Bosnia and Herzegovina
Everything Palanor holds about Bosnia and Herzegovina, in one place: 53 public signals, what its economy runs on, how often America’s largest companies name it, the news that names it, and Country Posture. Every figure is computed from stored readings and carries its source and date.
Europe
The latest read
- GDP in current U.S. dollars: $32.6 billion (2025); record high since 1990; 1y +9.6%.
- Household consumption, share of GDP: 69.4% of GDP (2025); 10th percentile since 2000; 1y +0.45 pts.
- Net exports, share of GDP: -13.1% of GDP (2025); 92nd percentile since 1994; 1y +0.23 pts.
Country Posture
What Bosnia and Herzegovina’s economy is doing
Momentum
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.590 below 0.60; AUC 0.590 below the single-input baseline (0.624); 2010–2022: AUC 0.595 below 0.60; AUC 0.595 below the single-input baseline (0.641).
Inputs
| Real GDP growth | 2.1 |
| Growth against its three-year average | -1.0 |
| Change in unemployment | 0.3 |
| Change in the employment rate | -0.4 |
| Export volume growth | — |
| OECD leading indicator | — |
Resilience
202553Moderate buffers
0 = thin buffers · 100 = deep buffers
Inputs
| Interest as a share of revenue (2024) | 2.4 | 43 |
| Budget balance (2024) | -1.5 | 50 |
| Reserves, months of imports (2024) | 6.5 | 74 |
| Current account | -4.0 | 54 |
| Governance (WGI mean) | -0.38 | 42 |
| External debt (2024) | 49.2 | 60 |
Pressure
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.657 below the single-input baseline (0.672).
Inputs
| Inflation | 4.0 |
| Change in inflation | 2.3 |
| Currency move against the dollar | -4.0% |
| Conflict deaths per million | 0.0 |
| Political stability | -0.34 |
| Private credit, three-year change | 2.4 |
| Bond spread over U.S. Treasuries | — |
Posture describes what an economy is doing; it is not a rating and never ranks countries. Each input is read against the country’s own history and against every other economy that year. An axis shows a score only after passing a back-test fixed before any result was computed. Method and back-test.
Passport reach
Where a Bosnia and Herzegovina passport opens doors
The share of world GDP, outside Bosnia and Herzegovina itself, in the economies whose published rules let a holder of this passport in, as of October 2026. Palanor records the rules of destinations holding 88% of world GDP, from each government’s own list, and weights them by World Bank GDP for 2025. Rank is among 199 passports.
Work
13.0%rank 75 of 199
the right to work (free movement in full; treaty and working-holiday routes at half); 0 destinations in full, 1 at half.
Reach is shown here and not weighted into Country Strength: it rewards membership of a free-movement area or a treaty more than the strength of an economy. Entry is always at the border officer’s discretion, and conditions (length of stay, fees, age limits) vary. Method, sources and the full ranking: Passports and citizenship.
Palanor calculation from each destination government's published rules; GDP weights from the World Bank (CC BY 4.0), one year for the whole line, so it moves only when a list changes.
GDP by expenditure
What Bosnia and Herzegovina’s economy runs on
In 2025, household spending was 69.3% of GDP, government consumption 20.3%, investment 28.7% and net exports -13.1% (exports 41.0%, imports 54.1%). In 2020, 2021, 2023, 2025 the parts miss 100 by more than three points (the statistical discrepancy in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s national accounts).
World Bank national accounts. The parts can miss 100 by a few points (the statistical discrepancy).
Same World Bank definition for every country, so the shares compare directly: What each economy runs on.
IMF World Economic Outlook
The IMF’s outlook for Bosnia and Herzegovina
The latest year before the October 2026 edition (often still an IMF estimate) and the IMF’s own projections. These are the IMF’s published forecasts, shown as published; Palanor does not project them further. Since the previous edition the IMF raised its growth forecast for this year by 0.1 percentage points (Palanor calculation).
| Measure | 2025 | 2026 IMF f’cast | 2027 IMF f’cast | 2031 IMF f’cast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth% | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 3.0 |
| Inflation, average consumer prices% | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.3 | 2.0 |
| Unemployment rate% of labor force | 12.2 | 12.2 | 12.2 | 12.2 |
| GDP, current US dollarsUS$ bn | 33.6 | 37.3 | 39.9 | 49.5 |
| GDP at purchasing-power parityintl $ bn | 79.1 | 83.7 | 88.6 | 107.4 |
| GDP per person, US dollarsUS$ | 9,750 | 10,845 | 11,637 | 14,641 |
| Current account balance% of GDP | -3.1 | -4.9 | -4.8 | -4.3 |
| Government gross debt% of GDP | 28.8 | 31.4 | 33.7 | 43.6 |
| Government net debt% of GDP | 19.4 | 23.6 | 27.0 | 41.2 |
| Government overall balance% of GDP | -2.5 | -4.2 | -4.5 | -4.7 |
| Government primary balance% of GDP | -1.5 | -3.2 | -3.2 | -2.9 |
| Government net interest paid% of GDP · Palanor calc. | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026. Provided by the IMF “as is” and free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor. Net interest paid is a Palanor calculation: the IMF's primary balance minus its overall balance.
Conflict
Organized violence
News
In the news
- Continental, a Washington-based law and lobbying firm with close ties to President Donald Trump’s network, helped arrange a recent trip to Bosnia and Herzegovina by two Trump political advisers.
www.semafor.com/article/10/0...
Semafor · Bluesky2026-10-08neutral
- DPM Metals Announces Constitutional Court of Bosnia and Herzegovina Decision
Marketaux (financial news API)2026-10-01neutral
Headlines that name Bosnia and Herzegovina, matched by name with fixed rules (a wrong match is worse than a missing one). Tone is read from each headline’s own words; no model reads or summarizes an article, and other publishers’ stories link out.
Signals
Every series about Bosnia and Herzegovina
Grouped by theme, the most-read first. All 53 in the Library.
Growth and output1
- Bosnia and Herzegovina · GDP · USD bn (current)record high since 1990; 1y +9.6%$32.6bn2025
Jobs and people at work1
- Bosnia and Herzegovina Unemployment Rate (Monthly, Eurostat)record low since Jan 2021; 1y −0.7 pts11.4%2026-07-01
Trade and capital flows1
- Bosnia and Herzegovina · Net International Investment Position, % of GDP (IMF)93rd percentile since 2004; 1y −1.51 pts-20.8% of GDP2025
Conflict and geopolitics2 of 6
- Bosnia and Herzegovina · Organized-Violence Deaths (UCDP, annual)record low since 1989; 1y unchanged0 deaths2025
- Bosnia and Herzegovina · State-Based Conflict Deaths (UCDP, annual)record low since 1989; 1y unchanged0 deaths2025
Migration3 of 5
- International Migrant Stock: Bosnia and Herzegovina (UN)record low since 199034,120 people2024
- International Migrants as a Share of Population: Bosnia and Herzegovina (UN)19th percentile since 19901.08% of population2024
- Change in Migrant Share of Population Since 2000: Bosnia and Herzegovina (UN)-0.922024
AI stance and technology1
- AI User Share: Bosnia and Herzegovina (Microsoft AI Diffusion)1y +5.00 pts23.2% of people aged 15-642026-06-30
More about this country2
- Bosnia and Herzegovina · IMF Credit Outstanding · USD bn (IMF)9th percentile since Dec 1995; lowest since Jun 2009; 1y −57.2%$0.02bn2026-09-01
- Bosnia and Herzegovina · IMF Credit Outstanding, % of GDP8th percentile since 1996; lowest since 2008; 1y −0.395 pts0.15% of GDP2025
Peers
Elsewhere in Europe
Alphabetical. Palanor does not rank countries.
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