Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?

## What this measures

This measures the market-implied probability that Naftali Bennett will be the next person to succeed Benjamin Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel. The value reflects the current price at which traders on Kalshi exchange contracts tied to this outcome.

## Why it matters

Leadership transitions in Israel matter to organizations with operations, partnerships or supply chains in the region because different leaders bring distinct policy priorities on security, economic regulation and international relations. Organizations also track succession probabilities to anticipate shifts in government procurement, defense spending and diplomatic alignments that shape market access and risk.

## How to read it

The probability runs from 0 to 1, where higher values indicate the market judges Bennett more likely to succeed Netanyahu. A rise signals traders see Bennett's path to the premiership strengthening; a fall suggests other candidates are gaining favor or the succession timeline is shifting.

## What it does not say

This is a market price, not a forecast by Palanor. It does not say when succession will occur, what path Bennett might take to office, or how other candidates compare.

## Source

Kalshi publishes this prediction market, and Palanor reads the contract's last traded price from Kalshi's public market data hourly.