macro
UK Net Migration: EU+ Nationals (ONS)
Latest
-42,000people
Methodology
## What this measures
Net migration to the United Kingdom of EU+ nationals: citizens of EU member states (for each period) and, from the year ending June 2021, of Norway, Iceland, Liechtenstein and Switzerland, excluding British nationals: long-term immigration minus long-term emigration, over rolling 12-month periods (years ending March, June, September and December), from the year ending June 2012 to the year ending December 2025. People, rounded by ONS to the nearest thousand. Each point is dated the last day of its 12-month period.
## Why it matters
Migration is the main driver of UK population growth and a large part of labour supply growth, and net migration is one of the most watched and argued-over numbers in UK politics. The split by nationality shows which flows are moving: after the UK left the EU, EU+ net migration turned negative while non-EU+ arrivals rose sharply.
## How to read it
Above zero, more of this group arrived to stay than left; below zero, more left. The series ran from 187,000 in the year ending June 2012 to −42,000 in the year ending December 2025; its high was 322,000 (the year ending June 2016) and its low −64,000 (the year ending September 2024). Consecutive points overlap by nine months, so compare a period with the same quarter a year earlier, not with the one before it. Periods marked provisional by ONS (the year ending March 2025 to the year ending December 2025 in the current edition) are revised in the next two releases as travel data confirm who stayed.
## What it does not say
ONS changed its methods for the year ending June 2021 onwards: estimates now come from Home Office borders and immigration data and DWP/HMRC administrative records, and ONS advises caution when comparing periods before and after that point (its notes 16 and 17), and says British estimates before and after it should not be compared. The EU+ group also changes definition at the same point, when Norway, Iceland, Liechtenstein and Switzerland join it. These are official statistics in development and the whole series is revised with each release. It counts moves of at least 12 months, not short visits, and says nothing about why people moved (ONS tables 3 and 4 give reasons for non-EU+ and EU+ visa holders).
## Source
Office for National Statistics, "Long-term international immigration, emigration and net migration flows, provisional", Table 1 (by nationality), Year ending December 2025 edition: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/populationandmigration/internationalmigration/datasets/longterminternationalimmigrationemigrationandnetmigrationflowsprovisional. Source: Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v.3.0. Palanor reads the newest edition every week with /api/cron/uk-visas-sync (ONS publishes in May and November) and stores ONS's figures unchanged.
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