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OFR Volatility Stress

The volatility category of the OFR Financial Stress Index: how much turbulence options and futures markets are pricing across equities, rates, currencies and oil.

0.0 on Oct 19, 2026+1.0 since Sep 28, 2016
YTD1y2y5y10y20yAll
ForecastOffContinuationForesight™
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U.S. recessionsShades the months the NBER dates as recession. U.S. charts only.5-year rangeThe highest and lowest readings of the last five years, as a band. One-series charts only.High and lowMarks the highest and lowest readings in the window shown.
Current·Data to Oct 19, 2026

Plays the chart through its history. Pauses are where the data set a record or moved most.

Continuation · the recent trend, flattening · 30 days

Dashed: the projection from the latest reading. Shaded: the range about two in three outcomes land in. A projection, not a promise.

What this chart reads

Sources

OFR Volatility Stress. Source: Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury, OFR Financial Stress Index, volatility category (financialresearch.gov/financial-stress-index). A US government work, public domain. It replaces Cboe's VIX, which reached us through FRED under permission granted to FRED, not to Palanor.

Charts are drawn from Palanor's signal library and recomputed from source data on every view. Transformations (changes, indexing, year-on-year rates) are Palanor's.

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