macro
NY Fed Staff Nowcast · Current-Quarter Real GDP (weekly)
Latest
2.67%_qoq_saar
Methodology
## What this measures
The New York Fed Staff Nowcast for the current quarter's real GDP growth, annualized, one observation per weekly update (Fridays). `metadata.quarter` names the reference quarter.
## Why it matters
A second, independently built nowcast. It uses a dynamic factor model rather than GDPNow's bridge equations; when the two agree, the read is robust, and when they diverge the gap is itself information about which data the models weight.
## How to read it
Same as GDPNow: the within-quarter path. The NY Fed series was suspended September 2021 – September 2023; the stored history begins with the relaunch (December 2022 forecast dates).
## What it does not say
Not an official FOMC projection. No view beyond the next quarter.
## Source
Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Staff Nowcast download workbook (Forecasts By Horizon). Public.
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