Guyana
Everything Palanor holds about Guyana, in one place: 48 public signals, what its economy runs on, how often America’s largest companies name it, the news that names it, and Country Posture. Every figure is computed from stored readings and carries its source and date.
South AmericaAmericasLatin America & Caribbean
Country Posture
What Guyana’s economy is doing
Momentum
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.590 below 0.60; AUC 0.590 below the single-input baseline (0.624); 2010–2022: AUC 0.595 below 0.60; AUC 0.595 below the single-input baseline (0.641).
Inputs
| Real GDP growth | 19.3 |
| Growth against its three-year average | -27.6 |
| Change in unemployment | 0.1 |
| Change in the employment rate | -0.2 |
| Export volume growth | — |
| OECD leading indicator | — |
Resilience
2025Withheld: 1 of 5 core inputs reported for 2025.
Inputs
| Interest as a share of revenue | — |
| Budget balance | — |
| Reserves, months of imports | — |
| Current account | — |
| Governance (WGI mean) | -0.11 |
| External debt (2024) | 22.6 |
Pressure
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.657 below the single-input baseline (0.672).
Inputs
| Inflation | 3.3 |
| Change in inflation | 0.4 |
| Currency move against the dollar | 0.0% |
| Conflict deaths per million | 0.0 |
| Political stability | 0.20 |
| Private credit, three-year change | -4.6 |
| Bond spread over U.S. Treasuries | — |
Posture describes what an economy is doing; it is not a rating and never ranks countries. Each input is read against the country’s own history and against every other economy that year. An axis shows a score only after passing a back-test fixed before any result was computed. Method and back-test.
Passport reach
Where a Guyana passport opens doors
The share of world GDP, outside Guyana itself, in the economies whose published rules let a holder of this passport in, as of October 2026. Palanor records the rules of destinations holding 88% of world GDP, from each government’s own list, and weights them by World Bank GDP for 2025. Rank is among 199 passports.
Work
0.0%rank 114 of 199
the right to work (free movement in full; treaty and working-holiday routes at half); 0 destinations in full.
Recorded changes
Reach is shown here and not weighted into Country Strength: it rewards membership of a free-movement area or a treaty more than the strength of an economy. Entry is always at the border officer’s discretion, and conditions (length of stay, fees, age limits) vary. Method, sources and the full ranking: Passports and citizenship.
Palanor calculation from each destination government's published rules; GDP weights from the World Bank (CC BY 4.0), one year for the whole line, so it moves only when a list changes.
IMF World Economic Outlook
The IMF’s outlook for Guyana
The latest year before the October 2026 edition (often still an IMF estimate) and the IMF’s own projections. These are the IMF’s published forecasts, shown as published; Palanor does not project them further. Since the previous edition the IMF raised its growth forecast for this year by 6.2 percentage points (Palanor calculation).
| Measure | 2025 | 2026 IMF f’cast | 2027 IMF f’cast | 2031 IMF f’cast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth% | 19.3 | 22.3 | 16.8 | 1.5 |
| Inflation, average consumer prices% | 3.3 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 5.5 |
| GDP, current US dollarsUS$ bn | 26.8 | 40.3 | 43.5 | 50.6 |
| GDP at purchasing-power parityintl $ bn | 81.8 | 103.4 | 124.6 | 159.0 |
| GDP per person, US dollarsUS$ | 26,104 | 38,572 | 40,806 | 45,098 |
| Current account balance% of GDP | 21.4 | 31.6 | 17.5 | 19.0 |
| Government gross debt% of GDP | 28.9 | 25.3 | 26.0 | 28.3 |
| Government net debt% of GDP | 25.4 | 24.5 | 25.8 | 28.1 |
| Government overall balance% of GDP | -5.5 | -5.9 | -3.1 | -0.9 |
| Government primary balance% of GDP | -5.1 | -5.6 | -2.6 | -0.4 |
| Government net interest paid% of GDP · Palanor calc. | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026. Provided by the IMF “as is” and free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor. Net interest paid is a Palanor calculation: the IMF's primary balance minus its overall balance.
Conflict
Organized violence
News
In the news
- Exxon’s Oil Boom Could Keep Guyana’s Gas at Home
OilPrice.com2026-10-15positive · +boom
- Drawing on her political experience in Guyana, Carolyn Rodrigues Birkett “would prioritise the UN’s efforts to make an impact”. Read why she believes she should be the next secretary-general
The Economist · Bluesky2026-10-14neutral
- EXCLUSIVE: Guyana may scale back LNG plans as Exxon needs more gas for its wells, sources say reut.rs/4yj1tV8
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-13neutral
- Guyana Oil Exports Set to Surpass 1 Million Barrels per Day for First Time
OilPrice.com2026-10-13neutral
- The UN requires a secretary-general who “is realistic, pragmatic and nimble”, writes Carolyn Rodrigues Birkett. In a guest essay, the former foreign minister and permanent representative of Guyana sets out why she is right for the role
The Economist · Bluesky2026-10-12neutral
- Gimme Three Steps – How the Permian, Guyana and LNG Are Reshaping ExxonMobil's Upstream Portfolio
RBN Energy2026-10-06neutral
- Guyana’s Oil Riches Are Transforming Its Economy at Breakneck Speed
OilPrice.com2026-09-30neutral
Headlines that name Guyana, matched by name with fixed rules (a wrong match is worse than a missing one). Tone is read from each headline’s own words; no model reads or summarizes an article, and other publishers’ stories link out.
Signals
Every series about Guyana
Grouped by theme, the most-read first. All 48 in the Library.
Money, rates and credit1
- Guyana · Central Bank Policy Rate (IMF)record low since Mar 1966; 1y unchanged5%2026-03-01
Trade and capital flows1
- Guyana · Net International Investment Position, % of GDP (IMF)highest since 2018; 1y +48.38 pts-86.6% of GDP2022
Energy and resources1
- Crude Oil Production · Guyanarecord high since Jan 2004; 1y +41.1%9102026-06-01
Conflict and geopolitics1 of 5
- Guyana · Organized-Violence Deaths (UCDP, annual)record low since 1989; 1y unchanged0 deaths2025
Migration1 of 3
- U.S.-Born People Living in Guyana (UN)record high since 19901,286 people2024
AI stance and technology1
- AI User Share: Guyana (Microsoft AI Diffusion)1y +3.00 pts11.3% of people aged 15-642026-06-30
Climate and the physical world2 of 4
Health and living standards4
- Guyana · Tertiary Enrollment Gender Gap · pts (women − men)record high since 1971; 1y +1.56 pts21.52024
- Guyana · Tertiary Enrollment, Men · % grossrecord high since 1971; 1y +0.521 pts15.9% gross2024
- Guyana · Tertiary Enrollment, Women · % grossrecord high since 1971; 1y +2.09 pts37.4% gross2024
- Guyana · Deaths from Non-Communicable Diseases · % of all deaths47.2% of deaths2021
More about this country2
- Guyana · IMF Credit Outstanding · USD bn (IMF)record low since Sep 1971; 1y unchanged$0bn2026-09-01
- Guyana · IMF Credit Outstanding, % of GDPrecord low since 1980; 1y unchanged0% of GDP2025
Peers
Elsewhere in South America
Alphabetical. Palanor does not rank countries.
ArgentinaBoliviaBrazilChileColombiaEcuadorFalkland IslandsFrench GuianaParaguayPeruSurinameUruguayVenezuela