Singapore
Everything Palanor holds about Singapore, in one place: 108 public signals, what its economy runs on, how often America’s largest companies name it, the news that names it, and Country Posture. Every figure is computed from stored readings and carries its source and date.
AsiaAsia-Pacific
The latest read
- GDP in current U.S. dollars: $603.9 billion (2025); record high since 1990; 1y +5.4%.
- Household consumption, share of GDP: 31.1% of GDP (2025); 10th percentile since 1990; 1y +0.41 pts.
- Net exports, share of GDP: 35.4% of GDP (2025); 88th percentile since 1990; lowest since 2020; 1y −0.61 pts.
- S&P 500 companies naming it on earnings calls: 3.72% of companies (2026-10-21); 33rd percentile since Dec 2021; lowest since Aug 21, 2026; 1y −1.58 pts.
Country Posture
What Singapore’s economy is doing
Momentum
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.590 below 0.60; AUC 0.590 below the single-input baseline (0.624); 2010–2022: AUC 0.595 below 0.60; AUC 0.595 below the single-input baseline (0.641).
Inputs
| Real GDP growth | 5.0 |
| Growth against its three-year average | 1.4 |
| Change in unemployment | 0.1 |
| Change in the employment rate | 0.4 |
| Export volume growth | — |
| OECD leading indicator | — |
Resilience
202561Moderate buffers
0 = thin buffers · 100 = deep buffers
Moved most by governance (wgi mean) (up) and reserves, months of imports (up) since the year before.
Inputs
| Interest as a share of revenue (2024) | 0.5 | 69 |
| Budget balance (2024) | 3.4 | 56 |
| Reserves, months of imports | 4.4 | 31 |
| Current account | 16.7 | 67 |
| Governance (WGI mean) | 1.47 | 78 |
| External debt | — | — |
Pressure
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.657 below the single-input baseline (0.672).
Inputs
| Inflation | 0.9 |
| Change in inflation | -1.5 |
| Currency move against the dollar | -2.2% |
| Conflict deaths per million | 0.0 |
| Political stability | 1.33 |
| Private credit, three-year change | — |
| Bond spread over U.S. Treasuries | — |
Posture describes what an economy is doing; it is not a rating and never ranks countries. Each input is read against the country’s own history and against every other economy that year. An axis shows a score only after passing a back-test fixed before any result was computed. Method and back-test.
Passport reach
Where a Singapore passport opens doors
The share of world GDP, outside Singapore itself, in the economies whose published rules let a holder of this passport in, as of October 2026. Palanor records the rules of destinations holding 88% of world GDP, from each government’s own list, and weights them by World Bank GDP for 2025. Rank is among 199 passports.
Work
13.9%rank 57 of 199
the right to work (free movement in full; treaty and working-holiday routes at half); 0 destinations in full, 3 at half.
Recorded changes
- 2025-01-08United Kingdom · visit: Visa-free → Online travel authorisation source
Reach is shown here and not weighted into Country Strength: it rewards membership of a free-movement area or a treaty more than the strength of an economy. Entry is always at the border officer’s discretion, and conditions (length of stay, fees, age limits) vary. Method, sources and the full ranking: Passports and citizenship.
Palanor calculation from each destination government's published rules; GDP weights from the World Bank (CC BY 4.0), one year for the whole line, so it moves only when a list changes.
GDP by expenditure
What Singapore’s economy runs on
In 2025, household spending was 31.1% of GDP, government consumption 10.3%, investment 22.5% and net exports +35.4% (exports 177.8%, imports 142.4%).
World Bank national accounts. The parts can miss 100 by a few points (the statistical discrepancy).
Same World Bank definition for every country, so the shares compare directly: What each economy runs on.
IMF World Economic Outlook
The IMF’s outlook for Singapore
The latest year before the October 2026 edition (often still an IMF estimate) and the IMF’s own projections. These are the IMF’s published forecasts, shown as published; Palanor does not project them further. Since the previous edition the IMF raised its growth forecast for this year by 1.5 percentage points (Palanor calculation).
| Measure | 2025 | 2026 IMF f’cast | 2027 IMF f’cast | 2031 IMF f’cast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth% | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| Inflation, average consumer prices% | 0.9 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| Unemployment rate% of labor force | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| GDP, current US dollarsUS$ bn | 603.9 | 667.9 | 706.7 | 851.0 |
| GDP at purchasing-power parityintl $ bn | 998.2 | 1,083 | 1,151 | 1,370 |
| GDP per person, US dollarsUS$ | 99,365 | 109,117 | 114,543 | 133,693 |
| Current account balance% of GDP | 16.7 | 16.7 | 16.6 | 15.9 |
| Government gross debt% of GDP | 165.7 | 166.4 | 167.1 | 169.2 |
| Government overall balance% of GDP | 4.2 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 1.7 |
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026. Provided by the IMF “as is” and free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor.
Discourse
How often S&P 500 companies name Singapore
17 of 445 S&P 500 companies named Singapore on an earnings call in the 90 days to 2026-10-21. 11.3% list it in the risk factors of their latest 10-K. Names only, counted by fixed rules set before any document was read; a mention says the country came up, not why.
News
In the news
- Indonesia fires send haze to Singapore amid criticism
Haze from Indonesian forest fires blankets Singapore as Prime Minister Wong warns of action and Indonesian officials blame peatland degradation.
Palanor Wire2026-10-16neutral
- AI reshapes Asian growth geography
Singapore upgrades 2026 outlook while Taiwan and South Korea see capital flee as AI worries reshape regional investment patterns.
Palanor Wire2026-08-11positive · +growth
- China's Moonshot AI to operate in Singapore, jobs post shows reut.rs/4jtzMp7
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-21neutral
- 'Cannot play hide and seek': Singapore minister's warning over haze sends agricultural stocks lower
CNBC · Bluesky2026-10-20negative · -warning
- Singapore has issued preventive notices to three more Indonesian companies to tackle and prevent forest fires in Kalimantan province.
The Associated Press · Bluesky2026-10-19neutral
- Singapore Names Seven Companies Over Indonesia Haze Fires
Marketaux (financial news API)2026-10-18neutral
- Sydney trader caught working from Singapore hotel wins case but gets no compensation
Marketaux (financial news API)2026-10-17positive · +wins
- Asia has one institution in global top 20 for mathematics, and it's not China or Singapore's
Marketaux (financial news API)2026-10-17neutral
- One Singapore ship was sunk, but here's why others are still transiting the Strait of Hormuz
CNBC · Bluesky2026-10-16neutral
- Gasping for clean air: Singapore battles relentless haze as Prime Minister Wong warns of action
CNBC · Bluesky2026-10-16negative · -warns
- CNBC Daily Open: A Singapore ship goes down as Hormuz risks rise
CNBC · Bluesky2026-10-15neutral · -risks +rise
- Two Singapore-registered vessels struck in Strait of Hormuz; one sinks reut.rs/4jWpopW
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-14negative · -sinks
- Singapore pollution spikes, East Timor shuts schools as Indonesia wildfire haze intensifies reut.rs/4zrA2cQ
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-14neutral
- Crypto bosses, CEOs and F1: Singapore's business events boom gathers pace
CNBC · Bluesky2026-10-14positive · +boom
Headlines that name Singapore, matched by name with fixed rules (a wrong match is worse than a missing one). Tone is read from each headline’s own words; no model reads or summarizes an article, and other publishers’ stories link out.
Company graph
Companies headquartered in Singapore
Palanor’s company graph holds 805 entities headquartered here, 3 with a listed ticker (GLEIF headquarters address, else legal address).
- FLEX LTD.FLEX · SINGAPORE
- Bitdeer Technologies GroupBTDR · Camana Bay
Signals
Every series about Singapore
Grouped by theme, the most-read first. All 108 in the Library.
Growth and output8
- GDP per Person, Historical (Maddison): Singaporerecord high since 1870; 1y +3.0%80,3202022
- Population, Historical (Maddison): Singaporerecord high since 1820; 1y +0.6%5,749,510 people2022
- GDP, Historical (Maddison): Singaporerecord high since 1870; 1y +3.6%461.82022
- Singapore · GDP · USD bn (current)record high since 1990; 1y +5.4%$603.9bn2025
- Singapore: Share of World GDP at Market Exchange Rates96th percentile since 1990; 1y −0.003 pts0.51% of world GDP2025
- Singapore: Share of World GDP Minus Share of World Population96th percentile since 1990; 1y −0.003 pts0.442025
- Singapore: Share of World Populationrecord high since 1990; 1y unchanged0.07% of world population2025
- Share of World GDP, Historical (Maddison): Singaporerecord high since 1870; 1y +0.001 pts0.36% of world GDP2022
Money, rates and credit1
- Monetary Authority of Singapore Total Assets · % of Singapore GDP75th percentile since Jan 1991; lowest since Oct 2022; 1y −7.92 pts95.1% of GDP2026-04-01
Government and debt1 of 2
- Singapore · Cyclically Adjusted Balance (IMF)71st percentile since 1997; highest since 2019; 1y +0.317 pts1.51% of potential GDP2025
Trade and capital flows10 of 12
- Singapore's Share of Foreign-Held U.S. Treasuries97th percentile since Mar 2000; 1y +0.156 pts2.98% of foreign holdings2026-08-01
- U.S. Treasury Securities Held in Singapore99th percentile since Mar 2000; 1y +6.5%277.9 $ billions2026-08-01
- Singapore's Share of Foreign-Held U.S. Equities · %record high since Sep 2011; 1y +0.634 pts4.48% of foreign holdings2026-08-01
- U.S. Equities Held in Singapore · USD bnrecord high since Sep 2011; 1y +43.2%1,127.2 $ billions2026-08-01
- U.S. Chipmaking Equipment Imports From Singapore, 12 Months64th percentile since Dec 2013; lowest since Dec 2021; 1y −46.1%1.08 $ billions2026-08-01
- U.S. Integrated Circuits Exports to Singapore, 12 Months55th percentile since Dec 2013; highest since Feb 2021; 1y +32.6%1.2 $ billions2026-08-01
- U.S. Integrated Circuits Imports From Singapore, 12 Months92nd percentile since Dec 2013; highest since Oct 2014; 1y +177.2%1.1 $ billions2026-08-01
- Singapore · Net International Investment Position (IMF)record high since Oct 2013; 1y +16.8%$1,218.2bn2026-04-01
- U.S. Goods Trade With Singapore (Exports + Imports)94th percentile since 1985; lowest since 2022; 1y −9.6%79.9 $ billions2025
- Singapore's Share of U.S. Goods Trade35th percentile since 1987; lowest since 2021; 1y −0.23 pts1.43% of U.S. goods trade2025
Energy and resources9
- Singapore · Bioenergy Share of Electricity Generation71st percentile since 2000; lowest since 2021; 1y −0.03 pts2.76% of generation2025
- Singapore · Carbon Intensity of Electricityrecord low since 2000; 1y −0.3%497 gCO2e/kWh2025
- Singapore · Coal Share of Electricity Generation56th percentile since 2000; lowest since 2013; 1y −0.01 pts0.95% of generation2025
- Singapore · Electricity Generationrecord high since 2000; 1y +0.9%60.1 TWh2025
- Singapore · Gas Share of Electricity Generation52nd percentile since 2000; lowest since 2012; 1y −1.06 pts91.1% of generation2025
- Singapore · Other Fossil Fuels Share of Electricity Generation40th percentile since 2000; highest since 2022; 1y +0.52 pts2.45% of generation2025
- Singapore · Solar Share of Electricity Generationrecord high since 2000; 1y +0.57 pts2.72% of generation2025
- Singapore · Wind and Solar Share of Electricity Generationrecord high since 2000; 1y +0.57 pts2.72% of generation2025
- Singapore · Electric Car Share of New Car Sales1y +11.00 pts40% of new car sales2025
Conflict and geopolitics1 of 5
- U.S. Active-Duty Troops in Singapore (DMDC)95th percentile since Sep 2008; lowest since Sep 2025; 1y +3.1%268 persons2026-08-31
Migration4 of 6
- International Migrant Stock: Singapore (UN)record high since 19902,841,665 people2024
- International Migrants as a Share of Population: Singapore (UN)record high since 199048.7% of population2024
- U.S.-Born People Living in Singapore (UN)record high since 199026,705 people2024
- Change in Migrant Share of Population Since 2000: Singapore (UN)162024
AI stance and technology7
- Singapore · R&D Spending · % of GDP13th percentile since 1996; lowest since 1998; 1y −0.129 pts1.81% of GDP2022
- Global Innovation Index Rank: Singapore1y unchanged5 rank2026
- Global Innovation Index Score: Singapore1y +1.8%61 score (0–100)2026
- AI User Share: Singapore (Microsoft AI Diffusion)1y +5.70 pts64.3% of people aged 15-642026-06-30
- AI Optimism Lean · Singapore (Pew)39.5%2026
- More Concerned Than Excited About AI · Singapore (Pew)23%2026
- More Excited Than Concerned About AI · Singapore (Pew)15%2026
Climate and the physical world2 of 4
Health and living standards1
- Singapore · Life Expectancy at Birth · years96th percentile since 1960; highest since 2020; 1y +0.3%83.3 years2024
More about this country3
- USD / SGD11th percentile since Jan 1990; lowest since Oct 13, 2026; 1y −1.1%1.28 rate2026-10-16
- Singapore · Exchange Rate per US Dollar (IMF)5th percentile since Jan 1957; 1y −0.7%1.28 per USD2026-08-01
- Singapore · Total Reserves incl. Gold (IMF)record high since Dec 1950; 1y +11.8%$457bn2026-08-01
Peers
Elsewhere in Asia
Alphabetical. Palanor does not rank countries.
AfghanistanArmeniaAzerbaijanBahrainBangladeshBhutanBruneiCambodiaChinaCyprusGeorgiaHong KongIndiaIndonesiaIranIraqIsraelJapanJordanKazakhstanKuwaitKyrgyzstanLaosLebanonMacaoMalaysiaMaldivesMongoliaMyanmarNepalNorth KoreaOmanPakistanPalestinePhilippinesQatarSaudi ArabiaSouth KoreaSri LankaSyriaTaiwanTajikistanThailandTimor-LesteTürkiyeTurkmenistanUnited Arab EmiratesUzbekistanVietnamYemen