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How the IMF Has Revised Its 2026 Growth Forecasts

Real GDP growth forecast for 2026 in the two newest World Economic Outlooks, %

World 3.1% in Oct 2026the biggest change since Apr 2026: India, +0.5 pp+0.0 pp since Apr 2026
Current·Data to Oct 2026
Apr 2026Oct 2026

Plays the chart through its history. Pauses are where the data set a record or moved most.

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook, the April and October editions. For each economy the faint bar is the earlier edition's forecast for 2026 and the full bar the newest; the difference is the IMF's revision.

What the IMF expected each large economy to grow in 2026, as published in its two newest World Economic Outlooks. Where the full bar sits above the faint one, the IMF raised its forecast; below, it cut it.

What this chart reads·11 series

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Sources·11 sources

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World · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

United States · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Euro Area · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

China · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Japan · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Germany · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

United Kingdom · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

France · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

India · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Brazil · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Mexico · IMF Real GDP Growth Forecast for 2026. Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026 (the IMF's published database file, WEOOct2026all.xlsx). Figures as published, rounded to at most four decimals. Provided by the IMF "as is" and available free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.

Charts are drawn from Palanor's signal library and recomputed from source data on every view. Transformations (changes, indexing, year-on-year rates) are Palanor's.

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