Myanmar
Everything Palanor holds about Myanmar, in one place: 43 public signals, what its economy runs on, how often America’s largest companies name it, the news that names it, and Country Posture. Every figure is computed from stored readings and carries its source and date.
AsiaAsia-Pacific
Country Posture
What Myanmar’s economy is doing
Momentum
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.590 below 0.60; AUC 0.590 below the single-input baseline (0.624); 2010–2022: AUC 0.595 below 0.60; AUC 0.595 below the single-input baseline (0.641).
Inputs
| Real GDP growth | -2.0 |
| Growth against its three-year average | -3.4 |
| Change in unemployment | 0.2 |
| Change in the employment rate | -0.1 |
| Export volume growth | — |
| OECD leading indicator | — |
Resilience
2025Withheld: 1 of 5 core inputs reported for 2025.
Inputs
| Interest as a share of revenue | — |
| Budget balance | — |
| Reserves, months of imports | — |
| Current account | — |
| Governance (WGI mean) | -1.73 |
| External debt (2024) | 15.3 |
Pressure
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.657 below the single-input baseline (0.672).
Inputs
| Inflation | — |
| Change in inflation | — |
| Currency move against the dollar | — |
| Conflict deaths per million | 42.2 |
| Political stability | -2.12 |
| Private credit, three-year change | — |
| Bond spread over U.S. Treasuries | — |
Posture describes what an economy is doing; it is not a rating and never ranks countries. Each input is read against the country’s own history and against every other economy that year. An axis shows a score only after passing a back-test fixed before any result was computed. Method and back-test.
Passport reach
Where a Myanmar passport opens doors
The share of world GDP, outside Myanmar itself, in the economies whose published rules let a holder of this passport in, as of October 2026. Palanor records the rules of destinations holding 88% of world GDP, from each government’s own list, and weights them by World Bank GDP for 2025. Rank is among 199 passports.
Visit
3.9%rank 130 of 199 · +2.2 pts in a year
short stays without a visa arranged in advance; 3 destinations in full.
Work
0.0%rank 114 of 199
the right to work (free movement in full; treaty and working-holiday routes at half); 0 destinations in full.
Recorded changes
Reach is shown here and not weighted into Country Strength: it rewards membership of a free-movement area or a treaty more than the strength of an economy. Entry is always at the border officer’s discretion, and conditions (length of stay, fees, age limits) vary. Method, sources and the full ranking: Passports and citizenship.
Palanor calculation from each destination government's published rules; GDP weights from the World Bank (CC BY 4.0), one year for the whole line, so it moves only when a list changes.
IMF World Economic Outlook
The IMF’s outlook for Myanmar
The latest year before the October 2026 edition (often still an IMF estimate) and the IMF’s own projections. These are the IMF’s published forecasts, shown as published; Palanor does not project them further. Since the previous edition the IMF cut its growth forecast for this year by 0.9 percentage points (Palanor calculation).
| Measure | 2025 | 2026 IMF f’cast | 2027 IMF f’cast | 2031 IMF f’cast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth% | -2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Inflation, average consumer prices% | 21.1 | 20.0 | 16.0 | 7.8 |
| GDP, current US dollarsUS$ bn | 82.3 | 83.2 | 85.6 | 107.3 |
| GDP at purchasing-power parityintl $ bn | 276.4 | 291.6 | 306.9 | 345.8 |
| GDP per person, US dollarsUS$ | 1,501 | 1,507 | 1,542 | 1,895 |
| Current account balance% of GDP | 1.8 | -0.8 | -1.1 | -1.5 |
| Government gross debt% of GDP | 51.9 | 53.3 | 54.6 | 56.0 |
| Government overall balance% of GDP | -4.9 | -5.0 | -5.1 | -3.7 |
| Government primary balance% of GDP | -2.6 | -2.6 | -2.5 | -1.0 |
| Government net interest paid% of GDP · Palanor calc. | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026. Provided by the IMF “as is” and free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor. Net interest paid is a Palanor calculation: the IMF's primary balance minus its overall balance.
Conflict
Organized violence
News
In the news
- Japan envoy Sasakawa meets Myanmar's Min Aung Hlaing, state media says reut.rs/4jy4VHU
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-21neutral
- Myanmar authorities release rare images of Aung San Suu Kyi reut.rs/4zGyxYy
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-19neutral
- Min Aung Hlaing, who seized power in Myanmar in 2021, has gone on a diplomatic blitz within Asia and is talking to America. Register for free to learn why
The Economist · Bluesky2026-10-19neutral
- World Food Day. What does the EU actually do about hunger?
Around a third of our humanitarian funds go on food:
✔️ Delivering critical food and nutrition support
✔️ Working alongside local partners where conditions are most severe, from Gaza to Myanmar
Our work continues.
European Commission · Bluesky2026-10-16neutral
- EXCLUSIVE: US holds more secret talks with Myanmar's military-backed rulers in Tokyo, sources say reut.rs/4s4hixv
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-16neutral
- US lifts sanctions on daughter of Myanmar military-linked businessman reut.rs/4ATE8fz
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-09negative · -sanctions
- Gaza, Ruanda, Darfur y Myanmar: La lucha contra los genocidios de Navi Pillay, la Nobel de la Paz 2026
La Tercera2026-10-09neutral
- EXCLUSIVE: US opens direct talks with Myanmar's generals, reversing years of isolation reut.rs/3THjZsj
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-08neutral
- Malaysia PM says he will do whatever possible to ensure Myanmar's acceptance in regional community reut.rs/4ARLEr6
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-08neutral
- Myanmar monsoon withdrawal signals northeast monsoon transition over south India
Marketaux (financial news API)2026-10-07neutral
- Once shunned, Myanmar's military-backed leader set for Malaysian red carpet reut.rs/4zjwd9p
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-07neutral
- Malaysia says around 10,000 Myanmar nationals sent home since January reut.rs/4jApWSg
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-06neutral
- Philippines voices concern over Myanmar airstrike deaths, injuries reut.rs/4dhdBhX
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-03neutral
- Myanmar ships with returnees from Malaysia enter home waters, state media says reut.rs/4jzVaJ5
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-02neutral
Headlines that name Myanmar, matched by name with fixed rules (a wrong match is worse than a missing one). Tone is read from each headline’s own words; no model reads or summarizes an article, and other publishers’ stories link out.
Company graph
Companies headquartered in Myanmar
Palanor’s company graph holds 1 entities headquartered here (GLEIF headquarters address, else legal address).
Signals
Every series about Myanmar
Grouped by theme, the most-read first. All 43 in the Library.
Growth and output3
- Myanmar: Share of World GDP at Market Exchange Rates68th percentile since 1990; highest since 2020; 1y +0.003 pts0.07% of world GDP2025
- Myanmar: Share of World GDP Minus Share of World Population93rd percentile since 1990; highest since 2020; 1y +0.004 pts-0.62025
- Myanmar: Share of World Populationrecord low since 1990; 1y −0.001 pts0.67% of world population2025
Energy and resources2
- Rare Earths Mine Production Share: Myanmar (Burma)19th percentile since 2018; lowest since 2022; 1y −1.39 pts5.64%2025
- Rare Earths Mine Production: Myanmar (Burma)31st percentile since 2018; lowest since 2022; 1y −18.5%22,0002025
Conflict and geopolitics2 of 6
- Myanmar · Organized-Violence Deaths (UCDP, annual)88th percentile since 1989; lowest since 2021; 1y −20.0%2,317 deaths2025
- Myanmar · State-Based Conflict Deaths (UCDP, annual)93rd percentile since 1989; lowest since 2022; 1y −10.3%2,109 deaths2025
AI stance and technology1
- AI User Share: Myanmar (Microsoft AI Diffusion)1y +2.00 pts10.4% of people aged 15-642026-06-30
Climate and the physical world2 of 4
More about this country1
- Myanmar · IMF Credit Outstanding · USD bn (IMF)91st percentile since Mar 1956; 1y −32.1%$0.2bn2026-09-01
Peers
Elsewhere in Asia
Alphabetical. Palanor does not rank countries.
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