Middle-class stage

The stages

1. 1. Pre-middle-class

   Few people live on $10 a day or more; poverty is widespread.

2. 2. Emerging middle class

   A middle class is forming but is still a minority.

3. 3. Middle-class majority

   Most people live on $10 a day or more; extreme poverty is rare.

4. 4. Affluent

   Nearly everyone lives on $10 a day or more and a large share on $50 or more.

Where each country has been

One row per country, alphabetical; one cell per year, shaded by the leading stage. Hatched cells were withheld: too little of the evidence was published to place the country. Select a country for its reading and evidence.

How it is read

Each indicator has a range for every stage it speaks to, in its own units. A value inside a range counts fully for that stage and less the further outside it falls. Stage fits become probabilities; the leading stage is published only when at least 60% of the indicator weight is readable and fresh, a strong stage’s named evidence agrees (gates), and a challenger leads the current stage by 15 points before the call changes.

Gates: Affluent needs living on $10+ a day, % at or near its range.

The publish gate

Before any reading was computed, Palanor named known episodes and the stages they should read as. A schema publishes stages only if at least two episodes read as expected and hits outnumber misses. Misses stay on this page.