Nepal
Everything Palanor holds about Nepal, in one place: 46 public signals, what its economy runs on, how often America’s largest companies name it, the news that names it, and Country Posture. Every figure is computed from stored readings and carries its source and date.
AsiaAsia-Pacific
The latest read
- GDP in current U.S. dollars: $45.5 billion (2025); record high since 1990; 1y +5.1%.
- Household consumption, share of GDP: 84.7% of GDP (2025); 82nd percentile since 1990; lowest since 2019; 1y −0.84 pts.
- Net exports, share of GDP: -24.9% of GDP (2025); 35th percentile since 1990; highest since 2013; 1y +0.16 pts.
Country Posture
What Nepal’s economy is doing
Momentum
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.590 below 0.60; AUC 0.590 below the single-input baseline (0.624); 2010–2022: AUC 0.595 below 0.60; AUC 0.595 below the single-input baseline (0.641).
Inputs
| Real GDP growth | 4.4 |
| Growth against its three-year average | 0.7 |
| Change in unemployment | -0.0 |
| Change in the employment rate | -0.0 |
| Export volume growth | — |
| OECD leading indicator | — |
Resilience
202461Moderate buffers
0 = thin buffers · 100 = deep buffers
Moved most by reserves, months of imports (up) and current account (up) since the year before.
Inputs
| Interest as a share of revenue (2023) | 8.0 | 41 |
| Budget balance (2023) | -5.9 | 10 |
| Reserves, months of imports | 13.0 | 97 |
| Current account | 3.9 | 83 |
| Governance (WGI mean) | -0.43 | 66 |
| External debt | 23.3 | 75 |
Pressure
2025Inputs only. Did not pass the pre-registered back-test: 1996–2009: AUC 0.657 below the single-input baseline (0.672).
Inputs
| Inflation | 2.7 |
| Change in inflation | -2.0 |
| Currency move against the dollar | 4.0% |
| Conflict deaths per million | 0.0 |
| Political stability | -0.44 |
| Private credit, three-year change | -3.9 |
| Bond spread over U.S. Treasuries | — |
Posture describes what an economy is doing; it is not a rating and never ranks countries. Each input is read against the country’s own history and against every other economy that year. An axis shows a score only after passing a back-test fixed before any result was computed. Method and back-test.
Passport reach
Where a Nepal passport opens doors
The share of world GDP, outside Nepal itself, in the economies whose published rules let a holder of this passport in, as of October 2026. Palanor records the rules of destinations holding 88% of world GDP, from each government’s own list, and weights them by World Bank GDP for 2025. Rank is among 199 passports.
Work
3.3%rank 97 of 199
the right to work (free movement in full; treaty and working-holiday routes at half); 1 destination in full.
Reach is shown here and not weighted into Country Strength: it rewards membership of a free-movement area or a treaty more than the strength of an economy. Entry is always at the border officer’s discretion, and conditions (length of stay, fees, age limits) vary. Method, sources and the full ranking: Passports and citizenship.
Palanor calculation from each destination government's published rules; GDP weights from the World Bank (CC BY 4.0), one year for the whole line, so it moves only when a list changes.
GDP by expenditure
What Nepal’s economy runs on
In 2025, household spending was 84.7% of GDP, government consumption 8.4%, investment 29.4% and net exports -24.9% (exports 8.8%, imports 33.7%). In 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 the parts miss 100 by more than three points (the statistical discrepancy in Nepal’s national accounts).
World Bank national accounts. The parts can miss 100 by a few points (the statistical discrepancy).
Same World Bank definition for every country, so the shares compare directly: What each economy runs on.
IMF World Economic Outlook
The IMF’s outlook for Nepal
The latest year before the October 2026 edition (often still an IMF estimate) and the IMF’s own projections. These are the IMF’s published forecasts, shown as published; Palanor does not project them further. Since the previous edition the IMF raised its growth forecast for this year by 0.6 percentage points (Palanor calculation).
| Measure | 2025 | 2026 IMF f’cast | 2027 IMF f’cast | 2031 IMF f’cast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real GDP growth% | 4.4 | 3.6 | 3.7 | 5.0 |
| Inflation, average consumer prices% | 4.1 | 3.1 | 5.8 | 5.0 |
| GDP, current US dollarsUS$ bn | 45.5 | 45.6 | 46.6 | 68.2 |
| GDP at purchasing-power parityintl $ bn | 182.9 | 195.8 | 209.6 | 276.9 |
| GDP per person, US dollarsUS$ | 1,536 | 1,540 | 1,576 | 2,311 |
| Current account balance% of GDP | 6.6 | 13.9 | 2.0 | -4.4 |
| Government gross debt% of GDP | 47.4 | 49.4 | 50.6 | 47.7 |
| Government overall balance% of GDP | -1.8 | -1.5 | -4.7 | -2.8 |
| Government primary balance% of GDP | -0.7 | -0.4 | -3.3 | -1.3 |
| Government net interest paid% of GDP · Palanor calc. | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database (edition on the projection). Dashed: the IMF's published projection.
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database, October 2026. Provided by the IMF “as is” and free of charge from the IMF; the IMF does not endorse Palanor. Net interest paid is a Palanor calculation: the IMF's primary balance minus its overall balance.
Conflict
Organized violence
News
In the news
- Flash flood destroys homes and bridges in Nepal's Gorkha
Nepal authorities deployed helicopters and urged evacuations as a landslide-triggered flash flood destroyed homes and bridges in Gorkha district.
Palanor Wire2026-10-11negative · -flood
- In Nepal, AI builds on local knowledge to help prevent tiger attacks
Mongabay2026-10-20negative · -attacks
- Nepal: Migrant workers returning from India face systematic overcharging & harassment at Sudurpaschim border crossing
Business & Human Rights Resource Centre2026-10-19neutral
- Nepal: Hydropower boom raises human rights and safety concerns as Himalayan disasters expose regulatory failures
Business & Human Rights Resource Centre2026-10-17positive · +boom
- Nepal is still recovering from the devastating floods that killed more than 1,400 people and left thousands missing. Over the past decade, tens of thousands of people in the country have been displaced, only to face new risks in temporary settlements built in vulnerable areas.
The Associated Press · Bluesky2026-10-16negative · -floods -killed -risks
- Nepal: Health service providers arrested amid deepening Malaysia migrant worker recruitment dispute
Business & Human Rights Resource Centre2026-10-14neutral
- Rescuers from Nepal’s military on Monday reached an area hit by a flash flood the previous day. Helicopters and soldiers brought food and other relief materials to the area along the Budhi Gandaki river in north central Nepal and began evacuating residents and tourists from the area.
The Associated Press · Bluesky2026-10-12negative · -flood
- More than 100 foreign trekkers stranded in flood-hit region of Nepal, official says reut.rs/4jSXQlf
Reuters · Bluesky2026-10-12negative · -flood
- Flash floods hit northern Nepal on Sunday, sweeping away buildings and at least one bridge along the Budhi Gandaki River. The torrent comes just weeks after a devastating flood on the border with Tibet that killed more than a thousand people.
The New York Times · Bluesky2026-10-11negative · -floods -flood -killed
- Nuevo aluvión en Nepal deja al menos cinco desaparecidos y cerca de 40 viviendas destruidas
La Tercera2026-10-11neutral
- Otra vez, devastadoras inundaciones afectan a Nepal
La Nación (Argentina)2026-10-11neutral
- Nepal floods: 10 missing, 6 bridges washed away as Budhi Gandaki river overflows
Marketaux (financial news API)2026-10-11negative · -floods
- Nepal urges villagers to evacuate after flood triggered by landslide
Marketaux (financial news API)2026-10-11negative · -flood
- Budhi Gandaki flash flood sweeps away over 35 houses, bridges in Nepal's Gorkha
Marketaux (financial news API)2026-10-11negative · -flood
Headlines that name Nepal, matched by name with fixed rules (a wrong match is worse than a missing one). Tone is read from each headline’s own words; no model reads or summarizes an article, and other publishers’ stories link out.
Company graph
Companies headquartered in Nepal
Palanor’s company graph holds 2 entities headquartered here (GLEIF headquarters address, else legal address).
Signals
Every series about Nepal
Grouped by theme, the most-read first. All 46 in the Library.
Growth and output1
- Nepal · GDP · USD bn (current)record high since 1990; 1y +5.1%$45.5bn2025
Money, rates and credit1
- Nepal · Central Bank Policy Rate (IMF)12th percentile since Jul 1976; 1y −0.75 pts5.75%2026-07-01
Trade and capital flows1
- Nepal · Net International Investment Position, % of GDP (IMF)record high since 2012; 1y +11.54 pts19.9% of GDP2025
Energy and resources1
- Nepal · Electric Car Share of New Car Sales1y −6.00 pts68% of new car sales2025
Conflict and geopolitics2 of 5
- Nepal · Organized-Violence Deaths (UCDP, annual)54th percentile since 1989; highest since 2022; 1y +1.001 deaths2025
- Nepal · State-Based Conflict Deaths (UCDP, annual)record low since 1989; 1y unchanged0 deaths2025
AI stance and technology1
- AI User Share: Nepal (Microsoft AI Diffusion)1y +2.30 pts14.6% of people aged 15-642026-06-30
More about this country2
- Nepal · IMF Credit Outstanding · USD bn (IMF)record high since May 1976; 1y +8.2%$0.56bn2026-09-01
- Nepal · IMF Credit Outstanding, % of GDP88th percentile since 1980; highest since 1989; 1y +0.12 pts1.18% of GDP2025
Peers
Elsewhere in Asia
Alphabetical. Palanor does not rank countries.
AfghanistanArmeniaAzerbaijanBahrainBangladeshBhutanBruneiCambodiaChinaCyprusGeorgiaHong KongIndiaIndonesiaIranIraqIsraelJapanJordanKazakhstanKuwaitKyrgyzstanLaosLebanonMacaoMalaysiaMaldivesMongoliaMyanmarNorth KoreaOmanPakistanPalestinePhilippinesQatarSaudi ArabiaSingaporeSouth KoreaSri LankaSyriaTaiwanTajikistanThailandTimor-LesteTürkiyeTurkmenistanUnited Arab EmiratesUzbekistanVietnamYemen