Azerbaijan
Everything Palanor holds about Azerbaijan, in one place: 47 public signals, what its economy runs on, how often America’s largest companies name it, the news that names it, and Country Posture. Every figure is computed from stored readings and carries its source and date.
AsiaMiddle East & North AfricaMiddle East & Africa
The latest read
- GDP in current U.S. dollars: $75.9 billion (2025); 96th percentile since 1990; highest since 2022; 1y +2.0%.
- Household consumption, share of GDP: 59.4% of GDP (2025); 63rd percentile since 1990; highest since 2020; 1y +3.42 pts.
- Net exports, share of GDP: 6.21% of GDP (2025); 49th percentile since 1990; lowest since 2020; 1y −2.89 pts.
Country Posture
What Azerbaijan’s economy is doing
Momentum
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.590 below 0.60; AUC 0.590 below the single-input baseline (0.624); 2010–2022: AUC 0.595 below 0.60; AUC 0.595 below the single-input baseline (0.641).
Inputs
| Real GDP growth | 1.4 |
| Growth against its three-year average | -2.0 |
| Change in unemployment | -0.2 |
| Change in the employment rate | -0.5 |
| Export volume growth | — |
| OECD leading indicator | — |
Resilience
202569Deep buffers
0 = thin buffers · 100 = deep buffers
Moved most by reserves, months of imports (up) and current account (down) since the year before.
Inputs
| Interest as a share of revenue (2024) | 0.9 | 79 |
| Budget balance (2024) | 3.9 | 66 |
| Reserves, months of imports | 5.0 | 66 |
| Current account | 4.6 | 64 |
| Governance (WGI mean) | -0.45 | 66 |
| External debt (2024) | 17.0 | 73 |
Pressure
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.657 below the single-input baseline (0.672).
Inputs
| Inflation | 5.6 |
| Change in inflation | 3.4 |
| Currency move against the dollar | 0.0% |
| Conflict deaths per million | 0.0 |
| Political stability | -0.09 |
| Private credit, three-year change | 6.6 |
| Bond spread over U.S. Treasuries | — |
Posture describes what an economy is doing; it is not a rating and never ranks countries. Each input is read against the country’s own history and against every other economy that year. An axis shows a score only after passing a back-test fixed before any result was computed. Method and back-test.
Passport reach
Where a Azerbaijan passport opens doors
The share of world GDP, outside Azerbaijan itself, in the economies whose published rules let a holder of this passport in, as of October 2026. Palanor records the rules of destinations holding 88% of world GDP, from each government’s own list, and weights them by World Bank GDP for 2025. Rank is among 199 passports.
Work
13.0%rank 67 of 199
the right to work (free movement in full; treaty and working-holiday routes at half); 0 destinations in full, 1 at half.
Recorded changes
- 2025-07-16China · visit: Visa required → Visa-free source
Reach is shown here and not weighted into Country Strength: it rewards membership of a free-movement area or a treaty more than the strength of an economy. Entry is always at the border officer’s discretion, and conditions (length of stay, fees, age limits) vary. Method, sources and the full ranking: Passports and citizenship.
Palanor calculation from each destination government's published rules; GDP weights from the World Bank (CC BY 4.0), one year for the whole line, so it moves only when a list changes.
GDP by expenditure
What Azerbaijan’s economy runs on
In 2025, household spending was 59.4% of GDP, government consumption 15.5%, investment 18.9% and net exports +6.2% (exports 43.0%, imports 36.8%).
World Bank national accounts. The parts can miss 100 by a few points (the statistical discrepancy).
Same World Bank definition for every country, so the shares compare directly: What each economy runs on.
IMF World Economic Outlook
The IMF’s outlook for Azerbaijan
The latest year before the October 2026 edition (often still an IMF estimate) and the IMF’s own projections. These are the IMF’s published forecasts, shown as published; Palanor does not project them further. Since the previous edition the IMF cut its growth forecast for this year by 0.5 percentage points (Palanor calculation).
| Measure | 2025 | 2026 IMF f’cast | 2027 IMF f’cast | 2031 IMF f’cast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth% | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Inflation, average consumer prices% | 5.6 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 4.0 |
| Unemployment rate% of labor force | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 5.0 |
| GDP, current US dollarsUS$ bn | 75.9 | 89.2 | 91.8 | 108.7 |
| GDP at purchasing-power parityintl $ bn | 267.4 | 281.1 | 296.5 | 352.4 |
| GDP per person, US dollarsUS$ | 7,322 | 8,497 | 8,641 | 9,756 |
| Current account balance% of GDP | 4.6 | 11.3 | 9.8 | 3.5 |
| Government gross debt% of GDP | 20.1 | 16.5 | 16.4 | 16.7 |
| Government overall balance% of GDP | 2.6 | 3.7 | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| Government primary balance% of GDP | 3.3 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 2.3 |
| Government net interest paid% of GDP · Palanor calc. | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026. Provided by the IMF “as is” and free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor. Net interest paid is a Palanor calculation: the IMF's primary balance minus its overall balance.
Conflict
Organized violence
News
In the news
- Azerbaijan's governing party defends school uniform rules after hijab dispute reut.rs/4hIcquB
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-13neutral
- Armenia, Azerbaijan discuss stepping up search for war missing reut.rs/3TwRDB0
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-08negative · -war
- Azerbaijan denies buying German state secrets from former spy chief
FT Companies2026-10-08neutral
- Azerbaijan denies report of link to German spy scandal reut.rs/47FiEFC
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-07negative · -scandal
Headlines that name Azerbaijan, matched by name with fixed rules (a wrong match is worse than a missing one). Tone is read from each headline’s own words; no model reads or summarizes an article, and other publishers’ stories link out.
Company graph
Companies headquartered in Azerbaijan
Palanor’s company graph holds 3 entities headquartered here (GLEIF headquarters address, else legal address).
Signals
Every series about Azerbaijan
Grouped by theme, the most-read first. All 47 in the Library.
Growth and output1
- Azerbaijan · GDP · USD bn (current)96th percentile since 1990; highest since 2022; 1y +2.0%$75.9bn2025
Money, rates and credit1
- Azerbaijan · Central Bank Policy Rate (IMF)26th percentile since Dec 1992; 1y −0.5 pts6.5%2026-08-01
Conflict and geopolitics2 of 6
- Azerbaijan · Organized-Violence Deaths (UCDP, annual)record low since 1989; 1y unchanged0 deaths2025
- Azerbaijan · State-Based Conflict Deaths (UCDP, annual)record low since 1989; 1y unchanged0 deaths2025
Aid in and out2
- Azerbaijan · Foreign Aid (Official Development Assistance) · US$ billions1y −23.0%0.05 US$ billions2025
- Azerbaijan · ODA as % of GNI1y −0.02 pts0.06% of GNI2025
AI stance and technology1
- AI User Share: Azerbaijan (Microsoft AI Diffusion)1y +4.50 pts18.7% of people aged 15-642026-06-30
Peers
Elsewhere in Asia
Alphabetical. Palanor does not rank countries.
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