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Hong Kong

Everything Palanor holds about Hong Kong, in one place: 72 public signals, what its economy runs on, how often America’s largest companies name it, the news that names it, and Country Posture. Every figure is computed from stored readings and carries its source and date.

AsiaAsia-Pacific

The latest read

Country Posture

What Hong Kong’s economy is doing

Momentum

2025

Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.590 below 0.60; AUC 0.590 below the single-input baseline (0.624); 2010–2022: AUC 0.595 below 0.60; AUC 0.595 below the single-input baseline (0.641).

Inputs
Real GDP growth3.5
Growth against its three-year average2.8
Change in unemployment-0.2
Change in the employment rate-0.4
Export volume growth—
OECD leading indicator—

Resilience

2025

Withheld: 2 of 5 core inputs reported for 2025.

Inputs
Interest as a share of revenue—
Budget balance—
Reserves, months of imports—
Current account12.2
Governance (WGI mean)1.00
External debt—

Pressure

2025

Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.657 below the single-input baseline (0.672).

Inputs
Inflation1.4
Change in inflation-0.3
Currency move against the dollar-0.1%
Conflict deaths per million0.0
Political stability0.77
Private credit, three-year change-41.8
Bond spread over U.S. Treasuries—

Posture describes what an economy is doing; it is not a rating and never ranks countries. Each input is read against the country’s own history and against every other economy that year. An axis shows a score only after passing a back-test fixed before any result was computed. Method and back-test.

Passport reach

Where a Hong Kong passport opens doors

The share of world GDP, outside Hong Kong itself, in the economies whose published rules let a holder of this passport in, as of October 2026. Palanor records the rules of destinations holding 88% of world GDP, from each government’s own list, and weights them by World Bank GDP for 2025. Rank is among 199 passports.

Visit

50.5%

rank 59 of 199

short stays without a visa arranged in advance; 45 destinations in full.

Work

13.5%

rank 60 of 199

the right to work (free movement in full; treaty and working-holiday routes at half); 0 destinations in full, 13 at half.

Live

0.0%

rank 51 of 199

a right to reside by nationality; 0 destinations in full.

Recorded changes

  • 2025-01-08United Kingdom · visit: Visa-free → Online travel authorisation source

Reach is shown here and not weighted into Country Strength: it rewards membership of a free-movement area or a treaty more than the strength of an economy. Entry is always at the border officer’s discretion, and conditions (length of stay, fees, age limits) vary. Method, sources and the full ranking: Passports and citizenship.

What a Hong Kong passport opensShare of world GDP outside the holder's own country in the recorded destinations open to the passport: to visit, to work, to live. Monthly, rules in force on the first of the monthVisit: 50.5% in Oct 2026 · Oct 2026
Source: Palanor calculation from destination governments’ published visa and residence rules; GDP weights: World Bank (CC BY 4.0)Open the chart →

Palanor calculation from each destination government's published rules; GDP weights from the World Bank (CC BY 4.0), one year for the whole line, so it moves only when a list changes.

GDP by expenditure

What Hong Kong’s economy runs on

In 2025, household spending was 66.2% of GDP, government consumption 12.6%, investment 18.4% and net exports +2.9% (exports 199.8%, imports 196.9%).

What Hong Kong's economy runs onSpending by households, government and investment, and net exports, as shares of GDP each yearHouseholds: 66.2% in 2025 · 2025
HouseholdsGovernmentInvestmentNet exports
Source: The World BankOpen the chart →

World Bank national accounts. The parts can miss 100 by a few points (the statistical discrepancy).

Same World Bank definition for every country, so the shares compare directly: What each economy runs on.

IMF World Economic Outlook

The IMF’s outlook for Hong Kong

The latest year before the October 2026 edition (often still an IMF estimate) and the IMF’s own projections. These are the IMF’s published forecasts, shown as published; Palanor does not project them further. Since the previous edition the IMF raised its growth forecast for this year by 1.4 percentage points (Palanor calculation).

Measure20252026 IMF f’cast2027 IMF f’cast2031 IMF f’cast
Real GDP growth%3.63.82.82.2
Inflation, average consumer prices%1.41.91.92.5
Unemployment rate% of labor force3.63.83.52.7
GDP, current US dollarsUS$ bn427.1455.2477.1570.9
GDP at purchasing-power parityintl $ bn603.8647.7686.9802.5
GDP per person, US dollarsUS$56,87660,32262,87873,503
Current account balance% of GDP12.313.813.111.4
Government gross debt% of GDP12.114.115.620.0
Government overall balance% of GDP-4.5-4.4-3.2-0.7
Government primary balance% of GDP-5.3-5.0-3.8-0.9
Government net interest paid% of GDP · Palanor calc.-0.7-0.6-0.6-0.2
Hong Kong: growth, and the IMF's outlookReal GDP growth, percent a year, IMF history and projectionReal GDP growth: 3.6% in 2025 · 2025
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026Open the chart →

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.

Hong Kong: government debt, and the IMF's outlookGeneral government gross debt, % of GDP, IMF history and projectionGross debt: 12% in 2025 · 2025
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026Open the chart →

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.

Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026. Provided by the IMF “as is” and free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor. Net interest paid is a Palanor calculation: the IMF's primary balance minus its overall balance.

Discourse

How often S&P 500 companies name Hong Kong

11 of 445 S&P 500 companies named Hong Kong on an earnings call in the 90 days to 2026-10-21. 7.8% list it in the risk factors of their latest 10-K. Names only, counted by fixed rules set before any document was read; a mention says the country came up, not why.

How often S&P 500 companies name Hong KongShare of S&P 500 companies naming the country on earnings calls (trailing 90 days) and in 10-K risk factors (latest filing)Earnings calls: 2.5% on Oct 22, 2026 · Oct 22, 2026
Source: Palanor calculationOpen the chart →

News

In the news

Week of 2026-07-27: 1 headlines, net tone 0.00Week of 2026-08-10: 1 headlines, net tone 0.00Week of 2026-08-17: 2 headlines, net tone 0.00Week of 2026-08-24: 2 headlines, net tone 0.00Week of 2026-08-31: 1 headlines, net tone -1.00Week of 2026-09-07: 1 headlines, net tone 0.00Week of 2026-09-14: 4 headlines, net tone 0.25Week of 2026-09-21: 1 headlines, net tone 0.00Week of 2026-09-28: 14 headlines, net tone 0.07Week of 2026-10-05: 18 headlines, net tone 0.11Week of 2026-10-12: 4 headlines, net tone 0.00Week of 2026-10-19: 4 headlines, net tone 0.25
Net tone of headlines naming the country, by week (2026-07-27 to 2026-10-19). Above the line: more positive than negative words.

Headlines that name Hong Kong, matched by name with fixed rules (a wrong match is worse than a missing one). Tone is read from each headline’s own words; no model reads or summarizes an article, and other publishers’ stories link out.

Company graph

Companies headquartered in Hong Kong

Palanor’s company graph holds 855 entities headquartered here, 1 with a listed ticker (GLEIF headquarters address, else legal address).

  • Alibaba Group Holding LtdBABA · George Town

Signals

Every series about Hong Kong

Grouped by theme, the most-read first. All 72 in the Library.

Growth and output8

Money, rates and credit2

Trade and capital flows10

Migration4 of 7

AI stance and technology2

More about this country1

  • USD / HKD96th percentile since Jan 1990; 1y +1.0%7.85 rate2026-10-16

Peers

Elsewhere in Asia

Alphabetical. Palanor does not rank countries.

AfghanistanArmeniaAzerbaijanBahrainBangladeshBhutanBruneiCambodiaChinaCyprusGeorgiaIndiaIndonesiaIranIraqIsraelJapanJordanKazakhstanKuwaitKyrgyzstanLaosLebanonMacaoMalaysiaMaldivesMongoliaMyanmarNepalNorth KoreaOmanPakistanPalestinePhilippinesQatarSaudi ArabiaSingaporeSouth KoreaSri LankaSyriaTaiwanTajikistanThailandTimor-LesteTürkiyeTurkmenistanUnited Arab EmiratesUzbekistanVietnamYemen

Built 2026-10-22 from Palanor’s stored readings. Sources include the World Bank (WDI, WGI; CC BY 4.0), the OECD, UCDP (CC BY 4.0), national statistics offices and central banks, each credited on its signal, and the IMF World Economic Outlook Database (October 2026). Market prices are available inside the Terminal.

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