Skip to content
Palanor is in early release, with our founding customers.Become a founding customer →
PalanorPalanor

Bars over time

S&P 500 Total Return by Year

Return on the S&P 500 in each calendar year, including dividends, %

17.7% in 2025the lowest since 2022−26.1 pp since 1928
Forecast availableOffContinuationForesight™
Current·Data to 2025

Plays the chart through its history. Pauses are where the data set a record or moved most.

Price change plus dividends paid in each calendar year; earlier years use the large-company indexes that preceded the S&P 500. Not adjusted for inflation; before fees and taxes. Data: Aswath Damodaran, NYU Stern (histretSP), pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/histret.html

What the U.S. stock market returned in every year since the late 1920s, counting dividends as well as price. Up years far outnumber down years, but the bars show how wide the swings are: the Depression, the 1970s, 2008 and 2022 sit beside long runs of gains.

What this chart reads

Sources

S&P 500 Annual Total Return (with Dividends). Source: Aswath Damodaran, NYU Stern (histretSP): Historical Returns on Stocks, Bonds and Bills, https://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/histret.html. Shown with Professor Damodaran's permission, with credit; the data is not redistributed. Refreshed monthly by Palanor; he adds each new year in January.

Charts are drawn from Palanor's signal library and recomputed from source data on every view. Transformations (changes, indexing, year-on-year rates) are Palanor's.

Related charts

MarketsForecast

Magnificent Seven Share of the S&P 500

Combined market value of the seven largest tech companies as a share of the S&P 500, %

34.7%Data yesterday
MarketsForecast

Yield Curve: 10-Year Minus 2-Year

Difference between 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields, percentage points

0.32 ppData yesterday
MarketsForecast

U.S. Treasury Yields

Yields on 2-year, 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasuries, %

4.79%Data 2 days ago
MarketsForecastMoving

Polymarket Open Interest

Dollars locked as collateral behind open Polymarket positions, USD, end of each week

$375MData yesterday
MarketsForecast

Financial Stress

OFR Financial Stress Index, 0 = average stress

−1.9Data 3 days ago
MarketsForecastMoving

The Magnificent Seven and the Rest of the S&P 500: How Closely They Move

Correlation of daily returns, Magnificent Seven Index vs the S&P 500 excluding the seven, rolling 63 and 126 trading days

0.55Data yesterday

Cookies

We only use essential cookies to keep you signed in and remember your theme. No analytics, no tracking, no ads. See the Privacy Policy for the full read.