Moldova
Everything Palanor holds about Moldova, in one place: 52 public signals, what its economy runs on, how often America’s largest companies name it, the news that names it, and Country Posture. Every figure is computed from stored readings and carries its source and date.
Europe
The latest read
- GDP in current U.S. dollars: $20.4 billion (2025); record high since 1990; 1y +11.8%.
- Household consumption, share of GDP: 86.5% of GDP (2025); 44th percentile since 1995; highest since 2017; 1y +0.94 pts.
- Net exports, share of GDP: -29.2% of GDP (2025); 44th percentile since 1995; lowest since 2022; 1y −3.40 pts.
Country Posture
What Moldova’s economy is doing
Momentum
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.590 below 0.60; AUC 0.590 below the single-input baseline (0.624); 2010–2022: AUC 0.595 below 0.60; AUC 0.595 below the single-input baseline (0.641).
Inputs
| Real GDP growth | 2.4 |
| Growth against its three-year average | 3.5 |
| Change in unemployment | 0.1 |
| Change in the employment rate | 0.1 |
| Export volume growth | — |
| OECD leading indicator | — |
Resilience
202549Moderate buffers
0 = thin buffers · 100 = deep buffers
Moved most by reserves, months of imports (down) and current account (down) since the year before.
Inputs
| Interest as a share of revenue (2024) | 4.3 | 50 |
| Budget balance (2024) | -4.0 | 23 |
| Reserves, months of imports | 5.4 | 72 |
| Current account | -19.6 | 4 |
| Governance (WGI mean) | -0.02 | 74 |
| External debt (2024) | 57.1 | 58 |
Pressure
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.657 below the single-input baseline (0.672).
Inputs
| Inflation | 7.8 |
| Change in inflation | 3.1 |
| Currency move against the dollar | -2.4% |
| Conflict deaths per million | 0.0 |
| Political stability | -0.11 |
| Private credit, three-year change | 6.1 |
| Bond spread over U.S. Treasuries | — |
Posture describes what an economy is doing; it is not a rating and never ranks countries. Each input is read against the country’s own history and against every other economy that year. An axis shows a score only after passing a back-test fixed before any result was computed. Method and back-test.
Passport reach
Where a Moldova passport opens doors
The share of world GDP, outside Moldova itself, in the economies whose published rules let a holder of this passport in, as of October 2026. Palanor records the rules of destinations holding 88% of world GDP, from each government’s own list, and weights them by World Bank GDP for 2025. Rank is among 199 passports.
Work
13.0%rank 75 of 199
the right to work (free movement in full; treaty and working-holiday routes at half); 0 destinations in full, 1 at half.
Reach is shown here and not weighted into Country Strength: it rewards membership of a free-movement area or a treaty more than the strength of an economy. Entry is always at the border officer’s discretion, and conditions (length of stay, fees, age limits) vary. Method, sources and the full ranking: Passports and citizenship.
Palanor calculation from each destination government's published rules; GDP weights from the World Bank (CC BY 4.0), one year for the whole line, so it moves only when a list changes.
GDP by expenditure
What Moldova’s economy runs on
In 2025, household spending was 86.5% of GDP, government consumption 18.5%, investment 24.2% and net exports -29.2% (exports 31.8%, imports 60.9%).
World Bank national accounts. The parts can miss 100 by a few points (the statistical discrepancy).
Same World Bank definition for every country, so the shares compare directly: What each economy runs on.
IMF World Economic Outlook
The IMF’s outlook for Moldova
The latest year before the October 2026 edition (often still an IMF estimate) and the IMF’s own projections. These are the IMF’s published forecasts, shown as published; Palanor does not project them further. Since the previous edition the IMF cut its growth forecast for this year by 0.4 percentage points (Palanor calculation).
| Measure | 2025 | 2026 IMF f’cast | 2027 IMF f’cast | 2031 IMF f’cast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth% | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 3.5 |
| Inflation, average consumer prices% | 7.8 | 7.4 | 9.0 | 5.0 |
| Unemployment rate% of labor force | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
| GDP, current US dollarsUS$ bn | 20.3 | 22.2 | 23.9 | 32.9 |
| GDP at purchasing-power parityintl $ bn | 47.2 | 49.6 | 52.3 | 64.4 |
| GDP per person, US dollarsUS$ | 8,542 | 9,497 | 10,391 | 15,324 |
| Current account balance% of GDP | -19.7 | -22.0 | -22.8 | -14.4 |
| Government gross debt% of GDP | 39.2 | 41.8 | 43.6 | 49.2 |
| Government overall balance% of GDP | -3.9 | -5.0 | -5.5 | -4.6 |
| Government primary balance% of GDP | -2.6 | -3.3 | -3.8 | -2.6 |
| Government net interest paid% of GDP · Palanor calc. | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2.0 |
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026. Provided by the IMF “as is” and free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor. Net interest paid is a Palanor calculation: the IMF's primary balance minus its overall balance.
Conflict
Organized violence
News
In the news
- Planned Moldova-Romania power line to be named after Trump reut.rs/4hwTb79
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-06neutral
Headlines that name Moldova, matched by name with fixed rules (a wrong match is worse than a missing one). Tone is read from each headline’s own words; no model reads or summarizes an article, and other publishers’ stories link out.
Company graph
Companies headquartered in Moldova
Palanor’s company graph holds 1 entities headquartered here (GLEIF headquarters address, else legal address).
Signals
Every series about Moldova
Grouped by theme, the most-read first. All 52 in the Library.
Growth and output1
- Moldova · GDP · USD bn (current)record high since 1990; 1y +11.8%$20.4bn2025
Money, rates and credit1
- Moldova · Central Bank Policy Rate (IMF)44th percentile since Jan 2000; highest since May 2023; 1y +1.25 pts7.5%2026-08-01
Trade and capital flows1
- Moldova · Net International Investment Position, % of GDP (IMF)61st percentile since 1994; 1y −1.44 pts-36.4% of GDP2025
Conflict and geopolitics2 of 6
- Moldova · Organized-Violence Deaths (UCDP, annual)record low since 1989; 1y unchanged0 deaths2025
- Moldova · State-Based Conflict Deaths (UCDP, annual)record low since 1989; 1y unchanged0 deaths2025
Migration4 of 6
- International Migrant Stock: Moldova (UN)56th percentile since 1990; highest since 2000188,207 people2024
- International Migrants as a Share of Population: Moldova (UN)69th percentile since 1990; highest since 19956.2% of population2024
- U.S.-Born People Living in Moldova (UN)81st percentile since 1990230 people2024
- Change in Migrant Share of Population Since 2000: Moldova (UN)0.292024
AI stance and technology1
- AI User Share: Moldova (Microsoft AI Diffusion)1y +2.50 pts19.1% of people aged 15-642026-06-30
More about this country2
- Moldova · IMF Credit Outstanding · USD bn (IMF)95th percentile since Feb 1993; 1y −5.3%$0.95bn2026-09-01
- Moldova · IMF Credit Outstanding, % of GDP41st percentile since 1993; 1y −0.639 pts4.82% of GDP2025
Peers
Elsewhere in Europe
Alphabetical. Palanor does not rank countries.
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