Geopolitical Risk — Chile

## What this measures

The share of articles in ten major US, UK and Canadian newspapers that mention both adverse geopolitical events or threats (war, military buildups, nuclear threats, terrorism) and Chile, in percent of all articles, each month. It is one of the country indexes in the Geopolitical Risk (GPR) dataset of Caldara and Iacoviello.

## Why it matters

Chile is the world's largest copper producer and the second-largest lithium producer. A rise in geopolitical attention can come with domestic unrest, regional border disputes or Chile's role in trade fights over critical minerals.

## How to read it

Higher means more of the international press is writing about Chile in connection with conflict, threats or political violence. Since 1985 it has averaged about 0.02% of articles, the lowest of the 44 countries in the dataset. Compare a month with the country's own history rather than with other countries: the level depends on how much the papers cover a country at all.

## What it does not say

It measures English-language press attention, not the risk on the ground or its severity. Local unrest that the international press does not pick up will not show. A single month can jump on one story, so read the trend over several months.

## Source

Caldara, Dario and Matteo Iacoviello (2022), "Measuring Geopolitical Risk," American Economic Review 112(4), 1194–1225. Data: matteoiacoviello.com/gpr.htm (data_gpr_export.xls, column GPRC_CHL), licensed CC BY 4.0. Palanor downloads the file daily via /api/cron/gpr-sync and rounds values to four decimals.