Mali
Everything Palanor holds about Mali, in one place: 52 public signals, what its economy runs on, how often America’s largest companies name it, the news that names it, and Country Posture. Every figure is computed from stored readings and carries its source and date.
AfricaSub-Saharan AfricaMiddle East & Africa
The latest read
- GDP in current U.S. dollars: $30.1 billion (2025); record high since 1990; 1y +12.4%.
- Household consumption, share of GDP: 71.5% of GDP (2025); 21st percentile since 1990; lowest since 2019; 1y −1.02 pts.
- Net exports, share of GDP: -4.62% of GDP (2025); 90th percentile since 1990; highest since 2012; 1y +0.5 pts.
Country Posture
What Mali’s economy is doing
Momentum
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.590 below 0.60; AUC 0.590 below the single-input baseline (0.624); 2010–2022: AUC 0.595 below 0.60; AUC 0.595 below the single-input baseline (0.641).
Inputs
| Real GDP growth | 5.6 |
| Growth against its three-year average | 1.1 |
| Change in unemployment | -0.1 |
| Change in the employment rate | -0.1 |
| Export volume growth | — |
| OECD leading indicator | — |
Resilience
2025Withheld: 2 of 5 core inputs reported for 2025.
Inputs
| Interest as a share of revenue | — |
| Budget balance | — |
| Reserves, months of imports | — |
| Current account (2024) | -4.3 |
| Governance (WGI mean) | -1.34 |
| External debt (2024) | 24.9 |
Pressure
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.657 below the single-input baseline (0.672).
Inputs
| Inflation | 3.3 |
| Change in inflation | 0.1 |
| Currency move against the dollar | -4.1% |
| Conflict deaths per million | 85.6 |
| Political stability | -2.50 |
| Private credit, three-year change | -4.3 |
| Bond spread over U.S. Treasuries | — |
Posture describes what an economy is doing; it is not a rating and never ranks countries. Each input is read against the country’s own history and against every other economy that year. An axis shows a score only after passing a back-test fixed before any result was computed. Method and back-test.
Passport reach
Where a Mali passport opens doors
The share of world GDP, outside Mali itself, in the economies whose published rules let a holder of this passport in, as of October 2026. Palanor records the rules of destinations holding 88% of world GDP, from each government’s own list, and weights them by World Bank GDP for 2025. Rank is among 199 passports.
Work
0.0%rank 114 of 199
the right to work (free movement in full; treaty and working-holiday routes at half); 0 destinations in full.
Recorded changes
- 2026-01-01United States · visit: Visa required → Not admitted source
Reach is shown here and not weighted into Country Strength: it rewards membership of a free-movement area or a treaty more than the strength of an economy. Entry is always at the border officer’s discretion, and conditions (length of stay, fees, age limits) vary. Method, sources and the full ranking: Passports and citizenship.
Palanor calculation from each destination government's published rules; GDP weights from the World Bank (CC BY 4.0), one year for the whole line, so it moves only when a list changes.
GDP by expenditure
What Mali’s economy runs on
In 2025, household spending was 71.5% of GDP, government consumption 13.1%, investment 20.0% and net exports -4.6% (exports 22.1%, imports 26.7%).
World Bank national accounts. The parts can miss 100 by a few points (the statistical discrepancy).
Same World Bank definition for every country, so the shares compare directly: What each economy runs on.
IMF World Economic Outlook
The IMF’s outlook for Mali
The latest year before the October 2026 edition (often still an IMF estimate) and the IMF’s own projections. These are the IMF’s published forecasts, shown as published; Palanor does not project them further. Since the previous edition the IMF left unchanged its growth forecast for this year (Palanor calculation).
| Measure | 2025 | 2026 IMF f’cast | 2027 IMF f’cast | 2031 IMF f’cast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth% | 4.9 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 5.3 |
| Inflation, average consumer prices% | 2.3 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| GDP, current US dollarsUS$ bn | 31.2 | 34.9 | 37.8 | 49.8 |
| GDP at purchasing-power parityintl $ bn | 87.8 | 95.8 | 104.4 | 138.5 |
| GDP per person, US dollarsUS$ | 1,238 | 1,343 | 1,409 | 1,647 |
| Current account balance% of GDP | 0.1 | -3.4 | -3.4 | -2.0 |
| Government gross debt% of GDP | 40.3 | 39.7 | 39.0 | 39.8 |
| Government net debt% of GDP | 36.8 | 35.9 | 34.7 | 34.7 |
| Government overall balance% of GDP | -1.5 | -2.8 | -2.8 | -2.9 |
| Government primary balance% of GDP | -0.0 | -1.3 | -1.2 | -1.2 |
| Government net interest paid% of GDP · Palanor calc. | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026. Provided by the IMF “as is” and free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor. Net interest paid is a Palanor calculation: the IMF's primary balance minus its overall balance.
Conflict
Organized violence
News
In the news
- Europe's nuclear push amid Mali chaos
Germany and France launch nuclear cooperation while security deteriorates in Africa, highlighting Europe's strategic vulnerability.
Palanor Wire2026-07-18neutral
- Conflict escalation in Crimea and Mali tests geopolitical bandwidth
Simultaneous flare-ups in Eastern Europe and the Sahel arrive as Trump re-engages on Ukraine, raising questions about capital and policy prioritization.
Palanor Wire2026-07-05negative · -conflict
- Islamic State-linked militants kill at least 48 civilians in eastern Mali, sources say reut.rs/4irm597
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-20negative · -kill
- Mali forces, Russian backers kill scores of civilians in drone strikes, report says reut.rs/3WdguKT
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-19negative · -kill -strikes
- Mali Vázquez, directora ejecutiva CEDU-AEV: “Los recursos del FGS destinados a fondear hipotecas podrían tener un impacto mayor si también financia viviendas en construcción”
La Nación (Argentina)2026-10-11neutral
- CONFLICT ZONE: Mali
Marketaux (financial news API)2026-10-09negative · -conflict
- Mali separatists announce withdrawal from strategic northern town reut.rs/3VyalbZ
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-06neutral
- Tunisia cancel Mali friendly due to injuries, ranking concerns, source says reut.rs/4jwZfxF
Reuters · Bluesky2026-09-30neutral
- Barrick Mining reaches deal with unions at Mali gold mine, easing strike threat
MINING.COM · Gold2026-09-27neutral · +deal +easing -strike
- Mali setbacks force Resolute Mining to cut Syama outlook
MINING.COM · Gold2026-09-22negative · -cut
Headlines that name Mali, matched by name with fixed rules (a wrong match is worse than a missing one). Tone is read from each headline’s own words; no model reads or summarizes an article, and other publishers’ stories link out.
Signals
Every series about Mali
Grouped by theme, the most-read first. All 52 in the Library.
Growth and output1
- Mali · GDP · USD bn (current)record high since 1990; 1y +12.4%$30.1bn2025
Trade and capital flows1
- Mali · Net International Investment Position, % of GDP (IMF)16th percentile since 1996; lowest since 2000; 1y −3.05 pts-61.7% of GDP2023
Energy and resources3
- Lithium Mine Production Share: Mali1y +2.90 pts3.24%2025
- Lithium Mine Production: Mali1y +1120.8%9,4002025
- Lithium Reserves: Mali370,0002025
Conflict and geopolitics2 of 6
- Mali · Organized-Violence Deaths (UCDP, annual)96th percentile since 1989; highest since 2022; 1y +13.5%2,157 deaths2025
- Mali · State-Based Conflict Deaths (UCDP, annual)96th percentile since 1989; highest since 2022; 1y +34.6%1,357 deaths2025
Migration1 of 3
- U.S.-Born People Living in Mali (UN)record high since 19901,870 people2024
AI stance and technology1
- AI User Share: Mali (Microsoft AI Diffusion)1y +1.70 pts10.4% of people aged 15-642026-06-30
Climate and the physical world1 of 3
- Mali Burned Area (GWIS)69th percentile since 2002; 1y −1.1%7.32025
More about this country2
- Mali · IMF Credit Outstanding · USD bn (IMF)90th percentile since Jul 1964; lowest since Mar 2025; 1y −18.9%$0.44bn2026-09-01
- Mali · IMF Credit Outstanding, % of GDP40th percentile since 1980; 1y +0.0114 pts1.62% of GDP2025
Peers
Elsewhere in Africa
Alphabetical. Palanor does not rank countries.
AlgeriaAngolaBeninBotswanaBritish Indian Ocean TerritoryBurkina FasoBurundiCabo VerdeCameroonCentral African RepublicChadComorosCongoCôte d'IvoireDjiboutiDR CongoEgyptEquatorial GuineaEritreaEswatiniEthiopiaGabonGambiaGhanaGuineaGuinea-BissauKenyaLesothoLiberiaLibyaMadagascarMalawiMauritaniaMauritiusMoroccoMozambiqueNamibiaNigerNigeriaRéunionRwandaSao Tome and PrincipeSenegalSeychellesSierra LeoneSomaliaSouth AfricaSouth SudanSudanTanzaniaTogoTunisiaUgandaZambiaZimbabwe