Mozambique
Everything Palanor holds about Mozambique, in one place: 51 public signals, what its economy runs on, how often America’s largest companies name it, the news that names it, and Country Posture. Every figure is computed from stored readings and carries its source and date.
AfricaSub-Saharan AfricaMiddle East & Africa
The latest read
- GDP in current U.S. dollars: $22.3 billion (2025); 96th percentile since 1991; 1y −1.8%.
- Household consumption, share of GDP: 70.9% of GDP (2025); 27th percentile since 1991; lowest since 2020; 1y −2.98 pts.
- Net exports, share of GDP: -14.3% of GDP (2025); 81st percentile since 1991; 1y −4.35 pts.
Country Posture
What Mozambique’s economy is doing
Momentum
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.590 below 0.60; AUC 0.590 below the single-input baseline (0.624); 2010–2022: AUC 0.595 below 0.60; AUC 0.595 below the single-input baseline (0.641).
Inputs
| Real GDP growth | -0.5 |
| Growth against its three-year average | -4.5 |
| Change in unemployment | -0.0 |
| Change in the employment rate | -0.0 |
| Export volume growth | — |
| OECD leading indicator | — |
Resilience
202520Thin buffers
0 = thin buffers · 100 = deep buffers
Moved most by current account (down) since the year before.
Inputs
| Interest as a share of revenue (2024) | 15.1 | 12 |
| Budget balance (2024) | -4.3 | 20 |
| Reserves, months of imports (2024) | 3.4 | 39 |
| Current account | -14.2 | 36 |
| Governance (WGI mean) | -1.07 | 8 |
| External debt (2024) | 351 | 14 |
Pressure
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.657 below the single-input baseline (0.672).
Inputs
| Inflation | 4.4 |
| Change in inflation | 0.3 |
| Currency move against the dollar | — |
| Conflict deaths per million | 17.1 |
| Political stability | -1.66 |
| Private credit, three-year change | -2.5 |
| Bond spread over U.S. Treasuries | — |
Posture describes what an economy is doing; it is not a rating and never ranks countries. Each input is read against the country’s own history and against every other economy that year. An axis shows a score only after passing a back-test fixed before any result was computed. Method and back-test.
Passport reach
Where a Mozambique passport opens doors
The share of world GDP, outside Mozambique itself, in the economies whose published rules let a holder of this passport in, as of October 2026. Palanor records the rules of destinations holding 88% of world GDP, from each government’s own list, and weights them by World Bank GDP for 2025. Rank is among 199 passports.
Work
0.0%rank 114 of 199
the right to work (free movement in full; treaty and working-holiday routes at half); 0 destinations in full.
Reach is shown here and not weighted into Country Strength: it rewards membership of a free-movement area or a treaty more than the strength of an economy. Entry is always at the border officer’s discretion, and conditions (length of stay, fees, age limits) vary. Method, sources and the full ranking: Passports and citizenship.
Palanor calculation from each destination government's published rules; GDP weights from the World Bank (CC BY 4.0), one year for the whole line, so it moves only when a list changes.
GDP by expenditure
What Mozambique’s economy runs on
In 2025, household spending was 70.9% of GDP, government consumption 19.2%, investment 24.2% and net exports -14.3% (exports 41.4%, imports 55.7%).
World Bank national accounts. The parts can miss 100 by a few points (the statistical discrepancy).
Same World Bank definition for every country, so the shares compare directly: What each economy runs on.
IMF World Economic Outlook
The IMF’s outlook for Mozambique
The latest year before the October 2026 edition (often still an IMF estimate) and the IMF’s own projections. These are the IMF’s published forecasts, shown as published; Palanor does not project them further. Since the previous edition the IMF raised its growth forecast for this year by 0.5 percentage points (Palanor calculation).
| Measure | 2025 | 2026 IMF f’cast | 2027 IMF f’cast | 2031 IMF f’cast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth% | -0.2 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 13.1 |
| Inflation, average consumer prices% | 4.4 | 5.6 | 6.8 | 5.0 |
| GDP, current US dollarsUS$ bn | 23.6 | 24.8 | 26.2 | 37.5 |
| GDP at purchasing-power parityintl $ bn | 60.7 | 63.4 | 66.7 | 94.3 |
| GDP per person, US dollarsUS$ | 658.7 | 672.6 | 692.4 | 893.9 |
| Current account balance% of GDP | -13.5 | -41.0 | -37.8 | -1.8 |
| Government gross debt% of GDP | 90.3 | 91.0 | 98.6 | 98.7 |
| Government overall balance% of GDP | -5.1 | -3.3 | -6.0 | -9.0 |
| Government primary balance% of GDP | -0.5 | 0.6 | -2.0 | -2.0 |
| Government net interest paid% of GDP · Palanor calc. | 4.6 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 |
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026. Provided by the IMF “as is” and free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor. Net interest paid is a Palanor calculation: the IMF's primary balance minus its overall balance.
Conflict
Organized violence
News
In the news
- Mozambique’s Maputo National Park showcases biodiversity and shelters migratory birds
Mongabay2026-10-20neutral
- Mozambique Pitches Sasol and ROMPCO on $250 Million Gas Project
OilPrice.com2026-10-19neutral
- Mozambique courts South African investment for new gas project reut.rs/4yyAsxp
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-19positive · +investment
Headlines that name Mozambique, matched by name with fixed rules (a wrong match is worse than a missing one). Tone is read from each headline’s own words; no model reads or summarizes an article, and other publishers’ stories link out.
Signals
Every series about Mozambique
Grouped by theme, the most-read first. All 51 in the Library.
Growth and output1
- Mozambique · GDP · USD bn (current)96th percentile since 1991; 1y −1.8%$22.3bn2025
Trade and capital flows1
- Mozambique · Net International Investment Position, % of GDP (IMF)43rd percentile since 2005; highest since 2015; 1y +24.69 pts-307.5% of GDP2024
Energy and resources3
- Natural Graphite Mine Production Share: Mozambique39th percentile since 2017; 1y +0.818 pts3.33%2025
- Natural Graphite Mine Production: Mozambique39th percentile since 2017; 1y +53.8%60,000 metric tons2025
- Natural Graphite Reserves: Mozambiquerecord high since 2018; 1y unchanged25,000,000 metric tons2025
Conflict and geopolitics2 of 6
- Mozambique · Organized-Violence Deaths (UCDP, annual)82nd percentile since 1989; highest since 2022; 1y +16.9%610 deaths2025
- Mozambique · State-Based Conflict Deaths (UCDP, annual)80th percentile since 1989; highest since 2022; 1y +96.0%296 deaths2025
AI stance and technology1
- AI User Share: Mozambique (Microsoft AI Diffusion)1y +2.50 pts11.4% of people aged 15-642026-06-30
Climate and the physical world3 of 5
- Mozambique Burned Area (GWIS)record low since 2002; 1y −6.7%16.52025
- Mozambique · Plastic Emitted to the Ocean by Rivers · tonnes per year (2015)2,432.7 t/yr2015
- Mozambique · Share of Global River Plastic Emitted to the Ocean · % (2015)0.24% of world2015
More about this country2
- Mozambique · IMF Credit Outstanding · USD bn (IMF)record low since Jun 1987; 1y −100.0%$0bn2026-09-01
- Mozambique · IMF Credit Outstanding, % of GDP53rd percentile since 1987; lowest since 2019; 1y −0.185 pts2.98% of GDP2025
Peers
Elsewhere in Africa
Alphabetical. Palanor does not rank countries.
AlgeriaAngolaBeninBotswanaBritish Indian Ocean TerritoryBurkina FasoBurundiCabo VerdeCameroonCentral African RepublicChadComorosCongoCôte d'IvoireDjiboutiDR CongoEgyptEquatorial GuineaEritreaEswatiniEthiopiaGabonGambiaGhanaGuineaGuinea-BissauKenyaLesothoLiberiaLibyaMadagascarMalawiMaliMauritaniaMauritiusMoroccoNamibiaNigerNigeriaRéunionRwandaSao Tome and PrincipeSenegalSeychellesSierra LeoneSomaliaSouth AfricaSouth SudanSudanTanzaniaTogoTunisiaUgandaZambiaZimbabwe