fiscal
US Federal Surplus / Deficit · % GDP
Latest
-5.77pct_gdp
Methodology
## What this measures
The federal budget balance each fiscal year as a share of GDP.
## Why it matters
A century of history: wars, the Depression, the 1990s surpluses and the post-2008 and post-2020 deficits all sit on one line.
## How to read it
Deficits at full employment are structural; those in recessions are cyclical.
## What it does not say
Includes interest; the primary deficit is smaller.
## Source
OMB via FRED, series FYFSGDA188S.
Read this signal inside the lattice.
Palanor weighs every signal against the world your organization is watching. Methodology is public; integration is the platform.
See it in Palanor →