Tunisia
Everything Palanor holds about Tunisia, in one place: 49 public signals, what its economy runs on, how often America’s largest companies name it, the news that names it, and Country Posture. Every figure is computed from stored readings and carries its source and date.
AfricaMiddle East & North AfricaMiddle East & Africa
The latest read
- GDP in current U.S. dollars: $57.5 billion (2025); record high since 1990; 1y +11.8%.
- Household consumption, share of GDP: 79.6% of GDP (2025); record high since 1990; 1y +0.11 pts.
- Net exports, share of GDP: -8.14% of GDP (2025); 32nd percentile since 1990; lowest since 2022; 1y −1.84 pts.
Country Posture
What Tunisia’s economy is doing
Momentum
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.590 below 0.60; AUC 0.590 below the single-input baseline (0.624); 2010–2022: AUC 0.595 below 0.60; AUC 0.595 below the single-input baseline (0.641).
Inputs
| Real GDP growth | 2.5 |
| Growth against its three-year average | 1.0 |
| Change in unemployment | -0.2 |
| Change in the employment rate | -0.1 |
| Export volume growth | — |
| OECD leading indicator | — |
Resilience
2025Withheld: 3 of 5 core inputs reported for 2025.
Inputs
| Interest as a share of revenue | — |
| Budget balance | — |
| Reserves, months of imports (2024) | 4.5 |
| Current account | -2.3 |
| Governance (WGI mean) | -0.46 |
| External debt (2024) | 77.7 |
Pressure
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.657 below the single-input baseline (0.672).
Inputs
| Inflation | 5.2 |
| Change in inflation | -2.1 |
| Currency move against the dollar | -3.6% |
| Conflict deaths per million | 0.0 |
| Political stability | -0.70 |
| Private credit, three-year change | -8.3 |
| Bond spread over U.S. Treasuries | — |
Posture describes what an economy is doing; it is not a rating and never ranks countries. Each input is read against the country’s own history and against every other economy that year. An axis shows a score only after passing a back-test fixed before any result was computed. Method and back-test.
Passport reach
Where a Tunisia passport opens doors
The share of world GDP, outside Tunisia itself, in the economies whose published rules let a holder of this passport in, as of October 2026. Palanor records the rules of destinations holding 88% of world GDP, from each government’s own list, and weights them by World Bank GDP for 2025. Rank is among 199 passports.
Work
13.4%rank 62 of 199
the right to work (free movement in full; treaty and working-holiday routes at half); 0 destinations in full, 2 at half.
Reach is shown here and not weighted into Country Strength: it rewards membership of a free-movement area or a treaty more than the strength of an economy. Entry is always at the border officer’s discretion, and conditions (length of stay, fees, age limits) vary. Method, sources and the full ranking: Passports and citizenship.
Palanor calculation from each destination government's published rules; GDP weights from the World Bank (CC BY 4.0), one year for the whole line, so it moves only when a list changes.
GDP by expenditure
What Tunisia’s economy runs on
In 2025, household spending was 79.6% of GDP, government consumption 19.9%, investment 15.2% and net exports -8.1% (exports 46.6%, imports 54.8%). In 2025 the parts miss 100 by more than three points (the statistical discrepancy in Tunisia’s national accounts).
World Bank national accounts. The parts can miss 100 by a few points (the statistical discrepancy).
Same World Bank definition for every country, so the shares compare directly: What each economy runs on.
IMF World Economic Outlook
The IMF’s outlook for Tunisia
The latest year before the October 2026 edition (often still an IMF estimate) and the IMF’s own projections. These are the IMF’s published forecasts, shown as published; Palanor does not project them further. Since the previous edition the IMF raised its growth forecast for this year by 0.3 percentage points (Palanor calculation).
| Measure | 2025 | 2026 IMF f’cast | 2027 IMF f’cast | 2031 IMF f’cast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth% | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Inflation, average consumer prices% | 5.3 | 5.5 | 6.3 | 8.8 |
| GDP, current US dollarsUS$ bn | 57.3 | 62.7 | 62.9 | 69.6 |
| GDP at purchasing-power parityintl $ bn | 187.9 | 198.9 | 209.4 | 239.4 |
| GDP per person, US dollarsUS$ | 4,637 | 5,053 | 5,038 | 5,491 |
| Current account balance% of GDP | -3.3 | -4.9 | -5.3 | -2.5 |
| Government gross debt% of GDP | 81.7 | 86.1 | 89.8 | 88.7 |
| Government overall balance% of GDP | -5.3 | -8.6 | -7.0 | -6.1 |
| Government primary balance% of GDP | -1.5 | -4.6 | -3.0 | -2.1 |
| Government net interest paid% of GDP · Palanor calc. | 3.8 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026. Provided by the IMF “as is” and free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor. Net interest paid is a Palanor calculation: the IMF's primary balance minus its overall balance.
Conflict
Organized violence
News
In the news
- In Tunis, Tunisia’s vibrant capital, there are wonders both ancient and modern. Explore our itinerary for 36 hours in this Mediterranean city here. nyti.ms/3UcwYCu
The New York Times · Bluesky2026-10-21neutral
- Tunisia cancel Mali friendly due to injuries, ranking concerns, source says reut.rs/4jwZfxF
Reuters · Bluesky2026-09-30neutral
Headlines that name Tunisia, matched by name with fixed rules (a wrong match is worse than a missing one). Tone is read from each headline’s own words; no model reads or summarizes an article, and other publishers’ stories link out.
Company graph
Companies headquartered in Tunisia
Palanor’s company graph holds 5 entities headquartered here (GLEIF headquarters address, else legal address).
Signals
Every series about Tunisia
Grouped by theme, the most-read first. All 49 in the Library.
Growth and output1
- Tunisia · GDP · USD bn (current)record high since 1990; 1y +11.8%$57.5bn2025
Trade and capital flows1
- Tunisia · Net International Investment Position, % of GDP (IMF)24th percentile since 1995; highest since 2017; 1y +3.12 pts-139.8% of GDP2025
Conflict and geopolitics2 of 6
- Tunisia · Organized-Violence Deaths (UCDP, annual)record low since 1989; 1y unchanged0 deaths2025
- Tunisia · State-Based Conflict Deaths (UCDP, annual)record low since 1989; 1y unchanged0 deaths2025
Migration1 of 3
- U.S.-Born People Living in Tunisia (UN)record high since 1990677 people2024
AI stance and technology1
- AI User Share: Tunisia (Microsoft AI Diffusion)1y +1.60 pts13.9% of people aged 15-642026-06-30
Climate and the physical world2 of 4
More about this country2
- Tunisia · IMF Credit Outstanding · USD bn (IMF)80th percentile since Oct 1964; lowest since Dec 2013; 1y −39.1%$0.41bn2026-09-01
- Tunisia · IMF Credit Outstanding, % of GDP44th percentile since 1986; lowest since 2013; 1y −0.901 pts1.03% of GDP2025
Peers
Elsewhere in Africa
Alphabetical. Palanor does not rank countries.
AlgeriaAngolaBeninBotswanaBritish Indian Ocean TerritoryBurkina FasoBurundiCabo VerdeCameroonCentral African RepublicChadComorosCongoCôte d'IvoireDjiboutiDR CongoEgyptEquatorial GuineaEritreaEswatiniEthiopiaGabonGambiaGhanaGuineaGuinea-BissauKenyaLesothoLiberiaLibyaMadagascarMalawiMaliMauritaniaMauritiusMoroccoMozambiqueNamibiaNigerNigeriaRéunionRwandaSao Tome and PrincipeSenegalSeychellesSierra LeoneSomaliaSouth AfricaSouth SudanSudanTanzaniaTogoUgandaZambiaZimbabwe