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Core Goods vs Core Services Inflation

Change in consumer prices from a year earlier, %

Core services: 3.1% in Sep 2026−1.5 pp since Jan 1958

0 of 3 series are above their level a year earlier

Plays the chart through its history. Pauses are where the data set a record or moved most.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), U.S. city average, not seasonally adjusted: each bar is the change in the category’s index from the same month a year earlier, the figure BLS publishes. Core goods are commodities less food and energy commodities; core services are services less energy services.

The two halves of core inflation. Goods prices barely rose for two decades, spiked with the pandemic supply crunch and are now watched for tariffs; services, mostly rent, wages and insurance, move more slowly and decide where core settles.

What this chart reads

Sources

CPI-U: Core services (services less energy services) (U.S., not seasonally adjusted). Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), U.S. city average, not seasonally adjusted, series CUUR0000SASLE: https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUUR0000SASLE. Public domain ("everything that we publish... is in the public domain"). Read and, on CPI release days,; history from the BLS flat files (download.bls.gov/pub/time.series/cu).

CPI-U: Core goods (commodities less food and energy) (U.S., not seasonally adjusted). Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), U.S. city average, not seasonally adjusted, series CUUR0000SACL1E: https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUUR0000SACL1E. Public domain ("everything that we publish... is in the public domain"). Read and, on CPI release days,; history from the BLS flat files (download.bls.gov/pub/time.series/cu).

CPI-U: All items less food and energy (U.S., not seasonally adjusted). Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U), U.S. city average, not seasonally adjusted, series CUUR0000SA0L1E: https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUUR0000SA0L1E. Public domain ("everything that we publish... is in the public domain"). Read and, on CPI release days,; history from the BLS flat files (download.bls.gov/pub/time.series/cu).

Charts are drawn from Palanor's signal library and recomputed from source data on every view. Transformations (changes, indexing, year-on-year rates) are Palanor's.

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