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Material conflict share of world news events

Share of all article-weighted world news events that are material conflict (CAMEO QuadClass 4: force, coercion, assault, fighting, sanctions, seizures).

11.4% on Oct 21, 2026−2.8% since Sep 30, 2021
YTD1y2y5y10y20yAll
Forecast availableOffContinuationForesight™
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5-year rangeThe highest and lowest readings of the last five years, as a band. One-series charts only.High and lowMarks the highest and lowest readings in the window shown.
Current·Data to Oct 21, 2026

Plays the chart through its history. Pauses are where the data set a record or moved most.

What this chart reads

Sources

Material conflict share of world news events. Source: Palanor processes the GDELT Project raw daily event files, which machine-code world news into CAMEO events with actors, types and Goldstein scores. GDELT permits unrestricted use with citation.

Charts are drawn from Palanor's signal library and recomputed from source data on every view. Transformations (changes, indexing, year-on-year rates) are Palanor's.

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