Israel
Everything Palanor holds about Israel, in one place: 232 public signals, what its economy runs on, how often America’s largest companies name it, the news that names it, and Country Posture. Every figure is computed from stored readings and carries its source and date.
AsiaMiddle East & North AfricaOECDMiddle East & Africa
The latest read
- GDP in current U.S. dollars: $610.8 billion (2025); record high since 1960; 1y +12.6%.
- Real GDP growth: 2.93% (2025); 27th percentile since 1961; highest since 2022; 1y +1.98 pts.
- Consumer price inflation: 3.04% (2025); 34th percentile since 1960; lowest since 2021; 1y −0.03 pts.
- Unemployment: 3.49% (2025); 4th percentile since 1991; 1y −0.11 pts.
- Household consumption, share of GDP: 48.6% of GDP (2025); 7th percentile since 1990; 1y −0.03 pts.
- Net exports, share of GDP: 2.13% of GDP (2025); 85th percentile since 1990; lowest since 2022; 1y −0.29 pts.
- S&P 500 companies naming it on earnings calls: 0.88% of companies (2026-10-21); 45th percentile since Dec 2021; highest since Jul 24, 2026; 1y +0.07 pts.
Country Posture
What Israel’s economy is doing
Momentum
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.590 below 0.60; AUC 0.590 below the single-input baseline (0.624); 2010–2022: AUC 0.595 below 0.60; AUC 0.595 below the single-input baseline (0.641).
Inputs
| Real GDP growth | 2.9 |
| Growth against its three-year average | -0.2 |
| Change in unemployment | -0.1 |
| Change in the employment rate | 0.1 |
| Export volume growth | — |
| OECD leading indicator | — |
Resilience
202548Moderate buffers
0 = thin buffers · 100 = deep buffers
Moved most by current account (down) and reserves, months of imports (down) since the year before.
Inputs
| Interest as a share of revenue (2024) | 9.4 | 51 |
| Budget balance (2024) | -8.2 | 6 |
| Reserves, months of imports | 14.4 | 91 |
| Current account | 2.0 | 57 |
| Governance (WGI mean) | 0.57 | 41 |
| External debt | — | — |
Pressure
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.657 below the single-input baseline (0.672).
Inputs
| Inflation | 3.0 |
| Change in inflation | -0.0 |
| Currency move against the dollar | -6.9% |
| Conflict deaths per million | 1438.6 |
| Political stability | -0.91 |
| Private credit, three-year change | 2.3 |
| Bond spread over U.S. Treasuries | -0.0 |
Posture describes what an economy is doing; it is not a rating and never ranks countries. Each input is read against the country’s own history and against every other economy that year. An axis shows a score only after passing a back-test fixed before any result was computed. Method and back-test.
Country Schemas
Where Israel is in its cycles
Where Israel sits in eight long cycles, each read from published statistics against a method fixed before any reading was computed. A stage describes; it is not a rating, and no stage is better or worse than another.
- Development stage
High mass consumption100% · 2025
Pre-take-offTake-offDrive to maturityHigh mass consumption20002025
- Demographic stage
Late expanding98% · 2025
High stationaryEarly expandingLate expandingLow stationaryDeclining20002025
- Debt cycle stage
Early cycle71% · 2025
Early cycleLeveragingLate cycleDeleveraging20002025
- External balance stage
Immature creditor51% · 2025
Immature debtorMature debtorDebt repayerImmature creditorMature creditorCredit disinvestor20002025
- Export structure stage
Complex exporter99% · 2025
Commodity-reliantDiversifyingManufacturing exporterComplex exporter20002025
- Structural pressure
Building39% · 2025
LowBuildingHighAcute20002025
- Middle-class stage
Affluent99% · 2025
Pre-middle-classEmerging middle classMiddle-class majorityAffluent20002025
- Electoral cycle
Pre-election99% · 2026-10
Post-electionMid-termPre-election2021-042026-10
Passport reach
Where a Israel passport opens doors
The share of world GDP, outside Israel itself, in the economies whose published rules let a holder of this passport in, as of October 2026. Palanor records the rules of destinations holding 88% of world GDP, from each government’s own list, and weights them by World Bank GDP for 2025. Rank is among 199 passports.
Work
17.3%rank 44 of 199
the right to work (free movement in full; treaty and working-holiday routes at half); 0 destinations in full, 7 at half.
Recorded changes
- 2025-01-08United Kingdom · visit: Visa-free → Online travel authorisation source
Reach is shown here and not weighted into Country Strength: it rewards membership of a free-movement area or a treaty more than the strength of an economy. Entry is always at the border officer’s discretion, and conditions (length of stay, fees, age limits) vary. Method, sources and the full ranking: Passports and citizenship.
Palanor calculation from each destination government's published rules; GDP weights from the World Bank (CC BY 4.0), one year for the whole line, so it moves only when a list changes.
GDP by expenditure
What Israel’s economy runs on
In 2025, household spending was 48.5% of GDP, government consumption 25.0%, investment 24.4% and net exports +2.1% (exports 27.6%, imports 25.4%).
World Bank national accounts. The parts can miss 100 by a few points (the statistical discrepancy).
Same World Bank definition for every country, so the shares compare directly: What each economy runs on.
IMF World Economic Outlook
The IMF’s outlook for Israel
The latest year before the October 2026 edition (often still an IMF estimate) and the IMF’s own projections. These are the IMF’s published forecasts, shown as published; Palanor does not project them further. Since the previous edition the IMF raised its growth forecast for this year by 1.0 percentage points (Palanor calculation).
| Measure | 2025 | 2026 IMF f’cast | 2027 IMF f’cast | 2031 IMF f’cast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth% | 3.5 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| Inflation, average consumer prices% | 3.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Unemployment rate% of labor force | 3.0 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.6 |
| GDP, current US dollarsUS$ bn | 616.6 | 747.0 | 799.8 | 966.6 |
| GDP at purchasing-power parityintl $ bn | 573.8 | 619.7 | 667.5 | 827.8 |
| GDP per person, US dollarsUS$ | 60,899 | 72,441 | 76,153 | 85,869 |
| Current account balance% of GDP | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| Government gross debt% of GDP | 67.9 | 68.8 | 69.5 | 72.7 |
| Government net debt% of GDP | 65.7 | 66.7 | 67.4 | 70.6 |
| Government overall balance% of GDP | -5.2 | -5.8 | -5.1 | -4.9 |
| Government primary balance% of GDP | -2.1 | -3.1 | -2.5 | -2.1 |
| Government net interest paid% of GDP · Palanor calc. | 3.1 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 2.8 |
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026. Provided by the IMF “as is” and free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor. Net interest paid is a Palanor calculation: the IMF's primary balance minus its overall balance.
Charts
The headline series
Discourse
How often S&P 500 companies name Israel
4 of 445 S&P 500 companies named Israel on an earnings call in the 90 days to 2026-10-21. 11.9% list it in the risk factors of their latest 10-K. Names only, counted by fixed rules set before any document was read; a mention says the country came up, not why.
Conflict
Organized violence
News
In the news
- Hegseth meets Netanyahu in unannounced Israel visit
The unannounced meeting addressed regional threats and military cooperation.
Palanor Wire2026-10-20neutral
- Trump endorses Netanyahu ahead of Israeli election
President Trump backed Prime Minister Netanyahu days before Israel's Oct. 27 vote as polls show his coalition short of a majority.
Palanor Wire2026-10-18neutral
- Unexploded ordnance kills Israeli teenager on school trip
A 15-year-old student died and at least 13 others were injured when an explosive detonated during a school trip near Israel's border with Lebanon.
Palanor Wire2026-10-13negative · -kills
- Flydubai co-pilot trained in New Zealand before attack
A Flydubai co-pilot accused of attacking his captain and attempting to crash a flight into Israel completed part of his flight training in New Zealand and had planned the attack before being hired, officials say.
Palanor Wire2026-10-06negative · -attack
- Indian pilot Machchhar hailed as hero after thwarting in-flight hijack attempt
FlyDubai pilot Smit Machchhar thwarted a co-pilot's alleged hijack attempt on a flight with 174 passengers, earning praise from leaders of India, Israel and the US.
Palanor Wire2026-10-04neutral
- FlyDubai co-pilot identified after cockpit attack
The co-pilot who attacked the captain of an Israel-bound FlyDubai flight is Omani national Hamam al-Hammami, who reportedly faced extremist concerns before joining the airline.
Palanor Wire2026-10-03negative · -attack
- As Israel prepares for a general election, one question looms large: will Binyamin Netanyahu remain prime minister? Our poll tracker suggests that his Likud party and a political newcomer are neck-and-neck
The Economist · Bluesky2026-10-22neutral
- Oil prices jump on Middle East worries as U.S., Israel reportedly weigh fresh Iran strikes
CNBC · Bluesky2026-10-22negative · -prices jump -strikes
- Reportan que EE.UU. e Israel elaboran planes para reanudar ataques contra Irán tras las elecciones de mitad de mandato
La Tercera2026-10-22neutral
- Breaking News: The U.S. and Israel have plans for new strikes on Iran after the midterms, according to officials briefed on the discussions.
The New York Times · Bluesky2026-10-21negative · -strikes
- Israel’s Elbit acquires Canadian company focused on autonomous underwater systems
Breaking Defense2026-10-21neutral
- Aumentan a más de 1.530 los palestinos muertos por ataques de Israel contra Gaza pese al alto el fuego
La Tercera2026-10-21neutral
- As Israel prepares for a general election, one question looms large: will Binyamin Netanyahu remain prime minister? Our poll tracker suggests that his Likud party and a political newcomer are neck-and-neck
The Economist · Bluesky2026-10-21neutral
- Fraser McIlwraith, our foreign correspondent, explains why talks between Israel and Lebanon are unlikely to yield productive results
The Economist · Bluesky2026-10-20neutral
Headlines that name Israel, matched by name with fixed rules (a wrong match is worse than a missing one). Tone is read from each headline’s own words; no model reads or summarizes an article, and other publishers’ stories link out.
Company graph
Companies headquartered in Israel
Palanor’s company graph holds 186 entities headquartered here, 20 with a listed ticker (GLEIF headquarters address, else legal address).
- My Size, Inc.MYSZ · WILMINGTON
- Glucotrack, Inc.GCTK · Wilmington
- Big Digital Energy, Inc.BGDE · DOVER
- Mobileye Global Inc.MBLY · JERUSALEM
- Caesarstone Ltd.CSTE · שדות ים
- Enlight Renewable Energy Ltd.ENLT · ראש העי
- FORMULA SYSTEMS (1985) LTDFORTY · Or Yehuda
- CHECK POINT SOFTWARE TECHNOLOGIES LTDCHKP · Tel Aviv
- Kornit Digital Ltd.KRNT · ראש העין
- Fiverr International Ltd.FVRR · TEL AVIV
- NICE Ltd.NICE · Ra'Anana
- KALTURA INCKLTR · WILMINGTON
Signals
Every series about Israel
Grouped by theme, the most-read first. All 232 in the Library.
Growth and output10 of 45
- Israel Real House Prices (12-Month Change)13th percentile since Jan 1995; lowest since Oct 2023; 1y −5.54 pts-3.22% y/y2026-01-01
- GDP per Person, Historical (Maddison): Israelrecord high since 1; 1y +4.8%36,6492022
- GDP, Historical (Maddison): Israelrecord high since 1950; 1y +6.4%336.72022
- Population, Historical (Maddison): Israelrecord high since 1950; 1y +1.6%9,187,790 people2022
- Israel · GDP · USD bn (current)record high since 1960; 1y +12.6%$610.8bn2025
- Israel · Real GDP Growth · % y/y27th percentile since 1961; highest since 2022; 1y +1.98 pts2.93%2025
- Israel · Country Strength18th percentile since 1990; lowest since 2005; 1y −0.8%52.5 index2025
- Israel · GDP per Capita · PPP USDrecord high since 1990; 1y +4.3%59,717 usd2025
- Israel: Share of World GDP at Market Exchange Ratesrecord high since 1990; 1y +0.03 pts0.52% of world GDP2025
- Israel: Share of World GDP Minus Share of World Populationrecord high since 1990; 1y +0.03 pts0.392025
Prices5 of 7
- Israel Consumer Prices (12-Month Change)21st percentile since Sep 1952; lowest since May 2021; 1y −1.64 pts1.65% y/y2026-06-01
- Israel Consumer Price Index (OECD)record high since Jan 2010; 1y +1.5%121.3 index2026-08-01
- Israel Inflation Rate (CPI, % y/y, OECD)53rd percentile since Jan 2011; lowest since May 2021; 1y −1.32 pts1.54% y/y2026-08-01
- Israel Purchasing Power Since 2019 (100 = January 2019)record low since Jan 2019; 1y −1.5%82.92026-08-01
- Israel · Inflation · CPI % y/y34th percentile since 1960; lowest since 2021; 1y −0.03 pts3.04%2025
Jobs and people at work5 of 6
- Israel · Unemployment Rate (OECD Harmonised, Monthly)6th percentile since Jan 2012; lowest since Mar 2026; 1y −0.16 pts2.82% of labour force2026-08-01
- Average annual hours worked · Israel4th percentile since 1990; lowest since 2020; 1y −0.4%1,870 hours2025
- Israel · Female Labor Force Participation · %record high since 1990; 1y +0.08 pts62.3%2025
- Israel · Male Labor Force Participation · %21st percentile since 1990; lowest since 2022; 1y −0.1 pts68.8%2025
- Israel · Unemployment Rate · %4th percentile since 1991; 1y −0.11 pts3.49%2025
Money, rates and credit3 of 4
- Israel Policy Rate42nd percentile since Jul 1993; lowest since Dec 2022; 1y −1.25 pts3.25%2026-09-01
- Israel 10-Year Government Bond Yield (Monthly)41st percentile since Jan 1997; highest since Dec 2025; 1y −0.07 pts4.08%2026-09-01
- Bank of Israel Total Assets · % of Israel GDP77th percentile since Jan 2001; lowest since Jan 2020; 1y −7.12 pts37.6% of GDP2026-01-01
Stock market and listed companies2
- Israel Share Prices (OECD, 2015 = 100)record high since Jan 1980; 1y +58.2%294.42026-09-01
- Israel Share Prices, Change Over a Year (OECD)82nd percentile since Jan 1981; 1y +7.34 pts58.2% y/y2026-09-01
Government and debt10 of 21
- Israel · Budget Balance · % GDP (central govt)24th percentile since 1972; lowest since 2020; 1y −2.92-8.18 pct_gdp2024
- Israel · Interest · % of Revenue (central govt)18th percentile since 1972; 1y +0.41 pts9.42%2024
- Israel · Interest · % of Expense (central govt)16th percentile since 1972; 1y −1.87 pts7.65%2023
- Israel · Government Debt · % GDP40th percentile since 1990; highest since 2020; 1y +2.8%69.5 pct_gdp2025
- Israel · 10-Year Government Bond Yield · annual avg43rd percentile since 1997; 1y −0.433 pts4.24%2025
- Israel · Public Social Spending: Family (% of GDP)33rd percentile since 1995; 1y +0.09 pts1.89% of GDP2023
- Israel · Public Social Spending: Health and Disability (% of GDP)91st percentile since 1995; 1y +0.16 pts7.79% of GDP2023
- Israel · Public Social Spending: Old Age and Survivors (% of GDP)81st percentile since 1995; 1y +0.19 pts5.43% of GDP2023
- Israel · Public Social Spending: Other Social Policy (% of GDP)33rd percentile since 1995; highest since 2020; 1y +0.09 pts0.83% of GDP2023
- Israel · Public Social Spending: Total (% of GDP)74th percentile since 1995; 1y +0.67 pts16.3% of GDP2023
Trade and capital flows7 of 8
- Israel's Share of Foreign-Held U.S. Equities · %99th percentile since Sep 2011; 1y +0.122 pts1.06% of foreign holdings2026-08-01
- U.S. Equities Held in Israel · USD bnrecord high since Sep 2011; 1y +38.8%267.8 $ billions2026-08-01
- U.S. Integrated Circuits Exports to Israel, 12 Months11th percentile since Dec 2013; lowest since Dec 2018; 1y −42.7%0.29 $ billions2026-08-01
- U.S. Integrated Circuits Imports From Israel, 12 Monthsrecord high since Dec 2013; 1y +33.8%5.67 $ billions2026-08-01
- Israel · Net International Investment Position (IMF)record high since Jan 1989; 1y +22.0%$315.8bn2026-04-01
- Israel · Current Account · % GDP69th percentile since 1960; lowest since 2012; 1y −32.9%2.02 pct_gdp2025
- Israel · Net International Investment Position, % of GDP (IMF)93rd percentile since 1989; 1y −0.673 pts44.1% of GDP2025
Energy and resources10 of 15
- Israel · Bioenergy Share of Electricity Generationrecord high since 2000; 1y +0.06 pts0.2% of generation2025
- Israel · Carbon Intensity of Electricityrecord low since 2000; 1y −8.8%492.9 gCO2e/kWh2025
- Israel · Coal Share of Electricity Generationrecord low since 2000; 1y −10.89 pts3.41% of generation2025
- Israel · Electricity Generationrecord high since 2000; 1y +2.1%82.1 TWh2025
- Israel · Gas Share of Electricity Generationrecord high since 2000; 1y +8.27 pts79.7% of generation2025
- Israel · Hydro Share of Electricity Generationrecord low since 2000; 1y −0.01 pts0% of generation2025
- Israel · Other Fossil Fuels Share of Electricity Generationrecord low since 2000; 1y −0.5 pts0% of generation2025
- Israel · Solar Share of Electricity Generationrecord high since 2000; 1y +3.09 pts16.2% of generation2025
- Israel · Wind and Solar Share of Electricity Generationrecord high since 2000; 1y +3.08 pts16.7% of generation2025
- Israel · Wind Share of Electricity Generation90th percentile since 2000; lowest since 2022; 1y −0.01 pts0.56% of generation2025
Conflict and geopolitics8 of 14
- Geopolitical Risk — Israel95th percentile since Jan 1985; 1y +0.241 pts1.61%2026-09-01
- U.S. Active-Duty Troops in Israel (DMDC)58th percentile since Sep 2008; lowest since Mar 2021; 1y −10.3%96 persons2026-08-31
- Israel · Organized-Violence Deaths (UCDP, annual)93rd percentile since 1989; lowest since 2022; 1y −32.6%14,563 deaths2025
- Israel · State-Based Conflict Deaths (UCDP, annual)93rd percentile since 1989; lowest since 2022; 1y −32.9%14,472 deaths2025
- Israel · Governance · WGI six-dimension mean13th percentile since 1996; highest since 2022; 1y +1.8%0.57 index2025
- Israel · Political Stability · WGI35th percentile since 1996; highest since 2022; 1y +0.126-0.91 index2025
- Israel · Regulatory Quality · WGI65th percentile since 1996; highest since 2022; 1y +3.0%1.13 index2025
- Israel · Rule of Law · WGI9th percentile since 1996; highest since 2022; 1y +6.4%0.68 index2025
Defence1
- Israel defence spending — % of GDP (OECD COFOG)record high since 1995; 1y +47.5%9.02 pct of GDP2024
Aid in and out2
- Israel · Foreign Aid (Official Development Assistance) · US$ billions28th percentile since 2017; lowest since 2020; 1y −1.9%0.31 US$ billions2025
- Israel · ODA as % of GNIrecord low since 2018; 1y −0.01 pts0.05% of GNI2025
Migration4 of 6
- International Migrant Stock: Israel (UN)record high since 19902,091,569 people2024
- International Migrants as a Share of Population: Israel (UN)record low since 199022.3% of population2024
- U.S.-Born People Living in Israel (UN)record high since 199097,258 people2024
- Change in Migrant Share of Population Since 2000: Israel (UN)-7.82024
AI stance and technology7 of 8
- Israel · R&D Spending · % of GDPrecord high since 1996; 1y +0.168 pts6.35% of GDP2023
- Global Innovation Index Rank: Israel1y +7.1%15 rank2026
- Global Innovation Index Score: Israellowest since 2022; 1y −0.2%52.2 score (0–100)2026
- AI User Share: Israel (Microsoft AI Diffusion)1y +4.80 pts38.7% of people aged 15-642026-06-30
- AI Optimism Lean · Israel (Pew)1y +2.40 pts60.4%2026
- More Concerned Than Excited About AI · Israel (Pew)1y −2.00 pts19%2026
- More Excited Than Concerned About AI · Israel (Pew)1y unchanged29%2026
Climate and the physical world4 of 6
- Israel · Arable Land · % of landrecord low since 1961; 1y −0.65 pts11.9% of land area2024
- Israel · Renewable Freshwater · m³ per personrecord low since 1961; 1y −1.2%802021
- Israel · Forest Area · % of land39th percentile since 1990; highest since 2018; 1y +0.09 pts6.84%2024
- Israel · PM2.5 Exposure · µg/m³record low since 1990; 1y −4.5%18.6 µg/m³2020
Health and living standards10
- Israel · Life Expectancy at Birth · yearsrecord high since 1961; 1y +0.0%83.2 years2024
- Israel · Access to Electricity · % of populationrecord high since 1990; 1y unchanged100%2024
- Israel · Human Development Index · UNDP96th percentile since 1990; 1y −0.2%0.92 index2023
- Israel · Extreme Poverty ($3.00 a day) · % of population15th percentile since 1979; lowest since 2011; 1y −0.2 pts0.4%2022
- Israel · Basic Drinking Water Access · % of populationrecord high since 2000; 1y unchanged100%2024
- Israel · Safely Managed Drinking Water · % of populationrecord low since 2000; 1y −0.02 pts99.5%2024
- Israel · Undernourishment · % of populationrecord high since 2001; 1y unchanged2.5%2024
- Israel · Antidepressants: Daily Doses per 1,000 Peoplerecord high since 2012; 1y +4.3%72.92025
- Israel · Anxiolytics (Anti-Anxiety Drugs): Daily Doses per 1,000 People58th percentile since 2012; lowest since 2020; 1y −1.3%7.92025
- Israel · Sleeping Pills (Hypnotics and Sedatives): Daily Doses per 1,000 Peoplerecord high since 2012; 1y +2.2%27.52025
Sentiment and attention2
- Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?46th percentile since Oct 20250.15 probability2026-10-21
- Israel · Search Attention65th percentile since Sep 2021; 1y −50.0%7 index2026-09-20
More about this country3 of 19
- Israel · Total Reserves incl. Gold (IMF)99th percentile since Dec 1950; lowest since Apr 2026; 1y +2.2%$237bn2026-09-01
- Israel · Exchange Rate per US Dollar (IMF)54th percentile since Jan 1957; 1y −11.9%2.99 per USD2026-08-01
- Israel Real Effective Exchange Rate99th percentile since Jan 1994; 1y +11.2%112.62026-08-01
Peers
Elsewhere in Asia
Alphabetical. Palanor does not rank countries.
AfghanistanArmeniaAzerbaijanBahrainBangladeshBhutanBruneiCambodiaChinaCyprusGeorgiaHong KongIndiaIndonesiaIranIraqJapanJordanKazakhstanKuwaitKyrgyzstanLaosLebanonMacaoMalaysiaMaldivesMongoliaMyanmarNepalNorth KoreaOmanPakistanPalestinePhilippinesQatarSaudi ArabiaSingaporeSouth KoreaSri LankaSyriaTaiwanTajikistanThailandTimor-LesteTürkiyeTurkmenistanUnited Arab EmiratesUzbekistanVietnamYemen