Puerto Rico
Everything Palanor holds about Puerto Rico, in one place: 35 public signals, what its economy runs on, how often America’s largest companies name it, the news that names it, and Country Posture. Every figure is computed from stored readings and carries its source and date.
North AmericaAmericasLatin America & Caribbean
The latest read
- GDP in current U.S. dollars: $129.4 billion (2025); record high since 1990; 1y +2.7%.
- Household consumption, share of GDP: 78.7% of GDP (2025); record high since 1990; 1y +1.60 pts.
- Net exports, share of GDP: 3.31% of GDP (2025); record low since 1990; 1y −5.82 pts.
Country Posture
What Puerto Rico’s economy is doing
Momentum
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.590 below 0.60; AUC 0.590 below the single-input baseline (0.624); 2010–2022: AUC 0.595 below 0.60; AUC 0.595 below the single-input baseline (0.641).
Inputs
| Real GDP growth | 0.3 |
| Growth against its three-year average | -2.0 |
| Change in unemployment | 0.4 |
| Change in the employment rate | 0.0 |
| Export volume growth | — |
| OECD leading indicator | — |
Resilience
2025Withheld: 1 of 5 core inputs reported for 2025.
Inputs
| Interest as a share of revenue | — |
| Budget balance | — |
| Reserves, months of imports | — |
| Current account | — |
| Governance (WGI mean) | 0.29 |
| External debt | — |
Pressure
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.657 below the single-input baseline (0.672).
Inputs
| Inflation | — |
| Change in inflation | — |
| Currency move against the dollar | 0.0% |
| Conflict deaths per million | 0.0 |
| Political stability | 0.37 |
| Private credit, three-year change | — |
| Bond spread over U.S. Treasuries | — |
Posture describes what an economy is doing; it is not a rating and never ranks countries. Each input is read against the country’s own history and against every other economy that year. An axis shows a score only after passing a back-test fixed before any result was computed. Method and back-test.
GDP by expenditure
What Puerto Rico’s economy runs on
In 2025, household spending was 78.7% of GDP, government consumption 7.7%, investment 14.2% and net exports +3.3% (exports 46.9%, imports 43.6%). In 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025 the parts miss 100 by more than three points (the statistical discrepancy in Puerto Rico’s national accounts).
World Bank national accounts. The parts can miss 100 by a few points (the statistical discrepancy).
Same World Bank definition for every country, so the shares compare directly: What each economy runs on.
IMF World Economic Outlook
The IMF’s outlook for Puerto Rico
The latest year before the October 2026 edition (often still an IMF estimate) and the IMF’s own projections. These are the IMF’s published forecasts, shown as published; Palanor does not project them further. Since the previous edition the IMF left unchanged its growth forecast for this year (Palanor calculation).
| Measure | 2025 | 2026 IMF f’cast | 2027 IMF f’cast | 2031 IMF f’cast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth% | 0.3 | -0.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Inflation, average consumer prices% | 1.5 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 2.5 |
| Unemployment rate% of labor force | 5.6 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| GDP, current US dollarsUS$ bn | 129.4 | 133.2 | 139.4 | 158.3 |
| GDP at purchasing-power parityintl $ bn | 166.2 | 171.6 | 178.8 | 198.6 |
| GDP per person, US dollarsUS$ | 40,620 | 41,851 | 43,808 | 49,855 |
| Government gross debt% of GDP | 17.6 | 18.2 | 18.5 | 17.6 |
| Government overall balance% of GDP | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.1 |
| Government primary balance% of GDP | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Government net interest paid% of GDP · Palanor calc. | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026. Provided by the IMF “as is” and free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor. Net interest paid is a Palanor calculation: the IMF's primary balance minus its overall balance.
News
In the news
- The U.S. government is proposing that all Head Start programs conduct instruction exclusively in English, and some of the strongest outcry is coming from Puerto Rico.
The Associated Press · Bluesky2026-10-16neutral
- An analysis of voting equipment in Puerto Rico grew into a US federal effort spanning multiple agencies to find proof voting machines were manipulated to flip votes in the 2020 election, Reuters found. The probe ultimately found found no evidence votes were manipulated reut.rs/4hHBkcA
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-02neutral · +grew -probe
Headlines that name Puerto Rico, matched by name with fixed rules (a wrong match is worse than a missing one). Tone is read from each headline’s own words; no model reads or summarizes an article, and other publishers’ stories link out.
Company graph
Companies headquartered in Puerto Rico
Palanor’s company graph holds 143 entities headquartered here, 3 with a listed ticker (GLEIF headquarters address, else legal address).
- OFG BANCORPOFG · San Juan
- POPULAR, INC.BPOP · San Juan
Signals
Every series about Puerto Rico
Grouped by theme, the most-read first. All 35 in the Library.
Growth and output1
- Puerto Rico · GDP · USD bn (current)record high since 1990; 1y +2.7%$129.4bn2025
Peers
Elsewhere in North America
Alphabetical. Palanor does not rank countries.
AnguillaAntigua and BarbudaArubaBahamasBarbadosBelizeBermudaCanadaCayman IslandsCosta RicaCubaCuraçaoDominicaDominican RepublicEl SalvadorGreenlandGrenadaGuadeloupeGuatemalaHaitiHondurasJamaicaMartiniqueMexicoMontserratNicaraguaPanamaSaint Kitts and NevisSaint LuciaSaint MartinSaint Pierre and MiquelonSaint Vincent and the GrenadinesSint MaartenTrinidad and TobagoTurks and Caicos IslandsUnited StatesVirgin IslandsVirgin Islands