and equity

$

24,667.5

$

22,924.0

11

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

(in millions, except per share amounts)

The Mosaic Company

(unaudited)

Three months ended

Nine months ended

September 30,

September 30,

2025

2024

2025

2024

Cash Flows from Operating Activities:

Net earnings including noncontrolling interests

$

424.1

$

130.7

$

1,093.8

$

36.3

Adjustments to reconcile net earnings including noncontrolling interests to net cash provided by operating activities:

Depreciation, depletion and amortization

277.0

237.9

781.7

743.4

Deferred and other income taxes

31.1

(3.6)

55.7

36.2

Equity in net (earnings) of nonconsolidated companies, net of dividends

(0.8)

(4.5)

(1.8)

(49.2)

Accretion expense for asset retirement obligations

32.7

26.8

97.5

80.9

Share-based compensation expense

6.5

5.5

24.2

26.7

Unrealized (gain) loss on equity securities

(308.0)

—

(407.7)

—

Unrealized (gain) loss on derivatives

27.2

(38.7)

(85.1)

22.6

Foreign currency adjustments

65.1

(232.0)

(285.9)

117.5

Amortization of debt financing fees

10.5

3.5

33.6

25.1

Impairment of assets held for sale

73.0

—

73.0

—

Other

21.1

4.1

100.8

50.3

Changes in assets and liabilities:

Receivables, net

57.3

273.6

71.9

195.4

Inventories

(200.8)

(347.5)

(578.9)

(517.3)

Other current and noncurrent assets

3.7

(117.5)

27.6

(179.7)

Accounts payable and accrued liabilities

(287.8)

219.3

(169.1)

257.8

Other noncurrent liabilities

(3.4)

155.3

49.6

233.9

Net cash provided by operating activities

228.5

312.9

880.9

1,079.9

Cash Flows from Investing Activities:

Capital expenditures

(364.4)

(240.8)

(1,009.8)

(957.7)

Purchases of available-for-sale securities - restricted

(100.6)

(430.9)

(598.2)

(1,162.0)

Proceeds from sale of available-for-sale securities - restricted

100.5

421.1

577.9

1,119.1

Other

1.6

2.9

7.9

16.1

Net cash used in investing activities

(362.9)

(247.7)

(1,022.2)

(984.5)

Cash Flows from Financing Activities:

Short-term debt, net

213.9

170.3

205.4

151.5

Inventory financing arrangement, net

(101.7)

(302.1)

101.2

200.0

Structured accounts payable arrangements, net

(5.2)

129.6

(15.9)

(12.1)

Transferred receivables, net

(3.2)

1.4

—

1.5

Long-term debt, net

(14.9)

(12.7)

(49.8)

(55.2)

Repurchases of stock

—

(50.0)

—

(210.4)

Cash dividends paid

(69.5)

(66.8)

(210.5)

(204.2)

Dividends paid to non-controlling interest

(6.7)

(5.8)

(13.1)

(17.6)

Other

(8.9)

(1.8)

(26.7)

(22.1)

Net cash used in financing activities

3.8

(137.9)

(9.4)

(168.6)

Effect of exchange rate changes on cash

5.5

54.5

23.0

44.5

Net change in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash

(125.1)

(18.2)

(127.7)

(28.7)

Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash - beginning of period

302.4

350.3

305.0

360.8

Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash - end of period

$

177.3

$

332.1

$

177.3

$

332.1

11

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (Continued)

(in millions, except per share amounts)

Nine Months Ended

September 30, 2025

September 30, 2024

Reconciliation of cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash reported within the unaudited condensed consolidated balance sheets to the unaudited statements of cash flows:

Cash and cash equivalents

$

153.3

$

301.6

Restricted cash in other current assets

8.0

15.1

Restricted cash in other assets

16.0

15.4

Total cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash shown in the unaudited statements of cash flows

$

177.3

$

332.1

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Earnings Per Share Calculation

Three months ended September 30,

2025

2024

Net income (loss) attributable to Mosaic

$

411.4

$

122.2

Basic weighted average number of shares outstanding

317.4

318.4

Dilutive impact of share-based awards

2.0

1.0

Diluted weighted average number of shares outstanding

319.4

319.4

Basic net income (loss) per share attributable to Mosaic

$

1.30

$

0.38

Diluted net income (loss) per share attributable to Mosaic

$

1.29

$

0.38

Notable items impact on net income (loss) per share attributable to Mosaic

0.25

0.04

Adjusted diluted net income (loss) per share attributable to Mosaic

$

1.04

$

0.34

Free Cash Flow

Three months ended September 30,

2025

2024

Net cash provided by operating activities

$

229

$

313

Capital expenditures

(364)

(241)

Free cash flow

$

(135)

$

72

12

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Consolidated Earnings (in millions)

Three months ended

September 30,

June 30,

September 30,

2025

2025

2024

Consolidated net earnings (loss) attributable to Mosaic

$

411

$

411

$

122

Less: Consolidated interest expense, net

(46)

(53)

(42)

Plus: Consolidated depreciation, depletion and amortization

277

262

238

Plus: Accretion expense

33

33

26

Plus: Share-based compensation expense

7

8

5

Plus: Consolidated provision for income taxes

175

146

48

Less: Equity in net earnings of nonconsolidated companies, net of dividends

—

—

5

Plus: Notable items

(143)

(347)

(28)

Adjusted EBITDA

$

806

$

566

$

448

Income Tax Effective Tax Rate (in millions)

Three months ended

September 30,

2025

Income Tax Expense

$

175

Earnings Before Tax

$

599

Effective Tax Rate

29.3

%

Income Tax Expense

$

175

Tax Allowance Reversal

(5)

Tax Expense on All Other Notable Items (see notable items table for details of these items)

(50)

Adjusted Income Tax Expense

$

120

Earnings Before Tax

$

599

Earnings Impact of All Notable Items (net of non-controlling interest)

(135)

Adjusted Earnings Before Tax

$

464

Adjusted Effective Tax Rate

25.9

%

Three months ended

September 30,

June 30,

September 30,

Potash Earnings (in millions)

2025

2025

2024

Operating Earnings

$

229

$

194

$

109

Plus: Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization

93

79

69

Plus: Accretion Expense

3

3

2

Plus: Foreign Exchange Gain (Loss)

(56)

82

48

Plus: Other Income (Expense)

3

1

—

Plus: Notable Items

57

(81)

(48)

Adjusted EBITDA

$

329

$

278

$

180

13

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Three months ended

September 30,

June 30,

September 30,

Phosphate Earnings (in millions)

2025

2025

2024

Operating Earnings (Loss)

$

102

$

(8)

$

8

Plus: Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization

129

129

118

Plus: Accretion Expense

26

26

20

Plus: Foreign Exchange Gain (Loss)

10

(7)

(5)

Plus: Other Income (Expense)

(4)

(8)

1

Less: Earnings from Consolidated Noncontrolling Interests

11

10

8

Plus: Notable Items

28

95

131

Adjusted EBITDA

$

280

$

217

$

265

Three months ended

September 30,

June 30,

September 30,

Mosaic Fertilizantes Earnings (in millions)

2025

2025

2024

Operating Earnings

$

96

$

109

$

56

Plus: Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization

46

44

39

Plus: Accretion Expense

4

4

4

Plus: Foreign Exchange Gain (Loss)

(19)

(17)

17

Plus: Other Income (Expense)

(1)

(1)

(2)

Less: Earnings (Loss) from Consolidated Noncontrolling Interests

1

(1)

—

Plus: Notable Items

116

19

(31)

Adjusted EBITDA

$

241

$

159

$

83

Three months ended

September 30,

June 30,

September 30,

Corporate and Other Earnings (in millions)

2025

2025

2024

Operating Earnings (Loss)

$

(88)

$

(51)

$

(58)

Plus: Depreciation, Depletion and Amortization

9

10

12

Plus: Accretion Expense

7

7

5

Plus: Foreign Exchange Gain (Loss)

64

111

40

Plus: Other Income (Expense)

308

213

—

Plus: Earnings (Loss) from Equity Investments

—

2

—

Less: Earnings from Consolidated Noncontrolling Interests

—

—

(1)

Plus: Notable Items

(344)

(380)

(80)

Adjusted EBITDA

$

(44)

$

(88)

$

(80)

14

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Three months ended

September 30,

June 30,

September 30,

2025

2025

2024

Potash

Total COGS

$

459

$

501

$

404

Depreciation & accretion expense

96

82

71

Canadian Resource Taxes

87

62

44

Change in Inventory

(13)

26

(10)

Non-MOP Production Costs

134

179

167

Total MOP Cash Costs

$

155

$

152

$

132

Production tonnes (thousands)

2,186

2,025

1,789

MOP Cash Costs of Production per production tonne

$

71

$

75

$

74

Phosphate

Total COGS

$

1,146

$

1,070

$

863

Depreciation & accretion expense

161

163

139

Miski Mayo costs

55

22

48

Change in Inventory

310

226

218

Non Production Costs

267

334

170

Cash cost of U.S. Mined Rock

133

135

124

U.S. Rock Production tonnes (thousands)

2,158

2,657

2,199

Cash costs of U.S. mined rock/production tonne

$

62

$

51

$

56

Phosphate cash costs of conversion

$

220

$

190

$

164

Production tonnes (thousands)

1,677

1,505

1,625

Phosphate cash costs of conversion per production tonne

$

131

$

126

$

101

Fertilizantes

Total COGS

$

1,410

$

1,013

$

1,271

Distribution product costs

1,202

810

937

Depreciation & accretion expense

51

48

39

Change in Inventory

(139)

(93)

25

Non Production Costs

87

65

71

Rock cash costs of production

101

90

112

Potash cash costs of production

25

22

18

Production tonnes (thousands)

104

122

105

Potash cash costs of production per production tonne

$

240

$

178

$

175

Phosphate cash costs of conversion

$

83

$

71

$

68

Production tonnes (thousands)

835

842

779

Phosphate cash costs of conversion per production tonne

$

99

$

84

$

88

15

Mentions · how they’re counted

CategoryUnderlinedWord counterModel’s count
AI

AI, artificial intelligence, generative AI, machine learning, large language model, LLM

0——
Layoffs

layoffs, RIF, headcount reduction, workforce optimization, restructuring

0——
Recession

recession, downturn, contraction, slowdown

0——
Tariffs

tariff, trade war, trade barriers, trade restrictions, trade policy

2——
Buybacks

share repurchase, buyback program

0——

Underlines use the same word lists the scores use. AI, recession and tariffs follow Palanor’s word counter, so those counts match it exactly on the same text. Layoffs and buybacks use the terms the model was given. The model’s count is an estimate by meaning, not by string, so it can differ from the underlines.

Source: SEC EDGAR · public domain · Highlights by Palanor