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Thailand

Everything Palanor holds about Thailand, in one place: 123 public signals, what its economy runs on, how often America’s largest companies name it, the news that names it, and Country Posture. Every figure is computed from stored readings and carries its source and date.

AsiaAsia-Pacific

The latest read

Country Posture

What Thailand’s economy is doing

Momentum

2025

Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.590 below 0.60; AUC 0.590 below the single-input baseline (0.624); 2010–2022: AUC 0.595 below 0.60; AUC 0.595 below the single-input baseline (0.641).

Inputs
Real GDP growth2.4
Growth against its three-year average-0.2
Change in unemployment0.0
Change in the employment rate-0.4
Export volume growth—
OECD leading indicator—

Resilience

2025

60Moderate buffers

0 = thin buffers · 100 = deep buffers

Moved most by governance (wgi mean) (up) and reserves, months of imports (up) since the year before.

Inputs
Interest as a share of revenue (2024)5.850
Budget balance (2024)-1.550
Reserves, months of imports8.181
Current account3.062
Governance (WGI mean)-0.2258
External debt (2024)37.558

Pressure

2025

Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.657 below the single-input baseline (0.672).

Inputs
Inflation-0.1
Change in inflation-0.5
Currency move against the dollar-7.1%
Conflict deaths per million1.7
Political stability-0.56
Private credit, three-year change-13.4
Bond spread over U.S. Treasuries—

Posture describes what an economy is doing; it is not a rating and never ranks countries. Each input is read against the country’s own history and against every other economy that year. An axis shows a score only after passing a back-test fixed before any result was computed. Method and back-test.

Passport reach

Where a Thailand passport opens doors

The share of world GDP, outside Thailand itself, in the economies whose published rules let a holder of this passport in, as of October 2026. Palanor records the rules of destinations holding 88% of world GDP, from each government’s own list, and weights them by World Bank GDP for 2025. Rank is among 199 passports.

Visit

30.2%

rank 83 of 199

short stays without a visa arranged in advance; 9 destinations in full.

Work

13.9%

rank 57 of 199

the right to work (free movement in full; treaty and working-holiday routes at half); 0 destinations in full, 3 at half.

Live

0.0%

rank 51 of 199

a right to reside by nationality; 0 destinations in full.

Recorded changes

  • 2024-03-01China · visit: Visa required → Visa-free source
  • 2024-01-02Saudi Arabia · visit: Visa required → Visa on arrival source

Reach is shown here and not weighted into Country Strength: it rewards membership of a free-movement area or a treaty more than the strength of an economy. Entry is always at the border officer’s discretion, and conditions (length of stay, fees, age limits) vary. Method, sources and the full ranking: Passports and citizenship.

What a Thailand passport opensShare of world GDP outside the holder's own country in the recorded destinations open to the passport: to visit, to work, to live. Monthly, rules in force on the first of the monthVisit: 30.2% in Oct 2026 · Oct 2026
Source: Palanor calculation from destination governments’ published visa and residence rules; GDP weights: World Bank (CC BY 4.0)Open the chart →

Palanor calculation from each destination government's published rules; GDP weights from the World Bank (CC BY 4.0), one year for the whole line, so it moves only when a list changes.

GDP by expenditure

What Thailand’s economy runs on

In 2025, household spending was 58.5% of GDP, government consumption 16.6%, investment 22.1% and net exports +3.9% (exports 71.2%, imports 67.3%).

What Thailand's economy runs onSpending by households, government and investment, and net exports, as shares of GDP each yearTotal 101.1% in 2025 · 2025
HouseholdsGovernmentInvestmentNet exports
Source: The World BankOpen the chart →

World Bank national accounts. The parts can miss 100 by a few points (the statistical discrepancy).

Same World Bank definition for every country, so the shares compare directly: What each economy runs on.

IMF World Economic Outlook

The IMF’s outlook for Thailand

The latest year before the October 2026 edition (often still an IMF estimate) and the IMF’s own projections. These are the IMF’s published forecasts, shown as published; Palanor does not project them further. Since the previous edition the IMF raised its growth forecast for this year by 0.6 percentage points (Palanor calculation).

Measure20252026 IMF f’cast2027 IMF f’cast2031 IMF f’cast
Real GDP growth%2.42.12.12.5
Inflation, average consumer prices%-0.12.11.72.0
Unemployment rate% of labor force1.01.01.01.0
GDP, current US dollarsUS$ bn577.0599.1598.1699.5
GDP at purchasing-power parityintl $ bn1,8801,9842,0892,480
GDP per person, US dollarsUS$8,0578,3728,3679,837
Current account balance% of GDP3.0-1.21.42.2
Government gross debt% of GDP64.767.268.569.7
Government overall balance% of GDP-1.7-3.3-2.9-2.3
Government primary balance% of GDP-0.6-2.0-1.6-0.9
Government net interest paid% of GDP · Palanor calc.1.21.31.31.4
Thailand: growth, and the IMF's outlookReal GDP growth, percent a year, IMF history and projectionReal GDP growth: 2.4% in 2025 · 2025
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026Open the chart →

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.

Thailand: government debt, and the IMF's outlookGeneral government gross debt, % of GDP, IMF history and projectionGross debt: 65% in 2025 · 2025
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026Open the chart →

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026. Provided by the IMF “as is” and free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor. Net interest paid is a Palanor calculation: the IMF's primary balance minus its overall balance.

Discourse

How often S&P 500 companies name Thailand

5 of 445 S&P 500 companies named Thailand on an earnings call in the 90 days to 2026-10-21. 3.5% list it in the risk factors of their latest 10-K. Names only, counted by fixed rules set before any document was read; a mention says the country came up, not why.

How often S&P 500 companies name ThailandShare of S&P 500 companies naming the country on earnings calls (trailing 90 days) and in 10-K risk factors (latest filing)Earnings calls: 1.1% on Oct 22, 2026 · Oct 22, 2026
Source: Palanor calculationOpen the chart →

Conflict

Organized violence

Organized-violence deaths in ThailandDeaths each year from state-based, non-state and one-sided violence, UCDP best estimate122 in 2025 · 2025
Source: Uppsala UniversityOpen the chart →

News

In the news

Week of 2026-08-24: 1 headlines, net tone 0.00Week of 2026-08-31: 2 headlines, net tone -0.50Week of 2026-09-28: 3 headlines, net tone 0.33Week of 2026-10-05: 9 headlines, net tone 0.33Week of 2026-10-12: 6 headlines, net tone 0.00
Net tone of headlines naming the country, by week (2026-08-24 to 2026-10-12). Above the line: more positive than negative words.

Headlines that name Thailand, matched by name with fixed rules (a wrong match is worse than a missing one). Tone is read from each headline’s own words; no model reads or summarizes an article, and other publishers’ stories link out.

Company graph

Companies headquartered in Thailand

Palanor’s company graph holds 97 entities headquartered here (GLEIF headquarters address, else legal address).

Signals

Every series about Thailand

Grouped by theme, the most-read first. All 123 in the Library.

Growth and output9

Money, rates and credit4

Government and debt2 of 4

Trade and capital flows5

Energy and resources10 of 14

Conflict and geopolitics3 of 7

Aid in and out2

Migration4 of 6

Health and living standards7 of 8

More about this country2

Peers

Elsewhere in Asia

Alphabetical. Palanor does not rank countries.

AfghanistanArmeniaAzerbaijanBahrainBangladeshBhutanBruneiCambodiaChinaCyprusGeorgiaHong KongIndiaIndonesiaIranIraqIsraelJapanJordanKazakhstanKuwaitKyrgyzstanLaosLebanonMacaoMalaysiaMaldivesMongoliaMyanmarNepalNorth KoreaOmanPakistanPalestinePhilippinesQatarSaudi ArabiaSingaporeSouth KoreaSri LankaSyriaTaiwanTajikistanTimor-LesteTürkiyeTurkmenistanUnited Arab EmiratesUzbekistanVietnamYemen

Built 2026-10-22 from Palanor’s stored readings. Sources include the World Bank (WDI, WGI; CC BY 4.0), the OECD, UCDP (CC BY 4.0), national statistics offices and central banks, each credited on its signal, and the IMF World Economic Outlook Database (October 2026). Market prices are available inside the Terminal.

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