Lebanon
Everything Palanor holds about Lebanon, in one place: 33 public signals, what its economy runs on, how often America’s largest companies name it, the news that names it, and Country Posture. Every figure is computed from stored readings and carries its source and date.
AsiaMiddle East & North AfricaMiddle East & Africa
The latest read
- GDP in current U.S. dollars: $26 billion (2024); 61st percentile since 1990; highest since 2020; 1y +29.3%.
- Household consumption, share of GDP: 129.3% of GDP (2024); 93rd percentile since 1990; lowest since 2021; 1y −6.79 pts.
- Net exports, share of GDP: -35.6% of GDP (2024); 27th percentile since 1990; highest since 2021; 1y +7.50 pts.
Country Posture
What Lebanon’s economy is doing
Momentum
2024Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.590 below 0.60; AUC 0.590 below the single-input baseline (0.624); 2010–2022: AUC 0.595 below 0.60; AUC 0.595 below the single-input baseline (0.641).
Inputs
| Real GDP growth | -7.1 |
| Growth against its three-year average | -4.3 |
| Change in unemployment | — |
| Change in the employment rate | — |
| Export volume growth | -8.7 |
| OECD leading indicator | — |
Resilience
202443Moderate buffers
0 = thin buffers · 100 = deep buffers
Moved most by interest as a share of revenue (up) and reserves, months of imports (down) since the year before.
Inputs
| Interest as a share of revenue | 5.4 | 76 |
| Budget balance | 1.2 | 90 |
| Reserves, months of imports (2023) | 13.6 | 66 |
| Current account (2023) | -28.1 | 5 |
| Governance (WGI mean) | -1.09 | 7 |
| External debt (2023) | 332 | 4 |
Pressure
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.657 below the single-input baseline (0.672).
Inputs
| Inflation | 14.6 |
| Change in inflation | -30.6 |
| Currency move against the dollar | 0.0% |
| Conflict deaths per million | 59.3 |
| Political stability | -1.27 |
| Private credit, three-year change | — |
| Bond spread over U.S. Treasuries | — |
Posture describes what an economy is doing; it is not a rating and never ranks countries. Each input is read against the country’s own history and against every other economy that year. An axis shows a score only after passing a back-test fixed before any result was computed. Method and back-test.
Passport reach
Where a Lebanon passport opens doors
The share of world GDP, outside Lebanon itself, in the economies whose published rules let a holder of this passport in, as of October 2026. Palanor records the rules of destinations holding 88% of world GDP, from each government’s own list, and weights them by World Bank GDP for 2025. Rank is among 199 passports.
Work
0.0%rank 114 of 199
the right to work (free movement in full; treaty and working-holiday routes at half); 0 destinations in full.
Reach is shown here and not weighted into Country Strength: it rewards membership of a free-movement area or a treaty more than the strength of an economy. Entry is always at the border officer’s discretion, and conditions (length of stay, fees, age limits) vary. Method, sources and the full ranking: Passports and citizenship.
Palanor calculation from each destination government's published rules; GDP weights from the World Bank (CC BY 4.0), one year for the whole line, so it moves only when a list changes.
GDP by expenditure
What Lebanon’s economy runs on
In 2024, household spending was 129.3% of GDP, government consumption 4.9%, investment 1.4% and net exports -35.6% (exports 23.3%, imports 58.9%).
World Bank national accounts. The parts can miss 100 by a few points (the statistical discrepancy).
Same World Bank definition for every country, so the shares compare directly: What each economy runs on.
Conflict
Organized violence
News
In the news
- Unexploded ordnance kills Israeli teenager on school trip
A 15-year-old student died and at least 13 others were injured when an explosive detonated during a school trip near Israel's border with Lebanon.
Palanor Wire2026-10-13negative · -kills
- Three choke points, three different readings on supply-chain fragility
Bolivia locks down lithium roads, Iran ties Hormuz to Lebanon, and China owns the robotaxi stack. Each stress test measures a different kind of exposure.
Palanor Wire2026-06-22neutral
- Middle East Escalation Reprices Oil as Korea Export Boom Sharpens Divergence
Oil jumped 2% on Strait of Hormuz tensions and Israel's push into Lebanon, while South Korea posted four-decade export highs on AI chip demand. China's factory PMI held the expansion line at 50.
Palanor Wire2026-06-01positive · +boom
- Fraser McIlwraith, our foreign correspondent, explains why talks between Israel and Lebanon are unlikely to yield productive results
The Economist · Bluesky2026-10-20neutral
- Qatar Offers Lebanon 2 Gas Plants and 20 Years of LNG Piped Through Syria
OilPrice.com2026-10-19neutral
- EXCLUSIVE: Qatari electricity lifeline for Lebanon includes two power plants, LNG supply deal reut.rs/4kaVkXE
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-19positive · +deal
- Lebanon says military delegation will press for halt to Israeli attacks at US talks reut.rs/3VSSrkl
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-17negative · -halt -attacks
- EXCLUSIVE: Trump move to restart direct US flights with Lebanon hits roadblock reut.rs/4ymam0b
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-16neutral
- Rubio urges Lebanon to not return confiscated explosives to Hezbollah, US official says reut.rs/3VEhWpB
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-15neutral
- Rubio urges Lebanon to resist Hezbollah pressure over seized explosives
Axios Business2026-10-15neutral
- UN peacekeeping chief says talks on future of Lebanon mission must begin soon reut.rs/4jXIP1D
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-14neutral
- Perhaps a third of Lebanon’s prisoners will be released or have their sentences commuted under a new amnesty law. Register to read why it may ease overcrowding—but could also deepen sectarian tensions
The Economist · Bluesky2026-10-12neutral
- Perhaps a third of Lebanon’s prisoners will be released or have their sentences commuted under a new amnesty law. Register to read why it may ease overcrowding—but could also deepen sectarian tensions, bit.ly/3Win6rl
Photo: Reuters
The Economist · Bluesky2026-10-11positive · +win
- Lebanon’s prisons hold three times as many inmates as they are supposed to. An amnesty law may help address this chronic overcrowding. But it also reflects sectarian politicking
The Economist · Bluesky2026-10-11neutral
Headlines that name Lebanon, matched by name with fixed rules (a wrong match is worse than a missing one). Tone is read from each headline’s own words; no model reads or summarizes an article, and other publishers’ stories link out.
Company graph
Companies headquartered in Lebanon
Palanor’s company graph holds 4 entities headquartered here (GLEIF headquarters address, else legal address).
Signals
Every series about Lebanon
Grouped by theme, the most-read first. All 33 in the Library.
Growth and output1
- Lebanon · GDP · USD bn (current)61st percentile since 1990; highest since 2020; 1y +29.3%$26bn2024
Conflict and geopolitics2 of 6
- Lebanon · Organized-Violence Deaths (UCDP, annual)88th percentile since 1989; 1y −92.0%347 deaths2025
- Lebanon · State-Based Conflict Deaths (UCDP, annual)88th percentile since 1989; 1y −92.0%347 deaths2025
AI stance and technology1
- AI User Share: Lebanon (Microsoft AI Diffusion)1y +2.90 pts27.7% of people aged 15-642026-06-30
Climate and the physical world2 of 4
Peers
Elsewhere in Asia
Alphabetical. Palanor does not rank countries.
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