Skip to content
Palanor is in early release, with our founding customers.Become a founding customer →
PalanorPalanor

Bars over time

Social Security Cost-of-Living Adjustments

Annual increase in Social Security benefits, %, by year the adjustment takes effect

3.6% in 2026the highest since 2022−4.4 pp since 1975
Forecast availableOffContinuationForesight™
Current·Data to 2026

Plays the chart through its history. Pauses are where the data set a record or moved most.

Social Security Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary. Since 1983 the adjustment equals the rise in the CPI-W from the third quarter of the year before to the third quarter of the current year, and takes effect with December benefits, paid in January. There was no adjustment in years when that index fell.

Every automatic cost-of-living raise in Social Security since the adjustments began in 1975. The double-digit raises of the late 1970s and early 1980s, the zero years after the 2008 crisis, and the 2022 jump all follow inflation.

What this chart reads

Sources

Social Security Cost-of-Living Adjustment (COLA). Source: Social Security Administration, Office of the Chief Actuary, "Cost-of-Living Adjustments": https://www.ssa.gov/oact/cola/colaseries.html. U.S. government work, public domain (ssa.gov website policies). Palanor reads it monthly with; when ssa.gov refuses automated requests it reads the newest Internet Archive copy of the same page.

Charts are drawn from Palanor's signal library and recomputed from source data on every view. Transformations (changes, indexing, year-on-year rates) are Palanor's.

Related charts

GovernmentForecast

U.S. Federal Debt Since 1790

Federal debt held by the public as a share of GDP, %

99.4%Data to Sep 2025
GovernmentForecast

Trust in the Federal Government

Share of Americans who trust the federal government to do what is right always or most of the time, %

22%Data to Jun 2025
GovernmentForecast

Interest Costs in the Federal Budget

Federal interest as a share of outlays and of tax receipts, %

13.8%Data to Apr 2026
GovernmentForecast

US National Defense Spending (NIPA)

Federal national defense consumption expenditures and gross investment, $ billions, seasonally adjusted annual rate (BEA NIPA via FRED FDEFX).

1,190Data to Apr 2026
GovernmentForecast

Interest Costs vs. Defense Spending

Federal interest payments divided by national defense spending, ratio

1.08Data to Apr 2026
GovernmentForecast

U.S. Defense Spending

National defense spending as a share of GDP, %

3.7%Data to Apr 2026

Cookies

We only use essential cookies to keep you signed in and remember your theme. No analytics, no tracking, no ads. See the Privacy Policy for the full read.