Uzbekistan
Everything Palanor holds about Uzbekistan, in one place: 57 public signals, what its economy runs on, how often America’s largest companies name it, the news that names it, and Country Posture. Every figure is computed from stored readings and carries its source and date.
Asia
The latest read
- GDP in current U.S. dollars: $147 billion (2025); record high since 1990; 1y +21.2%.
- Household consumption, share of GDP: 64.1% of GDP (2025); 66th percentile since 1992; 1y −1.06 pts.
- Net exports, share of GDP: -13.3% of GDP (2025); 22nd percentile since 1997; highest since 2020; 1y +1.07 pts.
Country Posture
What Uzbekistan’s economy is doing
Momentum
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.590 below 0.60; AUC 0.590 below the single-input baseline (0.624); 2010–2022: AUC 0.595 below 0.60; AUC 0.595 below the single-input baseline (0.641).
Inputs
| Real GDP growth | 7.7 |
| Growth against its three-year average | 1.3 |
| Change in unemployment | 0.2 |
| Change in the employment rate | -0.3 |
| Export volume growth | — |
| OECD leading indicator | — |
Resilience
202438Moderate buffers
0 = thin buffers · 100 = deep buffers
Moved most by current account (up) and reserves, months of imports (up) since the year before.
Inputs
| Interest as a share of revenue (2023) | 3.3 | 39 |
| Budget balance (2023) | -4.1 | 18 |
| Reserves, months of imports | 10.3 | 52 |
| Current account | -4.8 | 22 |
| Governance (WGI mean) | -0.55 | 64 |
| External debt | 60.5 | 17 |
Pressure
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.657 below the single-input baseline (0.672).
Inputs
| Inflation | 8.8 |
| Change in inflation | -0.8 |
| Currency move against the dollar | -0.6% |
| Conflict deaths per million | 0.0 |
| Political stability | 0.10 |
| Private credit, three-year change | -0.0 |
| Bond spread over U.S. Treasuries | — |
Posture describes what an economy is doing; it is not a rating and never ranks countries. Each input is read against the country’s own history and against every other economy that year. An axis shows a score only after passing a back-test fixed before any result was computed. Method and back-test.
Passport reach
Where a Uzbekistan passport opens doors
The share of world GDP, outside Uzbekistan itself, in the economies whose published rules let a holder of this passport in, as of October 2026. Palanor records the rules of destinations holding 88% of world GDP, from each government’s own list, and weights them by World Bank GDP for 2025. Rank is among 199 passports.
Work
0.0%rank 114 of 199
the right to work (free movement in full; treaty and working-holiday routes at half); 0 destinations in full.
Recorded changes
Reach is shown here and not weighted into Country Strength: it rewards membership of a free-movement area or a treaty more than the strength of an economy. Entry is always at the border officer’s discretion, and conditions (length of stay, fees, age limits) vary. Method, sources and the full ranking: Passports and citizenship.
Palanor calculation from each destination government's published rules; GDP weights from the World Bank (CC BY 4.0), one year for the whole line, so it moves only when a list changes.
GDP by expenditure
What Uzbekistan’s economy runs on
In 2025, household spending was 64.1% of GDP, government consumption 15.9%, investment 33.3% and net exports -13.3% (exports 22.0%, imports 35.4%). In 2023, 2024 the parts miss 100 by more than three points (the statistical discrepancy in Uzbekistan’s national accounts).
World Bank national accounts. The parts can miss 100 by a few points (the statistical discrepancy).
Same World Bank definition for every country, so the shares compare directly: What each economy runs on.
IMF World Economic Outlook
The IMF’s outlook for Uzbekistan
The latest year before the October 2026 edition (often still an IMF estimate) and the IMF’s own projections. These are the IMF’s published forecasts, shown as published; Palanor does not project them further. Since the previous edition the IMF raised its growth forecast for this year by 1.3 percentage points (Palanor calculation).
| Measure | 2025 | 2026 IMF f’cast | 2027 IMF f’cast | 2031 IMF f’cast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth% | 7.7 | 7.8 | 6.5 | 5.7 |
| Inflation, average consumer prices% | 8.8 | 6.9 | 5.7 | 5.0 |
| Unemployment rate% of labor force | 4.8 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 3.0 |
| GDP, current US dollarsUS$ bn | 147.1 | 178.2 | 202.6 | 304.1 |
| GDP at purchasing-power parityintl $ bn | 503.9 | 561.6 | 617.1 | 833.6 |
| GDP per person, US dollarsUS$ | 3,846 | 4,575 | 5,109 | 7,126 |
| Current account balance% of GDP | -3.9 | -5.1 | -4.6 | -4.8 |
| Government gross debt% of GDP | 28.6 | 27.6 | 26.4 | 25.0 |
| Government overall balance% of GDP | -1.6 | -1.2 | -1.5 | -1.9 |
| Government primary balance% of GDP | -0.9 | -0.4 | -0.7 | -1.2 |
| Government net interest paid% of GDP · Palanor calc. | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026. Provided by the IMF “as is” and free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor. Net interest paid is a Palanor calculation: the IMF's primary balance minus its overall balance.
Conflict
Organized violence
News
In the news
- Rubio seeks to expand Central Asia ties with pomp-filled Uzbekistan visit reut.rs/3VTasiw
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-19positive · +expand
- US top diplomat Marco Rubio to visit India and Uzbekistan this month reut.rs/3WozJRK
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-13neutral
- Apparel Textile Sourcing Uzbekistan 2026 Opens as Chinese Companies Eye Growth in Central Asia
Marketaux (financial news API)2026-10-09positive · +growth
- UAE Joins Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan in Push for Trans-Afghan Railway
OilPrice.com2026-10-08neutral
Headlines that name Uzbekistan, matched by name with fixed rules (a wrong match is worse than a missing one). Tone is read from each headline’s own words; no model reads or summarizes an article, and other publishers’ stories link out.
Company graph
Companies headquartered in Uzbekistan
Palanor’s company graph holds 8 entities headquartered here (GLEIF headquarters address, else legal address).
Signals
Every series about Uzbekistan
Grouped by theme, the most-read first. All 57 in the Library.
Growth and output1
- Uzbekistan · GDP · USD bn (current)record high since 1990; 1y +21.2%$147bn2025
Trade and capital flows1
- Uzbekistan · Net International Investment Position, % of GDP (IMF)17th percentile since 2005; highest since 2022; 1y +5.18 pts13.8% of GDP2025
Energy and resources10
- Uzbekistan · Carbon Intensity of Electricity10th percentile since 2000; lowest since 2005; 1y −3.9%1,000 gCO2e/kWh2025
- Uzbekistan · Coal Share of Electricity Generation79th percentile since 2000; lowest since 2019; 1y −0.42 pts6.57% of generation2025
- Uzbekistan · Electricity Generationrecord high since 2000; 1y +6.4%86.7 TWh2025
- Uzbekistan · Gas Share of Electricity Generation10th percentile since 2000; lowest since 2005; 1y −2.90 pts72.3% of generation2025
- Uzbekistan · Hydro Share of Electricity Generation6th percentile since 2000; lowest since 2021; 1y −2.79 pts7.27% of generation2025
- Uzbekistan · Other Fossil Fuels Share of Electricity Generation44th percentile since 2000; lowest since 2020; 1y −0.11 pts1.73% of generation2025
- Uzbekistan · Solar Share of Electricity Generationrecord high since 2000; 1y +3.94 pts7.5% of generation2025
- Uzbekistan · Wind and Solar Share of Electricity Generationrecord high since 2000; 1y +6.22 pts12.1% of generation2025
- Uzbekistan · Wind Share of Electricity Generationrecord high since 2000; 1y +2.28 pts4.61% of generation2025
- Uzbekistan · Electric Car Share of New Car Sales1y +1.00 pts6% of new car sales2025
Conflict and geopolitics2 of 6
- Uzbekistan · Organized-Violence Deaths (UCDP, annual)record low since 1989; 1y unchanged0 deaths2025
- Uzbekistan · State-Based Conflict Deaths (UCDP, annual)record low since 1989; 1y unchanged0 deaths2025
AI stance and technology1
- AI User Share: Uzbekistan (Microsoft AI Diffusion)1y +1.90 pts7.6% of people aged 15-642026-06-30
More about this country2
- Uzbekistan · IMF Credit Outstanding · USD bn (IMF)63rd percentile since Jan 1995; 1y −20.1%$0.1bn2026-09-01
- Uzbekistan · IMF Credit Outstanding, % of GDP50th percentile since 1995; lowest since 2019; 1y −0.0711 pts0.08% of GDP2025
Peers
Elsewhere in Asia
Alphabetical. Palanor does not rank countries.
AfghanistanArmeniaAzerbaijanBahrainBangladeshBhutanBruneiCambodiaChinaCyprusGeorgiaHong KongIndiaIndonesiaIranIraqIsraelJapanJordanKazakhstanKuwaitKyrgyzstanLaosLebanonMacaoMalaysiaMaldivesMongoliaMyanmarNepalNorth KoreaOmanPakistanPalestinePhilippinesQatarSaudi ArabiaSingaporeSouth KoreaSri LankaSyriaTaiwanTajikistanThailandTimor-LesteTürkiyeTurkmenistanUnited Arab EmiratesVietnamYemen