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Palanor Data/Federal Reserve

FOMC statement

Federal Reserve Board / FOMC · FOMC statement

Filed 2022-01-26 · CY2022 Q1 · 450 words

Read the original on federalreserve.gov ↗

Palanor summary

The economy and employment have strengthened, though pandemic-affected sectors face new challenges from rising COVID cases. Inflation is elevated due to supply and demand imbalances. The Fed kept rates at 0-0.25% but expects a rate hike soon. It will continue reducing asset purchases, ending them in early March, while monitoring risks from virus variants.

Written by Palanor from the full document. Not the Federal Reserve’s words.

Sentiment

+0.20

Confidence

70%

Scored on the whole document. No single passage carries these two numbers, so none is highlighted.

January 26, 2022

Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement

For release at 2:00 p.m. EST

T1Indicators of economic activity and employment have continued to strengthen. T2The sectors most adversely affected by the pandemic have improved in recent months but are being affected by the recent sharp rise in COVID-19 cases. T3Job gains have been solid in recent months, and the unemployment rate has declined substantially. T4Supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic and the reopening of the economy have continued to contribute to elevated levels of inflation. Overall financial conditions remain accommodative, in part reflecting policy measures to support the economy and the flow of credit to U.S. households and businesses.

The path of the economy continues to depend on the course of the virus. Progress on vaccinations and an easing of supply constraints are expected to support continued gains in economic activity and employment as well as a reduction in inflation. Risks to the economic outlook remain, including from new variants of the virus.

The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. In support of these goals, the Committee decided to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent. T5With inflation well above 2 percent and a strong labor market, the Committee expects it will soon be appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate. T6The Committee decided to continue to reduce the monthly pace of its net asset purchases, bringing them to an end in early March. Beginning in February, the Committee will increase its holdings of Treasury securities by at least $20 billion per month and of agency mortgage‑backed securities by at least $10 billion per month.

The Federal Reserve's ongoing purchases and holdings of securities will continue to foster smooth market functioning and accommodative financial conditions, thereby supporting the flow of credit to households and businesses.

In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals. The Committee's assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on public health, labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments.

Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C. Williams, Vice Chair; Michelle W. Bowman; Lael Brainard; James Bullard; Esther L. George; Patrick Harker; Loretta J. Mester; and Christopher J. Waller. Patrick Harker voted as an alternate member at this meeting.

Implementation Note issued January 26, 2022

Mentions · how they’re counted

CategoryUnderlinedWord counterModel’s count
AI

AI, artificial intelligence, generative AI, machine learning, large language model, LLM

000
Layoffs

layoffs, RIF, headcount reduction, workforce optimization, restructuring

0—0
Recession

recession, downturn, contraction, slowdown

000
Tariffs

tariff, trade war, trade barriers, trade restrictions, trade policy

000
Buybacks

share repurchase, buyback program

0—0

Underlines use the same word lists the scores use. AI, recession and tariffs follow Palanor’s word counter, so those counts match it exactly on the same text. Layoffs and buybacks use the terms the model was given. The model’s count is an estimate by meaning, not by string, so it can differ from the underlines.

Not placed in the text

These quotes are stored with a score, but no passage here matches them closely enough to highlight. Rather than point at the wrong passage, they are listed as stored.

Theme · Virus risk outlook

“The path of the economy continues to depend on the course of the virus. Risks to the economic outlook remain, including from new variants of the virus.”

Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System · public domain · Highlights by Palanor