Skip to content
Palanor is in early release, with our founding customers.Become a founding customer →
The Real Rate Index45.30.00Palanor: Inflation Pulse50.7+0.09Palanor: Geopolitical Stress60.0-2.16Palanor: Liquidity57.9-0.79Palanor: Capital Tightness47.5+0.91Palanor: Industrial Pulse70.10.00Palanor: AI Margin Compression53.4+0.29Palanor: Consumer Confidence48.6+0.50Palanor: US Dollar Strength46.50.00Palanor: Labor Heat63.2-0.01Palanor: Recession Vocabulary28.1+0.54Palanor: Uncertainty Index53.4+1.24Palanor: US Jobs Health40.30.00Palanor: Energy Transition37.0-0.52Palanor: Reshoring Sentiment22.8+0.54Palanor: AI Substitution28.4-0.24The Social Fabric Index45.70.00Palanor: Geopolitical Anxiety19.4-0.45Palanor: Quit Pressure37.6+0.42The Mania Index88.00.00The Palanor Index57.1-0.51Cost Disease Spread33.20.00Palanor: US vs China49.5-0.17Rise of Socialism Index40.8-0.26The Bubble Memory79.90.00Palanor: Steward Confidence50.8+0.13The Long Watch90.30.00The Reshoring Index55.2+0.00The Capital Return Index81.0-0.75The Discourse Index72.4+1.83The Hesitation Index30.8-6.58Palanor AI Inference Cost Index71.2-0.03The AI Capex Race Index78.4+1.36The Boardroom Index82.5-0.00The Layoff Cycle Index32.8-2.51Capital Deployment Posture Index62.3+1.26The Consumer Health Index41.7-2.96Labor Hours Composite44.40.00The Dollar Erosion Index66.6+0.14Palanor: Risk Appetite36.2+0.83
PalanorPalanor

Latest reading, ranked

How the IMF Revised This Year’s Growth Forecasts, by Country

Change in the real GDP growth forecast for the current year, newest World Economic Outlook against the one before, percentage points

South Korea leads at 1.5 pp
YTD1y2y5y10y20yAll
Current·Data to 2026

Plays the chart through its history. Pauses are where a new leader takes first place.

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook, the April and October editions (open data, attribution required). Each bar is the newest edition’s growth forecast for the current year minus the previous edition’s forecast for the same year: above zero the IMF raised it, below zero it cut it.

Where the IMF changed its mind about growth this year. Each bar compares the IMF’s newest forecast for this year’s growth with its forecast six months earlier.

What this chart reads·41 series

Show all

Sources·41 sources

Show all

United States · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

China · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Japan · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Germany · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

India · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

United Kingdom · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

France · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Italy · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Brazil · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Canada · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Russia · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

South Korea · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Mexico · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Australia · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Spain · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Indonesia · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Türkiye · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Saudi Arabia · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Netherlands · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Switzerland · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Poland · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Sweden · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Belgium · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Argentina · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Ireland · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Austria · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Norway · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Israel · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

United Arab Emirates · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Singapore · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Thailand · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Malaysia · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Philippines · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Vietnam · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

South Africa · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Egypt · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Nigeria · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Colombia · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Chile · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Peru · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

World · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast Revision, Current Year. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Transformation by Palanor: the difference between two published IMF forecasts for the same year, one edition minus the edition before; the IMF does not publish this difference itself. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Charts are drawn from Palanor's signal library and recomputed from source data on every view. Transformations (changes, indexing, year-on-year rates) are Palanor's.

Related charts

World economies

How the IMF Revised This Year's Growth Forecasts

Change in the real GDP growth forecast for the current year from the previous World Economic Outlook, percentage points

0.0 ppData 21 days ago
World economies

G7 Economic Growth

Real GDP growth, latest year, %

2.2%Data to Dec 2025
World economiesForecast

U.K. Inflation

U.K. consumer price inflation, headline, core and services, %

3.5%Data 51 days ago
World economiesForecast

Leading Indicators: U.S., China and G7

OECD Composite Leading Indicators, long-term average = 100

101.0Data 51 days ago
World economies

The World Economy in One Chart

Gross domestic product by economy, current US dollars

1 viewsData to Dec 2025
World economiesForecast

Manufacturing’s Share of the Economy: Brazil and Its Peers

Manufacturing value added, % of GDP, yearly: Brazil, the United States, China, Germany, Mexico and India

11.8%Data to Dec 2025

Cookies

We only use essential cookies to keep you signed in and remember your theme. No analytics, no tracking, no ads. See the Privacy Policy for the full read.