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geopolitical

Geopolitical Risk — South Korea

Latest

0.28pct

Methodology

## What this measures

This series measures the share of articles in ten major newspapers that mention both geopolitical risk terms (war, military buildups, nuclear threats, terrorism) and South Korea. It is expressed as a percentage of all articles scanned.

## Background

Country GPR: share of articles mentioning geopolitical risk and South Korea.

The Geopolitical Risk index counts articles about adverse geopolitical events and threats (war, military buildups, nuclear threats, terrorism) as a share of all articles in ten major newspapers, via automated text search. 100 is the 1985–2019 average. Threats and acts are separate sub-indexes; the eight categories are each category's share of all articles, in percent; the country indexes count articles that mention both geopolitical risk and that country.

Source: Caldara, Dario and Matteo Iacoviello (2022), "Measuring Geopolitical Risk," American Economic Review 112(4), 1194–1225. Data: matteoiacoviello.com/gpr.htm, CC BY 4.0. Synced daily by /api/cron/gpr-sync.

## Why it matters

A rise flags periods when geopolitical events involving South Korea attract media attention, signaling potential disruption to supply chains, investment or operations in the region. It helps stewards gauge when external risk may warrant scenario planning or balance-sheet adjustment.

## How to read it

Higher values mean geopolitical risk involving South Korea occupies a larger share of news coverage. A rise suggests heightened tension or adverse events; a fall indicates quieter periods. Because the index is a share, compare it to its own history rather than to other countries' levels.

## What it does not say

The index does not quantify the severity of any single event, predict outcomes or measure actual economic impact. It reflects media attention, not the probability or materiality of threats.

## Source

Caldara and Iacoviello construct the index from automated text searches of ten newspapers. Palanor downloads the data files under CC BY 4.0 license.

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