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How the IMF Revised Its 2026 Growth Forecasts: the Gulf, Egypt, Iraq and Iran

Real GDP growth forecast for 2026 in the two newest World Economic Outlooks, %

World 3.1% in Oct 2026the biggest change since Apr 2026: Kuwait, −16.2 pp+0.0 pp since Apr 2026
Current·Data to Oct 2026
Apr 2026Oct 2026

Plays the chart through its history. Pauses are where the data set a record or moved most.

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook, the April and October editions (open data, attribution required). For each economy the faint bar is the earlier edition’s forecast for 2026 and the full bar the newest; the difference is the IMF’s revision. Egypt’s figures are for its fiscal year (July to June) and Iran’s for its year starting March 21.

What the IMF expected the Gulf economies, Egypt, Iraq and Iran to grow in 2026, in its April and October 2026 World Economic Outlooks, with the world for comparison.

What this chart reads·10 series

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Sources·10 sources

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World · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Saudi Arabia · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

United Arab Emirates · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Qatar · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Kuwait · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Oman · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Bahrain · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Iraq · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Iran · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Egypt · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Charts are drawn from Palanor's signal library and recomputed from source data on every view. Transformations (changes, indexing, year-on-year rates) are Palanor's.

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