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The Real Rate Index45.30.00Palanor: Inflation Pulse50.7+0.09Palanor: Geopolitical Stress60.0-2.16Palanor: Liquidity57.9-0.79Palanor: Capital Tightness47.5+0.91Palanor: Industrial Pulse70.10.00Palanor: AI Margin Compression53.4+0.29Palanor: Consumer Confidence48.6+0.50Palanor: US Dollar Strength46.50.00Palanor: Labor Heat63.2-0.01Palanor: Recession Vocabulary28.1+0.54Palanor: Uncertainty Index53.4+1.24Palanor: US Jobs Health40.30.00Palanor: Energy Transition37.0-0.52Palanor: Reshoring Sentiment22.8+0.54Palanor: AI Substitution28.4-0.24The Social Fabric Index45.70.00Palanor: Geopolitical Anxiety19.4-0.45Palanor: Quit Pressure37.6+0.42The Mania Index88.00.00The Palanor Index57.1-0.51Cost Disease Spread33.20.00Palanor: US vs China49.5-0.17Rise of Socialism Index40.8-0.26The Bubble Memory79.90.00Palanor: Steward Confidence50.8+0.13The Long Watch90.30.00The Reshoring Index55.2+0.00The Capital Return Index81.0-0.75The Discourse Index72.4+1.83The Hesitation Index30.8-6.58Palanor AI Inference Cost Index71.2-0.03The AI Capex Race Index78.4+1.36The Boardroom Index82.5-0.00The Layoff Cycle Index32.8-2.51Capital Deployment Posture Index62.3+1.26The Consumer Health Index41.7-2.96Labor Hours Composite44.40.00The Dollar Erosion Index66.6+0.14Palanor: Risk Appetite36.2+0.83
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U.S. Economy Health

Palanor Economy Health score, 0 = weakest month since 1998, 100 = strongest

59 in Sep 2026−5 since Sep 2024
YTD1y2y5y10y20yAll
Forecast availableOffContinuationForesight™
Show · 1 ▾
U.S. recessionsShades the months the NBER dates as recession. U.S. charts only.5-year rangeThe highest and lowest readings of the last five years, as a band. One-series charts only.High and lowMarks the highest and lowest readings in the window shown.
Current·Data to Sep 2026

Plays the chart through its history. Pauses are where the data set a record or moved most.

Built from growth, unemployment, prime-age employment, core inflation, debt service, a business survey, exports and housing starts, each scored against its own record.

One number for how the U.S. economy is doing against its own history since 1998. It places today on the range from the weakest month to the strongest.

What this chart reads

Sources

U.S. Economy Health. Source: Computed daily by Palanor. Inputs: BEA (GDP, core PCE, exports), BLS (unemployment, employment), Federal Reserve Board (debt service), Census Bureau (housing starts), all via FRED and in the public domain; the Empire State survey is © Federal Reserve Bank of New York, content subject to the Terms of Use at newyorkfed.org.

Charts are drawn from Palanor's signal library and recomputed from source data on every view. Transformations (changes, indexing, year-on-year rates) are Palanor's.

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